Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 17, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.4400 (0.1%) ($39.3200 - $39.7600) on Wed. Aug. 17, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $39.4400(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EEM(71%)    EWG(71%)    IWM(68%)    EWI(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $40.98
5 Day Moving Average   $39.48(-0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.32(0.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.98(-3.76%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 4.56% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110917

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_17_2011	40.98	40.98	39.32	39.48	39.46	39.44	39.44(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-10	8	-118	2.69	49%	-0.05	-41.9	1.67%	0	-0.8	37	NAN
2	Aug_16_2011	41	41.16	39.56	39.22	39.37	39.48	39.4(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	30	-1	-140	6.16	49%	-0.05	-45.7	1.67%	0	-1	37	NAN
3	Aug_15_2011	41.02	41.33	39.8	39.34	39.19	39.49	39.72(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	40	18	-139	4.07	49%	-0.05	-43.6	1.67%	0	-0.9	35	NAN
4	Aug_12_2011	41.04	41.46	40.05	39	39.14	39.27	39.22(-0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-35	30	9	-166	7.53	46%	-0.07	-49.2	1.68%	0	-1.3	34	NAN
5	Aug_11_2011	41.07	41.63	40.4	39	38.98	38.9	39.6(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-48	-30	-6	-173	9.02	45%	-0.07	-48.8	1.68%	0	-1.2	34	NAN

6	Aug_10_2011	41.1	41.78	40.69	39.15	39.16	39.01	38.16(-4.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-30	-33	-198	12.4	40%	-0.1	-51.6	1.62%	0	-2.2	26	NAN
7	Aug_9_2011	41.14	42.02	41.16	39.95	39.51	39.07	40(5.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-71	-110	-35	-177	9.71	45%	-0.07	-44.4	1.52%	0	-1.4	34	NAN
8	Aug_8_2011	41.17	42.13	41.5	40.37	40.17	39.31	38.04(-4.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-101	-160	-74	-183	11.78	36%	-0.07	-39.9	1.37%	0	-3.1	23	NAN
9	Aug_5_2011	41.2	42.35	42.05	41.24	41.07	39.96	39.96(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-97	-200	-83	-138	12.54	42%	-0.02	-32	1.24%	0	-2.4	37	NAN
10	Aug_4_2011	41.21	42.48	42.42	41.82	41.79	41.02	39.6(-6.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-89	-130	-86	-96	14.93	42%	0.02	-16.2	1.24%	0	-3.6	30	NAN

11	Aug_3_2011	41.2	42.65	42.83	42.43	42.45	42.18	42.16(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-40	-30	-29	7.85	53%	0.05	18.8	0.99%	0	-1	50	NAN
12	Aug_2_2011	41.18	42.67	42.93	42.54	42.63	42.57	42.08(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-0	-25	-14	8.3	53%	0.05	40.2	0.99%	0	-1.2	45	NAN
13	Aug_1_2011	41.16	42.68	43	42.81	42.78	42.72	42.42(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10	-13	22	20	53%	-0.02	74.8	0.98%	0	-0.5	57	NAN
14	Jul_29_2011	41.17	42.66	42.98	43	42.95	42.7	42.84(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-40	-18	41	5.22	56%	-0.02	97.5	0.98%	0	0.4	62	NAN
15	Jul_28_2011	41.18	42.61	42.97	43.13	43.11	42.83	42.63(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	-50	-33	51	4.21	60%	-0.05	112.6	0.98%	0	0	54	NAN

16	Jul_27_2011	41.2	42.55	42.97	43.3	43.3	43.2	42.72(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-20	-15	64	4.89	60%	-0.07	119.1	1.03%	0	0.3	51	NAN
17	Jul_26_2011	41.23	42.47	42.95	43.37	43.39	43.39	43.44(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	0	10	87	4.82	65%	-0.02	104.8	1.01%	0	1.4	60	NAN
18	Jul_25_2011	41.24	42.31	42.8	43.21	43.26	43.41	43.36(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	30	17	76	7.04	65%	-0.07	89	1.01%	0	1.3	61	NAN
19	Jul_22_2011	41.27	42.17	42.65	42.96	43.08	43.4	43.52(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	60	33	61	7.14	65%	-0.05	78.4	1.01%	0	1.6	64	NAN
20	Jul_21_2011	41.29	42.01	42.52	42.78	42.74	43.11	43.44(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	60	32	55	5.96	65%	-0.05	73.1	1.02%	0	1.6	66	NAN

21	Jul_20_2011	41.31	41.85	42.43	42.56	42.58	42.77	43.08(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	30	26	53	4.44	65%	-0.07	68.5	1.01%	0	1.4	67	NAN
22	Jul_19_2011	41.34	41.73	42.36	42.49	42.47	42.37	42.64(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-20	5	60	4.22	63%	-0.1	68.3	1.02%	0	1	69	NAN
23	Jul_18_2011	41.38	41.61	42.36	42.34	42.5	42.4	42.12(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-6	71	7.45	61%	-0.1	61.2	1.01%	0	0.6	70	NAN
24	Jul_15_2011	41.42	41.51	42.31	42.28	42.48	42.58	42.64(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	30	8	94	3.56	65%	-0.05	57.1	1%	0	1.2	73	NAN
25	Jul_14_2011	41.44	41.37	42.22	42.22	42.29	42.6	42.32(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	60	10	112	9.54	65%		51.9	1%	0	1	73	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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