Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 13, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $42.7200 (1.91%) ($42.4800 - $43.0000) on Wed. Jul. 13, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $42.7200(1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EEM(71%)    EWG(71%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.29(1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.13(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.25(3.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.4% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 1.06%(83%) Average negative next day return: -0.32%(17%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 0.89%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.13%(25%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.42%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2011	41.47	41.25	42.13	42.29	42.24	42.37	42.72(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	20	24	142	9.22	65%	-0.05	53.8	0.99%	0	1.5	76	NAN
2	Jul_12_2011	41.49	41.15	41.94	42.22	42.21	41.99	41.92(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-40	-10	131	10.26	61%	0	58.8	0.96%	0	0.8	65	NAN
3	Jul_11_2011	41.49	41.06	41.8	42.27	42.27	42.1	41.8(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-30	-21	138	6.08	61%	-0.12	61.1	0.96%	0	0.8	70	NAN
4	Jul_8_2011	41.54	40.97	41.68	42.33	42.31	42.43	42.32(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	49	20	9	167	8.4	69%	-0.1	62.4	0.95%	0	1.4	77	NAN
5	Jul_7_2011	41.58	40.86	41.47	42.21	42.19	42.44	42.68(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	68	40	33	173	13.55	69%	-0.1	61.5	0.97%	0	2	83	NAN

6	Jul_6_2011	41.62	40.73	41.23	41.95	41.96	42.19	42.4(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	40	37	159	8.67	69%	-0.07	58.2	0.98%	0	2.1	78	NAN
7	Jul_5_2011	41.65	40.61	41.06	41.62	41.69	41.95	42.16(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	50	40	133	24.49	62%	-0.17	47.1	0.99%	0	2.2	62	NAN
8	Jul_1_2011	41.72	40.49	40.84	41.25	41.33	41.73	42.08(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	56	70	41	101	7.85	62%	-0.07	33.8	1.03%	0	2.6	68	NAN
9	Jun_30_2011	41.75	40.39	40.62	40.93	40.94	41.44	41.72(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	55	90	47	80	7.11	62%	-0.1	22.7	1.03%	0	2.8	66	NAN
10	Jun_29_2011	41.79	40.32	40.43	40.63	40.68	40.93	41.4(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	44	50	43	48	11.3	62%	-0.1	15.2	1.04%	0	2.9	58	NAN

11	Jun_28_2011	41.83	40.27	40.43	40.42	40.38	40.93	40.76(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	4	10	1	13	5.85	59%	-0.12	7.3	1.02%	0	1.5	56	NAN
12	Jun_27_2011	41.88	40.28	40.28	40.41	40.35	40.43	40.28(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	10	5	23	6.81	57%	-0.12	29.3	1.01%	0	0	52	NAN
13	Jun_24_2011	41.93	40.29	40.25	40.36	40.42	40.34	40.48(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10	12	24	3.07	50%	-0.12	29.3	1.05%	0	0.6	58	NAN
14	Jun_23_2011	41.98	40.28	40.2	40.26	40.42	40.27	40.24(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	0	-8	5	6.13	50%	-0.12	21.5	1.05%	0	-0.1	50	NAN
15	Jun_22_2011	42.03	40.27	40.22	40.19	40.27	40.5	40.32(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	50	18	7	4.46	50%	-0.1	0	1.05%	0	0.2	46	NAN

16	Jun_21_2011	42.07	40.25	40.2	40.12	40.12	40.27	40.72(1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	9	30	13	-5	6.03	56%	-0.07	-16.7	1.04%	0	1.4	50	NAN
17	Jun_20_2011	42.1	40.25	40.13	40.14	40.02	40.03	40.04(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10	-1	-21	7.3	53%	-0.09	-30.4	1.08%	0	-0.4	37	NAN
18	Jun_17_2011	42.14	40.19	40.12	40.14	40.19	39.96	40(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-40	-2	-28	7.11	65%	-0.12	-42.4	1.14%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
19	Jun_16_2011	42.19	40.21	40.14	40.13	40.17	40.01	39.86(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-20	-22	-35	8.34	57%	-0.09	-58.7	1.27%	0	-0.9	46	NAN
20	Jun_15_2011	42.23	40.27	40.22	40.24	40.24	40.41	40(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3	30	0	-12	6.69	57%	-0.12	-54.5	1.36%	0	-0.7	51	NAN

21	Jun_14_2011	42.28	40.31	40.27	40.26	40.31	40.34	40.8(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	10	17	2	6.45	49%	-0.07	-70.6	1.33%	0	1.2	60	NAN
22	Jun_13_2011	42.31	40.3	40.28	40.14	40.2	40.08	40(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-20	-6	1	6.25	47%	-0.09	-96.1	1.57%	0	-0.7	60	NAN
23	Jun_10_2011	42.35	40.35	40.32	40.1	40.27	40.28	40(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	10	-2	4	5.82	42%	-0.09	-105.6	1.58%	0	-0.8	51	NAN
24	Jun_9_2011	42.39	40.43	40.36	40.15	40.23	40.33	40.4(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3	20	2	7	4.2	42%	-0.12	-84.7	1.61%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
25	Jun_8_2011	42.44	40.49	40.33	40.19	40.19	40.26	40.12(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-0	10	-0	-1	3.13	42%		-78.1	1.6%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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