Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $40.0000 (-0.3%) ($39.5600 - $40.0400) on Mon. Apr. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $40.0000(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EEM(71%)    EWG(71%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

Resistance Level   $40.63
5 Day Moving Average   $39.98(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.81(0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.63(-1.55%)
To recent high   -13.9%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.63% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110518

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_18_2011	43.23	40.63	39.81	39.98	40.04	40.01	40(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-0	-2	-52	7.59	44%	-0.02	-18.6	1.61%	0	-0.6	38	NAN
2	Apr_15_2011	43.24	40.76	39.86	39.91	40.01	40.17	40.12(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	40	6	-59	8.42	44%	-0.07	-10.4	1.61%	0	-0.6	38	NAN
3	Apr_14_2011	43.27	40.83	39.95	39.87	39.91	40.08	40.17(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	30	15	-59	9.16	44%	-0.05	-18.8	1.62%	0	-0.6	38	NAN
4	Apr_13_2011	43.29	40.84	40.04	39.66	39.87	39.84	39.88(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	10	9	-81	6.66	44%	-0.02	-36.2	1.62%	0	-0.8	28	NAN
5	Apr_12_2011	43.3	40.8	40.22	39.58	39.69	39.75	39.72(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-28	20	-5	-96	7.83	45%	-0.05	-63.4	1.62%	0	-0.9	27	NAN

6	Apr_11_2011	43.32	40.83	40.36	39.61	39.65	39.91	39.64(-0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	50	2	-104	10.51	45%	-0.05	-82.7	1.62%	0	-1.1	25	NAN
7	Apr_8_2011	43.34	40.87	40.52	39.81	39.67	39.64	39.92(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-20	-4	-111	13.11	45%	-0.05	-90.8	1.61%	0	-0.8	25	NAN
8	Apr_7_2011	43.36	41.03	40.66	40.06	39.86	39.4	39.16(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-100	-31	-113	24.51	43%	-0.05	-86.1	1.6%	0	-1.4	34	NAN
9	Apr_6_2011	43.38	41.26	40.98	40.48	40.32	39.71	39.48(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-120	-42	-83	9.75	43%	-0.02	-76.2	1.6%	0	-1.2	47	NAN
10	Apr_5_2011	43.39	41.53	41.27	40.95	40.77	40.33	39.84(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-90	-35	-29	13.85	43%	-0.02	-64.9	1.6%	0	-1	62	NAN

11	Apr_4_2011	43.4	41.79	41.54	41.21	41.24	40.92	40.64(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-50	-14	13	9.43	45%	-0.02	-61.4	1.58%	0	-0.7	55	NAN
12	Apr_1_2011	43.41	41.99	41.75	41.33	41.31	41.22	41.2(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-20	-13	41	12.18	45%	0	-58	1.57%	0	-0.4	57	NAN
13	Mar_31_2011	43.41	42.2	41.78	41.35	41.38	41.56	41.26(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	30	-3	32	7.21	45%	0	-53.6	1.58%	0	-0.5	42	NAN
14	Mar_30_2011	43.41	42.43	41.72	41.57	41.42	41.41	41.8(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10	2	16	10.36	45%	0.02	-47.1	1.57%	0	-0.3	41	NAN
15	Mar_29_2011	43.4	42.61	41.43	41.66	41.51	41.2	41.16(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-60	-21	-41	11.28	45%	0	-43.2	1.56%	0	-0.7	34	NAN

16	Mar_28_2011	43.4	42.84	41.34	41.94	41.77	41.43	41.22(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-70	-26	-70	8.3	45%	-0.02	-37.3	1.57%	0	-0.7	34	NAN
17	Mar_25_2011	43.41	43.08	41.25	42.23	42.01	41.82	41.32(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-50	-14	-91	16.09	45%	0.02	-34.4	1.56%	0	-0.8	36	NAN
18	Mar_24_2011	43.4	43.3	41.42	42.26	42.23	42.11	42.34(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	-20	14	-101	13.99	47%	0.05	-36.3	1.54%	0	-0.4	35	NAN
19	Mar_23_2011	43.38	43.43	41.55	41.87	41.97	42.21	42.28(-0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	50	26	-132	21.31	47%	0.05	-42.9	1.56%	0	-0.5	34	NAN
20	Mar_22_2011	43.36	43.58	41.79	41.14	41.56	42.34	42.52(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	160	51	-165	23.57	47%	0.07	-52.2	1.55%	0	-0.5	37	NAN

21	Mar_21_2011	43.33	43.71	42	40.66	40.72	41.73	42.67(2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	180	64	-192	36.01	47%	0.07	-58.4	1.55%	0	-0.4	36	NAN
22	Mar_18_2011	43.3	43.89	42.19	40.17	39.81	40.79	41.49(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-39	150	31	-249	35.32	44%	0.02	-61.1	1.5%	0	-1	30	NAN
23	Mar_17_2011	43.29	44.13	42.59	40.52	39.49	39.71	40.4(4.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-70	-40	-8	-255	31.08	40%	0.02	-56.3	1.47%	0	-1.6	27	NAN
24	Mar_16_2011	43.28	44.43	43.15	41.23	40.18	38.83	38.62(-3.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-136	-310	-91	-270	60.3	32%	-0.05	-50.7	1.34%	0	-2.6	19	NAN
25	Mar_15_2011	43.3	44.8	43.89	42.52	41.47	39.27	40.12(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-182	-450	-163	-239	99.15	36%		-45.3	1.26%	0	-2.7	22	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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