Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 15, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $40.1200 (-0.2%) ($36.9600 - $40.4400) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $40.1200(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.8(-10.77%)
Resistance Level   $44.8
5 Day Moving Average   $42.52(-5.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.89(-8.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.8(-10.45%)
To recent high   -13.6%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.91% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.66%(50%) Average negative next day return: -3.78%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.01%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -7.47%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.71%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.68%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2011	43.3	44.8	43.89	42.52	41.47	39.27	40.12(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-182	-450	-163	-239	99.15	36%	-0.02	-45.3	1.26%	0	-2.7	22	0
2	Mar_14_2011	43.31	45.1	44.51	43.51	43.05	41.52	40.2(-7.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.4	-155	-280	-150	-170	50.69	36%	0	-37.8	1.26%	0	-3.6	23	0
3	Mar_11_2011	43.31	45.38	45.14	44.45	44.35	43.68	43.24(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-100	-110	-93	-122	15.73	49%	0.07	-35.9	0.9%	0	-2.8	28	0
4	Mar_10_2011	43.28	45.5	45.4	44.95	44.87	44.59	43.97(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-64	-50	-59	-80	8.58	52%	0.07	-24.4	0.88%	0	-2.6	30	0
5	Mar_9_2011	43.25	45.58	45.53	45.37	45.25	45.02	45.08(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-29	-40	-23	-47	5.59	58%	0.12	-3	0.82%	0	-1.1	42	0

6	Mar_8_2011	43.2	45.61	45.55	45.48	45.48	45.16	45.08(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-50	-37	-47	5.55	58%	0.09	14.1	0.82%	0	-1.2	49	0
7	Mar_7_2011	43.16	45.63	45.56	45.68	45.64	45.49	44.88(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-40	-30	-40	-40	8.52	55%	0.12	43.8	0.82%	0	-1.7	45	0
8	Mar_4_2011	43.11	45.66	45.72	45.92	45.87	45.49	45.76(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10	-3	13	6.45	60%	0.12	83.3	0.78%	0	0.2	55	0
9	Mar_3_2011	43.06	45.64	45.78	45.9	45.98	45.8	46.06(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-20	5	32	10.44	60%	0.14	94.4	0.79%	0	1	58	0
10	Mar_2_2011	43	45.59	45.77	45.71	45.9	45.94	45.64(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	20	-2	22	5.64	58%	0.12	88.9	0.78%	0	0.1	54	0

11	Mar_1_2011	42.95	45.54	45.75	45.62	45.73	46.16	46.04(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	70	39	28	8.61	65%	0.12	74.8	0.78%	0	1.1	54	0
12	Feb_28_2011	42.9	45.43	45.71	45.44	45.47	45.86	46.12(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	60	39	16	3.88	65%	0.14	48.5	0.8%	0	1.2	58	0
13	Feb_25_2011	42.84	45.32	45.63	45.49	45.28	45.3	45.66(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10	-2	4	6.76	58%	0.12	44	0.83%	0	0.5	53	0
14	Feb_24_2011	42.79	45.26	45.6	45.65	45.47	45.08	45.08(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-23	-70	-32	4	5.21	59%	0.09	51	0.82%	0	-0.3	47	0
15	Feb_23_2011	42.75	45.23	45.63	45.84	45.79	45.25	45.2(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-30	-90	-46	19	6.49	54%	0.14	56	0.84%	0	-0	54	0

16	Feb_22_2011	42.69	45.2	45.68	45.88	45.99	45.86	45.12(-2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-15	-10	-33	41	8.34	54%	0.21	54.9	0.88%	0	-0.1	59	0
17	Feb_18_2011	42.6	45.15	45.71	46	46.01	46.33	46.4(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	50	33	110	5.08	65%	0.16	52.5	0.8%	0	1.5	83	0
18	Feb_17_2011	42.53	45.02	45.6	45.78	45.82	46.11	46.44(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	65	50	47	117	4.52	67%	0.16	43.2	0.85%	0	1.9	84	0
19	Feb_16_2011	42.46	44.9	45.49	45.55	45.53	45.69	46.04(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	20	24	102	8.59	62%	0.14	35.7	0.86%	0	1.7	67	0
20	Feb_15_2011	42.4	44.83	45.39	45.4	45.32	45.53	45.4(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	30	8	93	5.66	60%	0.14	36.2	0.88%	0	0.9	63	0

21	Feb_14_2011	42.34	44.79	45.32	45.45	45.28	45.37	45.72(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	0	18	105	6.03	60%	0.14	44.7	0.88%	0	1.5	66	0
22	Feb_11_2011	42.28	44.73	45.13	45.38	45.26	45.12	45.3(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-30	-6	86	4.34	58%	0.17	49.3	0.88%	0	1	67	0
23	Feb_10_2011	42.21	44.69	44.98	45.4	45.3	45.19	45.28(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-20	-14	86	10.83	60%	0.14	58.5	0.88%	0	1	69	0
24	Feb_9_2011	42.15	44.66	44.89	45.42	45.34	45.39	45.32(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	0	3	98	11.1	60%	0.14	70.4	0.89%	0	1.2	62	0
25	Feb_8_2011	42.09	44.6	44.8	45.36	45.3	45.41	45.62(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	10	21	99	7.86	60%		69.9	0.89%	0	1.9	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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