Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 28, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $46.1200 (1.01%) ($46.0000 - $46.2800) on Mon. Feb. 28, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $46.1200(1.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.44(1.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.71(0.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.43(1.52%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.3% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.67%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.36%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.13%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.82%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.07%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.01%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110328

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_28_2011	42.9	45.43	45.71	45.44	45.47	45.86	46.12(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	60	39	16	3.88	65%	0.14	48.5	0.8%	0	1.2	58	0
2	Feb_25_2011	42.84	45.32	45.63	45.49	45.28	45.3	45.66(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-10	-2	4	6.76	58%	0.12	44	0.83%	0	0.5	53	0
3	Feb_24_2011	42.79	45.26	45.6	45.65	45.47	45.08	45.08(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-23	-70	-32	4	5.21	59%	0.09	51	0.82%	0	-0.3	47	0
4	Feb_23_2011	42.75	45.23	45.63	45.84	45.79	45.25	45.2(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-30	-90	-46	19	6.49	54%	0.14	56	0.84%	0	-0	54	0
5	Feb_22_2011	42.69	45.2	45.68	45.88	45.99	45.86	45.12(-2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-15	-10	-33	41	8.34	54%	0.21	54.9	0.88%	0	-0.1	59	0

6	Feb_18_2011	42.6	45.15	45.71	46	46.01	46.33	46.4(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	50	33	110	5.08	65%	0.16	52.5	0.8%	0	1.5	83	0
7	Feb_17_2011	42.53	45.02	45.6	45.78	45.82	46.11	46.44(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	65	50	47	117	4.52	67%	0.16	43.2	0.85%	0	1.9	84	0
8	Feb_16_2011	42.46	44.9	45.49	45.55	45.53	45.69	46.04(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	20	24	102	8.59	62%	0.14	35.7	0.86%	0	1.7	67	0
9	Feb_15_2011	42.4	44.83	45.39	45.4	45.32	45.53	45.4(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	30	8	93	5.66	60%	0.14	36.2	0.88%	0	0.9	63	0
10	Feb_14_2011	42.34	44.79	45.32	45.45	45.28	45.37	45.72(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	0	18	105	6.03	60%	0.14	44.7	0.88%	0	1.5	66	0

11	Feb_11_2011	42.28	44.73	45.13	45.38	45.26	45.12	45.3(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-30	-6	86	4.34	58%	0.17	49.3	0.88%	0	1	67	0
12	Feb_10_2011	42.21	44.69	44.98	45.4	45.3	45.19	45.28(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	-20	-14	86	10.83	60%	0.14	58.5	0.88%	0	1	69	0
13	Feb_9_2011	42.15	44.66	44.89	45.42	45.34	45.39	45.32(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	0	3	98	11.1	60%	0.14	70.4	0.89%	0	1.2	62	0
14	Feb_8_2011	42.09	44.6	44.8	45.36	45.3	45.41	45.62(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	10	21	99	7.86	60%	0.14	69.9	0.89%	0	1.9	59	0
15	Feb_7_2011	42.03	44.51	44.68	45.16	45.17	45.29	45.36(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	43	20	29	84	5.68	60%	0.17	63.5	0.89%	0	1.7	56	0

16	Feb_4_2011	41.96	44.44	44.55	44.83	44.95	45.2	45.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.2	42	50	38	53	11.56	63%	0.14	51.9	0.9%	0	2	58	0
17	Feb_3_2011	41.9	44.35	44.38	44.49	44.58	45.04	45.4(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	31	80	37	14	11.96	63%	0.14	37.6	0.93%	0	2.3	57	0
18	Feb_2_2011	41.84	44.27	44.26	44.3	44.3	44.7	45.04(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	30	60	42	-5	4.18	63%	0.12	27.8	0.93%	0	1.9	53	0
19	Feb_1_2011	41.79	44.22	44.2	44.17	44.15	44.12	44.6(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	-10	13	-23	4.1	62%	0.12	29.6	0.93%	0	1.1	55	0
20	Jan_31_2011	41.74	44.22	44.21	44.14	44.14	43.91	43.72(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-40	-23	-29	5.32	59%	0.12	40.5	0.91%	0	-1.3	50	0

21	Jan_28_2011	41.69	44.22	44.29	44.21	44.28	44.18	43.68(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10	-12	-11	8.8	59%	0.12	55.7	0.91%	0	-1.5	49	0
22	Jan_27_2011	41.64	44.19	44.39	44.24	44.26	44.38	44.44(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	20	6	10	4.03	63%	0.14	59.5	0.88%	0	0.7	63	0
23	Jan_26_2011	41.58	44.16	44.41	44.2	44.12	44.39	44.39(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	40	13	22	5.19	63%	0.14	69	0.88%	0	0.6	63	0
24	Jan_25_2011	41.52	44.11	44.39	44.25	44.08	44.14	44.48(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-0	10	28	4.65	63%	0.07	77.3	0.89%	0	0.9	57	0
25	Jan_24_2011	41.49	44.05	44.34	44.3	44.18	43.86	44.08(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-60	-21	18	3.31	62%		74	0.89%	0	0.1	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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