Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 2, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $45.0400 (0.99%) ($44.8400 - $45.1200) on Wed. Feb. 2, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $45.0400(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.3(1.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.26(1.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.27(1.74%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.9% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2011	41.84	44.27	44.26	44.3	44.3	44.7	45.04(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	30	60	42	-5	4.18	63%	0.12	27.8	0.93%	0	1.9	53	0
2	Feb_1_2011	41.79	44.22	44.2	44.17	44.15	44.12	44.6(2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	-10	13	-23	4.1	62%	0.12	29.6	0.93%	0	1.1	55	0
3	Jan_31_2011	41.74	44.22	44.21	44.14	44.14	43.91	43.72(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-25	-40	-23	-29	5.32	59%	0.12	40.5	0.91%	0	-1.3	50	0
4	Jan_28_2011	41.69	44.22	44.29	44.21	44.28	44.18	43.68(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10	-12	-11	8.8	59%	0.12	55.7	0.91%	0	-1.5	49	0
5	Jan_27_2011	41.64	44.19	44.39	44.24	44.26	44.38	44.44(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	20	6	10	4.03	63%	0.14	59.5	0.88%	0	0.7	63	0

6	Jan_26_2011	41.58	44.16	44.41	44.2	44.12	44.39	44.39(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	40	13	22	5.19	63%	0.14	69	0.88%	0	0.6	63	0
7	Jan_25_2011	41.52	44.11	44.39	44.25	44.08	44.14	44.48(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-0	10	28	4.65	63%	0.07	77.3	0.89%	0	0.9	57	0
8	Jan_24_2011	41.49	44.05	44.34	44.3	44.18	43.86	44.08(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-60	-21	18	3.31	62%	0.12	74	0.89%	0	0.1	52	0
9	Jan_21_2011	41.44	44	44.33	44.4	44.37	44.02	43.8(-0.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-25	-60	-41	23	5.7	58%	0.14	79.4	0.89%	0	-0.4	56	0
10	Jan_20_2011	41.38	43.96	44.34	44.56	44.54	44.5	44.24(-0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-10	-21	49	4.76	61%	0.12	84.2	0.9%	0	0.6	67	0

11	Jan_19_2011	41.33	43.9	44.3	44.64	44.67	44.72	44.64(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	10	15	71	3.97	64%	0.19	81.3	0.89%	0	1.4	65	0
12	Jan_18_2011	41.25	43.82	44.24	44.55	44.6	44.58	44.72(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	0	10	71	2.97	64%	0.24	75.8	0.9%	0	1.6	72	0
13	Jan_14_2011	41.15	43.72	44.17	44.39	44.48	44.58	44.58(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	30	12	73	11.61	64%	0.17	71.5	0.9%	0	1.5	74	0
14	Jan_13_2011	41.08	43.64	44.07	44.26	44.3	44.62	44.6(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	50	30	79	6.45	64%	0.17	73	0.9%	0	1.7	76	0
15	Jan_12_2011	41.01	43.55	43.96	44.09	44.1	44.35	44.64(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	44	40	34	74	4.72	64%	0.17	71.3	0.9%	0	2.1	76	0

16	Jan_11_2011	40.94	43.46	43.87	43.92	43.95	43.98	44.22(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	10	13	65	10.16	62%	0.17	78.7	0.91%	0	1.6	74	0
17	Jan_10_2011	40.87	43.4	43.8	43.89	43.82	43.85	43.91(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	0	-8	63	8.98	62%	0.15	81.7	0.91%	0	1.1	70	0
18	Jan_7_2011	40.81	43.32	43.72	43.92	43.88	43.93	43.93(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	28	10	11	78	4.08	62%	0.12	76.1	0.91%	0	1.2	72	0
19	Jan_6_2011	40.76	43.24	43.63	43.86	43.89	43.78	43.76(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-20	3	71	11.35	62%	0.15	72.4	0.91%	0	1	66	0
20	Jan_5_2011	40.7	43.17	43.56	43.8	43.81	43.83	43.76(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	0	-9	67	7.93	67%	0.12	71.7	0.91%	0	1.1	69	0

21	Jan_4_2011	40.65	43.1	43.48	43.82	43.78	44	44.08(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	30	18	73	4	62%	0.17	81.3	0.98%	0	1.8	67	0
22	Jan_3_2011	40.58	43.03	43.36	43.69	43.74	43.8	44.05(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	10	24	65	4.52	62%	0.15	97.3	1.02%	0	2.1	70	0
23	Dec_31_2010	40.52	42.95	43.24	43.5	43.61	43.56	43.64(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-0	3	51	1.89	62%	0.15	114	1.02%	0	1.6	73	0
24	Dec_30_2010	40.46	42.88	43.17	43.38	43.49	43.69	43.48(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	40	9	52	3.04	59%	0.15	117.7	1.02%	0	1.5	68	0
25	Dec_29_2010	40.4	42.81	43.1	43.29	43.36	43.67	43.84(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	41	50	34	61	2.73	59%		114.6	1.03%	0	2.3	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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