Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 12, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $44.6400 (0.95%) ($44.3200 - $44.6800) on Wed. Jan. 12, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $44.6400(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.09(1.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.96(1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.55(2.5%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.22% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.35%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.18%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -0.64%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.13%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.94%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2011	41.01	43.55	43.96	44.09	44.1	44.35	44.64(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	44	40	34	74	4.72	64%	0.17	71.3	0.9%	0	2.1	76	NAN
2	Jan_11_2011	40.94	43.46	43.87	43.92	43.95	43.98	44.22(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	10	13	65	10.16	62%	0.17	78.7	0.91%	0	1.6	74	NAN
3	Jan_10_2011	40.87	43.4	43.8	43.89	43.82	43.85	43.91(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	10	0	-8	63	8.98	62%	0.15	81.7	0.91%	0	1.1	70	NAN
4	Jan_7_2011	40.81	43.32	43.72	43.92	43.88	43.93	43.93(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	28	10	11	78	4.08	62%	0.12	76.1	0.91%	0	1.2	72	NAN
5	Jan_6_2011	40.76	43.24	43.63	43.86	43.89	43.78	43.76(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-20	3	71	11.35	62%	0.15	72.4	0.91%	0	1	66	NAN

6	Jan_5_2011	40.7	43.17	43.56	43.8	43.81	43.83	43.76(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	0	-9	67	7.93	67%	0.12	71.7	0.91%	0	1.1	69	NAN
7	Jan_4_2011	40.65	43.1	43.48	43.82	43.78	44	44.08(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	30	18	73	4	62%	0.17	81.3	0.98%	0	1.8	67	NAN
8	Jan_3_2011	40.58	43.03	43.36	43.69	43.74	43.8	44.05(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	10	24	65	4.52	62%	0.15	97.3	1.02%	0	2.1	70	NAN
9	Dec_31_2010	40.52	42.95	43.24	43.5	43.61	43.56	43.64(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-0	3	51	1.89	62%	0.15	114	1.02%	0	1.6	73	NAN
10	Dec_30_2010	40.46	42.88	43.17	43.38	43.49	43.69	43.48(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	40	9	52	3.04	59%	0.15	117.7	1.02%	0	1.5	68	NAN

11	Dec_29_2010	40.4	42.81	43.1	43.29	43.36	43.67	43.84(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	41	50	34	61	2.73	59%	0.1	114.6	1.03%	0	2.3	77	NAN
12	Dec_28_2010	40.36	42.67	43.02	43.09	43.14	43.29	43.44(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	30	21	53	2.18	59%	0.1	82.5	1.02%	0	1.5	75	NAN
13	Dec_27_2010	40.32	42.57	42.95	42.99	42.99	43.05	43.12(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	10	6	41	1.97	59%	0.12	65.2	1.02%	0	1	56	NAN
14	Dec_23_2010	40.27	42.47	42.88	42.99	42.95	42.99	43(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	10	4	35	2.12	61%	0.1	51.4	1.02%	0	0.9	58	NAN
15	Dec_22_2010	40.23	42.4	42.82	42.94	42.9	42.94	43.03(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	0	5	36	3.18	61%	0.1	57	1.03%	0	1	62	NAN

16	Dec_21_2010	40.19	42.31	42.76	42.89	42.86	42.91	42.88(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	10	2	37	4.78	59%	0.1	57	1.03%	0	0.9	66	NAN
17	Dec_20_2010	40.15	42.25	42.69	42.92	42.83	42.86	42.92(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-0	1	55	2.63	61%	0.1	66	1.04%	0	1	75	NAN
18	Dec_17_2010	40.11	42.2	42.67	42.91	42.88	42.82	42.88(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	22	-10	5	73	4.07	61%	0.1	75	1.06%	0	1.1	71	NAN
19	Dec_16_2010	40.07	42.15	42.64	42.79	42.9	42.81	43(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10	2	83	3.9	59%	0.12	77.6	1.06%	0	1.4	74	NAN
20	Dec_15_2010	40.02	42.05	42.57	42.68	42.77	42.94	42.76(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	30	4	83	4.03	59%	0.1	64.5	1.07%	0	1.1	61	NAN

21	Dec_14_2010	39.98	41.93	42.49	42.6	42.67	43	43.05(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	60	32	101	5.94	59%	0.13	51.2	1.07%	0	1.6	70	NAN
22	Dec_13_2010	39.93	41.82	42.3	42.44	42.46	42.6	42.86(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	20	16	75	5.01	59%	0.13	44.3	1.07%	0	1.5	58	NAN
23	Dec_10_2010	39.88	41.73	42.14	42.41	42.36	42.34	42.3(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-3	60	4.88	57%	0.1	42.9	1.06%	0	0.9	53	NAN
24	Dec_9_2010	39.84	41.68	42.03	42.46	42.43	42.31	42.42(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-20	-3	55	4.23	57%	0.15	48.7	1.07%	0	1.1	54	NAN
25	Dec_8_2010	39.78	41.63	41.96	42.44	42.44	42.38	42.36(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10	-2	65	6.66	57%		59.7	1.07%	0	1.1	63	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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