Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 18, 2010

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $40.8400 (0.69%) ($40.8000 - $41.1200) on Mon. Oct. 18, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.06% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $40.8400(0.69%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.53% (StdDev 1.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.67(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.66(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.08(1.9%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.34%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.19%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.48%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2010	38.63	40.08	40.66		40.75	40.79	40.84(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	4	75	3.52	57%	0.08	47.9	1.06%	0	1.1	60	0
2	Oct_15_2010	38.6	40.02	40.48	40.67	40.63	40.77	40.56(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	20	-1	62	4.34	52%	0.05	49.1	1.1%	0	0.8	60	0
3	Oct_14_2010	38.58	39.94	40.39	40.74	40.68	40.7	40.88(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-0	12	76	7.62	52%	0.08	50.6	1.11%	0	1.4	65	0
4	Oct_13_2010	38.55	39.85	40.26	40.71	40.66	40.48	40.58(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-30	-9	74	7.08	52%	0.05	54	1.1%	0	1.1	67	0
5	Oct_12_2010	38.53	39.8	40.2	40.7	40.71	40.66	40.48(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10	-5	88	3.73	52%	0.05	62.2	1.11%	0	1.1	64	0

6	Oct_11_2010	38.51	39.76	40.14	40.63	40.72	40.83	40.84(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	30	27	106	1.91	52%	0.05	69.5	1.1%	0	1.8	66	0
7	Oct_8_2010	38.49	39.69	40.02	40.24	40.49	40.76	40.92(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	70	31	79	4.75	52%	0.05	62.4	1.11%	0	2.2	60	0
8	Oct_7_2010	38.47	39.6	39.86	39.98	40.04	40.61	40.72(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	45	100	37	69	3.55	55%	0.05	63.5	1.1%	0	2.2	65	0
9	Oct_6_2010	38.45	39.51	39.69	39.74	39.74	40.21	40.56(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	45	80	43	52	6.64	58%	0.03	59.6	1.13%	0	2.3	62	0
10	Oct_5_2010	38.44	39.42	39.54	39.64	39.53	39.47	40.12(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-20	11	25	5.5	58%	0.03	73.1	1.14%	0	1.7	53	0

11	Oct_4_2010	38.43	39.42	39.45	39.58	39.55	39.27	38.88(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-21	-50	-28	1	5.87	54%	-0.03	84.5	1.09%	0	-1.2	41	0
12	Oct_1_2010	38.44	39.35	39.53	39.74	39.75	39.6	39.62(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-30	-11	22	3.19	57%	0	103	1.06%	0	0.7	50	0
13	Sep_30_2010	38.44	39.29	39.47	39.72	39.77	39.84	39.54(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	20	4	24	4.58	57%	-0.03	101.8	1.06%	0	0.6	55	0
14	Sep_29_2010	38.45	39.24	39.43	39.6	39.72	39.91	40.04(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	40	26	26	3.25	55%	0	99.1	1.05%	0	1.8	64	0
15	Sep_28_2010	38.45	39.12	39.38	39.42	39.45	39.71	39.84(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	50	17	18	4.4	53%	-0.03	70.9	1.09%	0	1.3	63	0

16	Sep_27_2010	38.46	39.03	39.36	39.42	39.32	39.54	39.68(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	40	18	22	3.36	53%	0	64.4	1.1%	0	1.1	63	0
17	Sep_24_2010	38.46	38.95	39.35	39.3	39.32	39.2	39.48(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10	9	30	4.27	53%	-0.03	64.4	1.1%	0	0.9	61	0
18	Sep_23_2010	38.47	38.86	39.35	39.2	39.24	39.11	38.96(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-20	-10	25	3.81	49%	-0.03	49.1	1.09%	0	0.2	60	0
19	Sep_22_2010	38.48	38.8	39.32	39.23	39.26	39.29	39.12(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	10	-7	34	6.57	47%	-0.03	41.6	1.1%	0	0.5	60	0
20	Sep_21_2010	38.49	38.73	39.3	39.33	39.2	39.38	39.24(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	20	2	62	4.98	47%	-0.08	42.1	1.11%	0	0.7	73	0

21	Sep_20_2010	38.52	38.66	39.25	39.43	39.22	39.22	39.68(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-20	9	85	3.09	49%	-0.05	43.9	1.1%	0	1.4	70	0
22	Sep_17_2010	38.54	38.58	39.15	39.41	39.24	39.03	38.98(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-50	-14	86	3.05	46%	-0.08	48	1.08%	0	0.6	63	0
23	Sep_16_2010	38.57	38.55	39.11	39.46	39.35	39.22	39.12(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-30	-9	105	3.11	46%	-0.05	54.2	1.08%	0	0.8	70	0
24	Sep_15_2010	38.59	38.51	39.06	39.42	39.37	39.45	39.64(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	10	9	125	3.76	51%	-0.05	58.6	1.07%	0	1.7	77	0
25	Sep_14_2010	38.61	38.44	38.85	39.25	39.28	39.48	39.72(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	40	24	115	7.96	51%		49.1	1.09%	0	2.1	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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