Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 4, 2010

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.8800 (-1.87%) ($38.7600 - $39.2000) on Mon. Oct. 4, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $38.8800(-1.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $39.35
5 Day Moving Average   $39.58(-1.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.45(-1.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.35(-1.19%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.97% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.58%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.1%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.29%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.48%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.86%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2010	38.43		39.45	39.58	39.55	39.27	38.88(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-21	-50	-28	1	5.87	54%	-0.03	84.5	1.09%	0	-1.2	41	0
2	Oct_1_2010	38.44	39.35	39.53	39.74	39.75	39.6	39.62(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-30	-11	22	3.19	57%	0	103	1.06%	0	0.7	50	0
3	Sep_30_2010	38.44	39.29	39.47	39.72	39.77	39.84	39.54(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	20	4	24	4.58	57%	-0.03	101.8	1.06%	0	0.6	55	0
4	Sep_29_2010	38.45	39.24	39.43	39.6	39.72	39.91	40.04(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	40	26	26	3.25	55%	0	99.1	1.05%	0	1.8	64	0
5	Sep_28_2010	38.45	39.12	39.38	39.42	39.45	39.71	39.84(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	50	17	18	4.4	53%	-0.03	70.9	1.09%	0	1.3	63	0

6	Sep_27_2010	38.46	39.03	39.36	39.42	39.32	39.54	39.68(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	40	18	22	3.36	53%	0	64.4	1.1%	0	1.1	63	0
7	Sep_24_2010	38.46	38.95	39.35	39.3	39.32	39.2	39.48(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-10	9	30	4.27	53%	-0.03	64.4	1.1%	0	0.9	61	0
8	Sep_23_2010	38.47	38.86	39.35	39.2	39.24	39.11	38.96(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-20	-10	25	3.81	49%	-0.03	49.1	1.09%	0	0.2	60	0
9	Sep_22_2010	38.48	38.8	39.32	39.23	39.26	39.29	39.12(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	10	-7	34	6.57	47%	-0.03	41.6	1.1%	0	0.5	60	0
10	Sep_21_2010	38.49	38.73	39.3	39.33	39.2	39.38	39.24(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	20	2	62	4.98	47%	-0.08	42.1	1.11%	0	0.7	73	0

11	Sep_20_2010	38.52	38.66	39.25	39.43	39.22	39.22	39.68(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-20	9	85	3.09	49%	-0.05	43.9	1.1%	0	1.4	70	0
12	Sep_17_2010	38.54	38.58	39.15	39.41	39.24	39.03	38.98(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-50	-14	86	3.05	46%	-0.08	48	1.08%	0	0.6	63	0
13	Sep_16_2010	38.57	38.55	39.11	39.46	39.35	39.22	39.12(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	20	-30	-9	105	3.11	46%	-0.05	54.2	1.08%	0	0.8	70	0
14	Sep_15_2010	38.59	38.51	39.06	39.42	39.37	39.45	39.64(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	10	9	125	3.76	51%	-0.05	58.6	1.07%	0	1.7	77	0
15	Sep_14_2010	38.61	38.44	38.85	39.25	39.28	39.48	39.72(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	40	24	115	7.96	51%	-0.05	49.1	1.09%	0	2.1	75	0

16	Sep_13_2010	38.63	38.35	38.67	39.04	39.09	39.29	39.6(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	40	23	103	2.39	51%	-0.05	33.6	1.09%	0	2.3	73	0
17	Sep_10_2010	38.65	38.25	38.52	38.87	38.93	39.07	39.2(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	30	17	89	3.73	53%	-0.08	13	1.09%	0	2	65	0
18	Sep_9_2010	38.68	38.18	38.36	38.72	38.84	38.9	38.92(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	20	13	66	5.95	53%	-0.08	-8.8	1.1%	0	1.7	55	0
19	Sep_8_2010	38.71	38.12	38.23	38.64	38.66	38.8	38.8(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	30	16	52	3.7	53%	-0.08	-29.4	1.1%	0	1.7	52	0
20	Sep_7_2010	38.74	38.14	38.12	38.39	38.53	38.78	38.7(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	60	28	30	4.74	51%	-0.15	-42.6	1.11%	0	1.3	55	0

21	Sep_3_2010	38.8	38.17	38.03	38.24	38.2	38.52	38.72(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	60	21	13	3.79	48%	-0.1	-38.9	1.14%	0	1	58	0
22	Sep_2_2010	38.84	38.19	37.95	38.11	38.02	38.29	38.44(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	40	28	9	3.64	48%	-0.13	-37.7	1.14%	0	0.4	59	0
23	Sep_1_2010	38.89	38.22	37.94	37.94	37.95	37.88	38.56(2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	13	-10	17	-1	4.87	48%	-0.1	-42	1.14%	0	0.5	60	0
24	Aug_31_2010	38.93	38.24	37.91	37.76	37.81	37.76	37.52(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10	-15	-22	5.57	44%	-0.13	-44.7	1.09%	0	-1.1	44	0
25	Aug_30_2010	38.98	38.32	37.99	37.81	37.82	38.03	37.96(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	40	12	-21	9.19	45%		-35.5	1.09%	0	-0.5	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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