Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 13, 2010

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.6000 (1.02%) ($39.3200 - $39.6000) on Mon. Sep. 13, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $39.6000(1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(3%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.04(1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.67(2.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.35(3.26%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.43% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.41%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.79%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.74%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2010	38.63	38.35	38.67	39.04	39.09	39.29	39.6(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	40	23	103	2.39	51%	-0.05	33.6	1.09%	0	2.3	73	0
2	Sep_10_2010	38.65	38.25	38.52	38.87	38.93	39.07	39.2(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	30	17	89	3.73	53%	-0.08	13	1.09%	0	2	65	0
3	Sep_9_2010	38.68	38.18	38.36	38.72	38.84	38.9	38.92(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	20	13	66	5.95	53%	-0.08	-8.8	1.1%	0	1.7	55	0
4	Sep_8_2010	38.71	38.12	38.23	38.64	38.66	38.8	38.8(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	30	16	52	3.7	53%	-0.08	-29.4	1.1%	0	1.7	52	0
5	Sep_7_2010	38.74	38.14	38.12	38.39	38.53	38.78	38.7(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	60	28	30	4.74	51%	-0.15	-42.6	1.11%	0	1.3	55	0

6	Sep_3_2010	38.8	38.17	38.03	38.24	38.2	38.52	38.72(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	60	21	13	3.79	48%	-0.1	-38.9	1.14%	0	1	58	0
7	Sep_2_2010	38.84	38.19	37.95	38.11	38.02	38.29	38.44(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	40	28	9	3.64	48%	-0.13	-37.7	1.14%	0	0.4	59	0
8	Sep_1_2010	38.89	38.22	37.94	37.94	37.95	37.88	38.56(2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	13	-10	17	-1	4.87	48%	-0.1	-42	1.14%	0	0.5	60	0
9	Aug_31_2010	38.93	38.24	37.91	37.76	37.81	37.76	37.52(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10	-15	-22	5.57	44%	-0.13	-44.7	1.09%	0	-1.1	44	0
10	Aug_30_2010	38.98	38.32	37.99	37.81	37.82	38.03	37.96(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	40	12	-21	9.19	45%	-0.1	-35.5	1.09%	0	-0.5	31	0

11	Aug_27_2010	39.02	38.39	38	37.78	37.82	37.85	38.08(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	20	11	-42	4.22	47%	-0.13	-30.8	1.11%	0	-0.5	30	0
12	Aug_26_2010	39.07	38.41	37.97	37.77	37.75	37.61	37.6(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-26	-30	-11	-72	4.17	43%	-0.1	-30.2	1.14%	0	-1.2	23	0
13	Aug_25_2010	39.11	38.48	37.99	37.93	37.83	37.65	37.64(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-40	-25	-81	5.56	43%	-0.13	-16.8	1.15%	0	-1.4	31	0
14	Aug_24_2010	39.16	38.53	38.03	38.1	38.07	37.89	37.76(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-40	-14	-81	6.8	42%	-0.13	1.3	1.15%	0	-1.3	32	0
15	Aug_23_2010	39.21	38.56	38.16	38.19	38.25	38	37.8(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-40	-16	-75	2.14	42%	-0.03	9.5	1.16%	0	-1.3	31	0

16	Aug_20_2010	39.22	38.59	38.32	38.24	38.34	38.26	38.04(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10	-7	-67	2.65	40%	-0.13	18.9	1.17%	0	-1	31	0
17	Aug_19_2010	39.27	38.61	38.46	38.18	38.33	38.5	38.4(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	40	13	-53	5.84	40%	-0.08	23.6	1.18%	0	-0.4	50	0
18	Aug_18_2010	39.3	38.58	38.52	38.06	38.16	38.42	38.48(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	60	21	-57	2.5	38%	-0.1	11.3	1.18%	0	-0.2	46	0
19	Aug_17_2010	39.34	38.52	38.58	37.95	37.98	38.16	38.24(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	40	4	-65	2.73	38%	-0.1	-4	1.2%	0	-0.4	47	0
20	Aug_16_2010	39.38	38.5	38.67	38.15	37.9	37.91	38.04(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-20	-14	-48	2.35	38%	-0.08	0	1.19%	0	-0.7	51	0

21	Aug_13_2010	39.41	38.49	38.81	38.44	38.17	37.79	37.76(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-27	-90	-29	-22	3.34	38%	-0.1	6.8	1.19%	0	-1	46	0
22	Aug_12_2010	39.45	38.48	38.9	38.78	38.56	37.89	37.8(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-37	-140	-48	-3	5.79	38%	-0.08	14.1	1.2%	0	-1	47	0
23	Aug_11_2010	39.48	38.51	39.02	39.03	38.97	38.54	37.92(-3.36%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.6	-26	-80	-45	30	6.46	36%	-0.1	23.1	1.2%	0	-0.8	56	0
24	Aug_10_2010	39.52	38.55	39.1	39.27	39.22	39.23	39.24(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	16	-0	-7	84	2.98	44%	-0.05	34.1	1.16%	0	1	77	0
25	Aug_9_2010	39.54	38.5	39	39.26	39.23	39.4	39.48(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	30	10	94	4.96	44%		39.1	1.21%	0	1.5	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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