Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 6, 2010

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.4400 (0.92%) ($39.0400 - $39.5200) on Fri. Aug. 6, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $39.4400(0.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.24(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.89(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.44(2.6%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.64% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.49%(83%) Average negative next day return: -0.49%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.75%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.63%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.03%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.08%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_6_2010	39.56	38.44	38.89	39.24	39.16	39.21	39.44(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	0	16	106	5.78	44%	-0.05	48.8	1.22%	0	1.6	69	NAN
2	Aug_5_2010	39.58	38.38	38.78	39.06	39.1	39.05	39.08(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10	4	102	3.34	44%	-0.05	55.2	1.21%	0	1.2	69	NAN
3	Aug_4_2010	39.6	38.35	38.65	39.01	38.96	39.1	39.12(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	20	4	94	3.01	41%	-0.08	69.8	1.21%	0	1.4	56	NAN
4	Aug_3_2010	39.63	38.32	38.46	38.9	38.91	39.15	39.2(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	40	25	74	5.21	41%	-0.03	82.6	1.27%	0	1.6	53	NAN
5	Aug_2_2010	39.64	38.24	38.31	38.7	38.77	38.81	39.36(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	27	10	19	52	4.49	41%	-0.05	76.3	1.27%	0	2.1	56	NAN

6	Jul_30_2010	39.66	38.13	38.12	38.5	38.53	38.68	38.52(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	30	2	24	4.58	38%	-0.08	58.8	1.25%	0	0.8	53	NAN
7	Jul_29_2010	39.69	38.05	38.01	38.46	38.45	38.73	38.84(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	50	27	20	4.38	39%	-0.03	43.3	1.25%	0	1.4	53	NAN
8	Jul_28_2010	39.7	37.95	37.95	38.24	38.27	38.39	38.6(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	20	26	2	4.92	39%	-0.05	21.5	1.25%	0	1.1	48	NAN
9	Jul_27_2010	39.72	37.87	37.94	37.94	38.07	38.18	38.16(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	30	10	-25	6.08	38%	-0.08	-5.4	1.24%	0	0.5	45	NAN
10	Jul_26_2010	39.75	37.84	37.96	37.86	37.86	38.15	38.36(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	50	19	-21	5.97	38%	-0.05	-18.1	1.26%	0	0.8	55	NAN

11	Jul_23_2010	39.77	37.83	37.96	37.69	37.69	37.96	38.32(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	17	50	28	-17	2.84	38%	-0.05	-30.5	1.26%	0	0.8	62	NAN
12	Jul_22_2010	39.79	37.81	37.93	37.5	37.51	37.57	37.76(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	10	2	-25	10.98	36%	-0.08	-44.7	1.25%	0	-0.1	60	NAN
13	Jul_21_2010	39.82	37.83	38.02	37.62	37.46	37.41	37.08(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-20	-21	-5	4.4	33%	-0.08	-43.9	1.23%	0	-1.2	56	NAN
14	Jul_20_2010	39.85	37.9	38.17	37.94	37.69	37.46	37.76(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-60	-14	42	3.46	34%	-0.08	-31.1	1.21%	0	-0.2	64	NAN
15	Jul_19_2010	39.88	37.96	38.19	38.07	37.97	37.5	37.52(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-10	-90	-29	48	5.93	34%	-0.05	-16.1	1.21%	0	-0.7	49	NAN

16	Jul_16_2010	39.9	38.02	38.16	38.21	38.21	37.92	37.39(-2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-14	-50	-34	45	6.33	33%	-0.05	-2.8	1.21%	0	-0.9	44	NAN
17	Jul_15_2010	39.92	38.08	38.14	38.41	38.21	38.45	38.36(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	10	-4	62	4.21	35%	-0.03	11.4	1.19%	0	0.4	53	NAN
18	Jul_14_2010	39.93	38.1	37.99	38.46	38.36	38.5	38.68(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	20	11	57	6.27	35%	-0.03	24.7	1.19%	0	0.9	55	NAN
19	Jul_13_2010	39.94	38.09	37.8	38.44	38.33	38.28	38.4(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-20	8	34	2.28	35%	-0.03	34.1	1.19%	0	0.5	46	NAN
20	Jul_12_2010	39.95	38.06	37.73	38.33	38.31	38.22	38.2(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-20	3	8	2.63	35%	-0.03	37.4	1.18%	0	0.2	39	NAN

21	Jul_9_2010	39.96	38.04	37.71	38.1	38.29	38.39	38.4(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	13	30	20	-9	2.94	35%	-0.03	31.3	1.18%	0	0.5	44	NAN
22	Jul_8_2010	39.97	38.01	37.66	37.81	38	38.4	38.64(0.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	19	90	36	-33	3.8	35%	-0.03	17.3	1.18%	0	0.9	47	NAN
23	Jul_7_2010	39.98	37.93	37.59	37.44	37.6	38.19	38.56(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	22	120	50	-64	5.01	35%	-0.03	-3.8	1.18%	0	0.9	46	NAN
24	Jul_6_2010	39.99	37.86	37.57	37.09	37.26	37.6	37.84(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	80	34	-101	4.09	32%	-0.05	-23.2	1.15%	0	-0	40	NAN
25	Jul_2_2010	40.01	37.81	37.68	37.06	36.99	37.01	37.08(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-0	-12	-114	4.02	28%		-30.6	1.11%	0	-1	42	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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