Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 20, 2010

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $41.7600 (-0.38%) ($41.7200 - $42.0000) on Tue. Apr. 20, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.88% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $41.7600(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.44% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.44% (StdDev 0.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $42.11
5 Day Moving Average   $42.22(-1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.32(-1.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.11(-0.83%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.42%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.74%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.57%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2010	40.53	42.11	42.32	42.22	42.13	41.82	41.76(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-60	-21	-12	5.62	51%	0.07	41.4	0.88%	0	-0.7	44	0
2	Apr_19_2010	40.5	42.1	42.39	42.34	42.29	41.99	41.92(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-27	-50	-35	-2	8.43	51%	0.12	50.4	0.92%	0	-0.4	50	0
3	Apr_16_2010	40.45	42.07	42.44	42.46	42.44	42.44	42(-1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-6	-0	-16	26	9.58	51%	0.05	53.9	0.92%	0	-0.1	59	0
4	Apr_15_2010	40.43	42.03	42.48	42.57	42.5	42.59	42.8(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	29	10	14	72	5.82	55%	0.12	61	0.9%	0	1.4	78	0
5	Apr_14_2010	40.38	41.97	42.38	42.5	42.44	42.44	42.6(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-0	6	73	6.36	58%	0.12	71.3	0.9%	0	1.2	71	0

6	Apr_13_2010	40.33	41.91	42.35	42.5	42.44	42.41	42.4(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-0	-2	74	3.61	58%	0.15	77.8	0.91%	0	0.9	57	0
7	Apr_12_2010	40.27	41.84	42.31	42.46	42.38	42.44	42.48(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	0	9	88	4.66	58%	0.12	77.1	0.92%	0	1.2	62	0
8	Apr_9_2010	40.22	41.78	42.22	42.42	42.33	42.34	42.56(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-0	5	90	5.39	58%	0.15	82.9	0.92%	0	1.4	65	0
9	Apr_8_2010	40.16	41.69	42.06	42.38	42.29	42.31	42.44(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-0	6	84	5.46	59%	0.12	85.6	0.93%	0	1.4	63	0
10	Apr_7_2010	40.11	41.59	41.94	42.25	42.28	42.33	42.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	24	10	9	67	6.65	59%	0.1	74.1	0.94%	0	1.4	58	0

11	Apr_6_2010	40.07	41.5	41.87	42.22	42.15	42.27	42.4(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	10	6	71	4.26	59%	0.1	76.4	0.94%	0	1.6	60	0
12	Apr_5_2010	40.03	41.42	41.77	42.15	42.14	42.23	42.28(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	10	21	79	5.06	59%	0.15	83.5	0.94%	0	1.6	63	0
13	Apr_1_2010	39.97	41.33	41.66	42	42.06	42.03	42.4(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-0	20	63	14.9	63%	0.1	79.3	0.99%	0	1.8	61	0
14	Mar_31_2010	39.93	41.22	41.54	41.7	41.86	42.05	41.76(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	40	10	43	9.42	61%	0.1	75.6	0.98%	0	1	61	0
15	Mar_30_2010	39.89	41.16	41.52	41.57	41.68	42.09	42.28(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	41	80	35	59	5.17	64%	0.08	77.6	0.97%	0	2	70	0

16	Mar_29_2010	39.86	41.06	41.42	41.47	41.4	41.68	42.04(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	40	30	59	3.64	64%	0.1	85.8	0.98%	0	1.9	64	0
17	Mar_26_2010	39.82	40.96	41.32	41.34	41.32	41.27	41.52(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10	12	44	11.05	62%	0.08	84.5	0.97%	0	1.1	58	0
18	Mar_25_2010	39.79	40.88	41.28	41.28	41.27	41.12	40.88(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-30	-19	37	6.4	60%	0.05	80.3	0.96%	0	0	56	0
19	Mar_24_2010	39.77	40.82	41.29	41.36	41.31	41.38	41.12(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	10	-8	58	6.64	60%	0.08	74.8	0.96%	0	0.5	63	0
20	Mar_23_2010	39.74	40.74	41.22	41.45	41.35	41.42	41.8(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	0	15	76	6.59	64%	0.08	72.7	0.94%	0	1.5	64	0

21	Mar_22_2010	39.71	40.62	41.11	41.37	41.31	41.24	41.4(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-20	1	71	4.17	62%	0.1	69.4	0.93%	0	1.1	64	0
22	Mar_19_2010	39.67	40.53	41.05	41.37	41.33	41.29	41.2(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-0	-3	75	4.44	62%	0.05	65.6	0.92%	0	0.9	64	0
23	Mar_18_2010	39.65	40.42	40.99	41.29	41.25	41.39	41.28(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	20	8	92	5.72	62%	0.1	64.6	0.93%	0	1.2	69	0
24	Mar_17_2010	39.61	40.34	40.88	41.19	41.19	41.37	41.56(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	30	32	104	6.55	58%	0.08	65.3	0.93%	0	1.7	75	0
25	Mar_16_2010	39.58	40.24	40.78	40.96	41	41.11	41.4(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	20	18	95	5.37	61%		63.4	0.94%	0	1.8	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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