Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 25, 2010

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $41.0000 (0.79%) ($40.8400 - $41.1600) on Mon. Jan. 25, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $41.0000(0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.11(-0.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.27(-0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.59(1.01%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.26%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.36%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.21%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2010	39.57	40.59	41.27	41.11	41	40.98	41(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10	-16	48	4.21	59%	0.03	49.3	1.11%	0	0.5	63	0
2	Jan_22_2010	39.56	40.52	41.22	41.29	41.18	41.06	40.68(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-30	-15	79	7.06	55%	0	50.7	1.14%	0	0.2	70	0
3	Jan_21_2010	39.56	40.45	41.18	41.54	41.41	41.03	41.12(0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-70	-18	109	14.1	55%	0.03	57.7	1.13%	0	0.8	69	0
4	Jan_20_2010	39.55	40.37	41.11	41.59	41.56	41.29	40.92(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-50	-26	119	8.36	55%	0.03	56	1.13%	0	0.6	62	0
5	Jan_19_2010	39.54	40.3	41.05	41.63	41.64	41.79	41.84(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	30	10	152	4.34	61%	-0.03	55	1.1%	0	1.7	73	0

6	Jan_15_2010	39.55	40.18	40.86	41.43	41.5	41.84	41.88(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	64	60	35	149	9.4	58%	0.03	52.5	1.13%	0	2	70	0
7	Jan_14_2010	39.54	40.08	40.57	41.15	41.22	41.5	41.96(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	50	41	128	6.48	59%	0.03	50.8	1.13%	0	2.4	73	0
8	Jan_13_2010	39.53	39.95	40.3	40.76	40.87	41.16	41.36(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	60	26	95	8.88	57%	0.03	43.8	1.13%	0	2.2	71	0
9	Jan_12_2010	39.52	39.86	40.13	40.56	40.57	40.94	41.12(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	60	29	88	7.62	57%	0.03	42	1.13%	0	2.3	69	0
10	Jan_11_2010	39.51	39.79	39.96	40.38	40.35	40.59	40.84(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	40	29	77	5.21	57%	0	37.9	1.12%	0	2.3	65	0

11	Jan_8_2010	39.51	39.72	39.84	40.2	40.21	40.21	40.48(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	0	22	64	4.22	59%	0	28.6	1.12%	0	1.9	61	0
12	Jan_7_2010	39.51	39.69	39.73	39.9	40.03	40.12	40(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	30	9	28	8.01	58%	0	14	1.12%	0	0.9	47	0
13	Jan_6_2010	39.51	39.67	39.67	39.75	39.81	40.21	40.36(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	24	70	25	22	9.72	60%	0.03	4.7	1.12%	0	2	59	0
14	Jan_5_2010	39.5	39.63	39.56	39.62	39.54	39.94	40.2(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	26	60	31	9	7.8	60%	0.03	14.5	1.12%	0	1.9	53	0
15	Jan_4_2010	39.49	39.63	39.48	39.5	39.44	39.42	39.96(2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	9	-10	15	-11	5.93	60%	-0.03	45.5	1.13%	0	1.3	51	0

16	Dec_31_2009	39.5	39.61	39.44	39.45	39.42	39.14	38.96(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-24	-50	-22	-30	3.57	51%	-0.03	76.5	1.09%	0	-2.4	43	0
17	Dec_30_2009	39.51	39.64	39.55	39.54	39.54	39.46	39.28(-1.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10	-13	-16	5.37	51%	0	146.6	1.14%	0	-1.6	42	0
18	Dec_29_2009	39.51	39.65	39.58	39.55	39.6	39.71	39.72(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	20	10	-10	2.75	48%	0	205.7	1.13%	0	0.3	49	0
19	Dec_28_2009	39.51	39.59	39.59	39.48	39.47	39.63	39.56(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	30	8	-13	2.71	48%	0	121.9	1.16%	0	-0.1	49	0
20	Dec_24_2009	39.51	39.49	39.61	39.46	39.41	39.5	39.72(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	10	10	-16	3.03	48%	-0.03	82.6	1.16%	0	0.4	46	0

21	Dec_23_2009	39.52	39.41	39.59	39.43	39.39	39.32	39.44(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-20	-8	-31	3.65	47%	0	69.7	1.15%	0	0	41	0
22	Dec_22_2009	39.52	39.3	39.63	39.57	39.43	39.33	39.32(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-30	-13	-18	7.01	49%	-0.03	56	1.16%	0	0	51	0
23	Dec_21_2009	39.53	39.23	39.68	39.61	39.66	39.46	39.36(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-30	-7	-10	6.29	48%	0	48.5	1.17%	0	0.1	49	0
24	Dec_18_2009	39.53	39.13	39.71	39.7	39.68	39.53	39.48(-0.2%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-12	-30	-19	8	5.45	48%	0	42.6	1.18%	0	0.3	66	0
25	Dec_17_2009	39.53	39.01	39.76	39.77	39.76	39.86	39.56(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	20	1	50	5.95	47%		36.9	1.18%	0	0.5	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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