Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 7, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.6400 (-0.8%) ($39.6000 - $40.0000) on Mon. Dec. 7, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $39.6400(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.7(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.75(2.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.43(3.15%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.14%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.64%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2009	39.42	38.43	38.75	39.7	39.83	39.94	39.64(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	43	30	10	143	8.4	48%	0.08	37.6	1.17%	0	1.3	55	0
2	Dec_4_2009	39.39	38.37	38.51	39.42	39.73	40.06	39.96(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	67	80	47	126	16.31	48%	0.08	32.1	1.17%	0	1.8	60	0
3	Dec_3_2009	39.36	38.3	38.2	38.93	39.27	39.73	39.96(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	58	110	50	80	11.29	48%	0.05	18	1.17%	0	2.1	62	0
4	Dec_2_2009	39.34	38.21	37.97	38.5	38.62	39.39	39.4(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	52	150	56	41	14.98	46%	0.08	5.5	1.16%	0	1.7	53	0
5	Dec_1_2009	39.31	38.16	37.84	38.05	38.19	38.82	39.56(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	57	130	73	9	18.91	44%	0.08	-13.1	1.16%	0	2.2	54	0

6	Nov_30_2009	39.28	38.1	37.72	37.66	37.67	37.85	38.24(2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	30	27	-46	9.51	40%	0.03	-34.7	1.08%	0	0.3	43	0
7	Nov_27_2009	39.27	38.09	37.71	37.46	37.52	37.57	37.48(-0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-10	10	12	-74	5.29	36%	0.08	-49.7	1.04%	0	-1.1	42	0
8	Nov_25_2009	39.24	38.15	37.76	37.36	37.45	37.48	37.8(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-21	10	5	-99	7.12	36%	0	-64.8	1.03%	0	-0.6	42	0
9	Nov_24_2009	39.24	38.17	37.84	37.37	37.28	37.46	37.16(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-37	30	-14	-107	9.02	33%	0	-78	1.01%	0	-1.9	39	0
10	Nov_23_2009	39.24	38.24	37.98	37.58	37.45	37.42	37.64(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-20	-20	1	-84	7.88	35%	-0.05	-85.9	1%	0	-1.2	42	0

11	Nov_20_2009	39.26	38.29	38.11	37.79	37.57	37.11	37.24(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-51	-100	-41	-79	8.67	35%	0	-88	1%	0	-2.2	37	0
12	Nov_19_2009	39.26	38.37	38.24	38.01	37.92	37.48	36.96(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-50	-90	-47	-60	8.51	35%	-0.03	-77.7	1.01%	0	-2.8	40	0
13	Nov_18_2009	39.27	38.51	38.43	38.21	38.22	38.04	37.84(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-30	-27	-36	6.17	37%	0	-78.9	0.97%	0	-1.5	41	0
14	Nov_17_2009	39.27	38.6	38.49	38.36	38.27	38.37	38.24(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	10	-10	-10	5.47	35%	0	-70.5	0.97%	0	-0.8	53	0
15	Nov_16_2009	39.27	38.67	38.52	38.44	38.27	38.4	38.68(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-0	9	5	8.07	37%	0.03	-60.4	1.02%	0	0	52	0

16	Nov_13_2009	39.26	38.72	38.51	38.49	38.4	38.17	38.32(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-50	-17	-3	7.27	37%	0	-56.9	1.01%	0	-0.8	47	0
17	Nov_12_2009	39.26	38.76	38.5	38.52	38.53	38.4	37.96(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-19	-20	-22	-9	5.66	37%	0.03	-57.1	1.01%	0	-1.4	41	0
18	Nov_11_2009	39.25	38.86	38.58	38.67	38.6	38.64	38.6(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-0	0	0	-1	3.49	39%	0.03	-46.8	0.99%	0	-0.4	37	0
19	Nov_10_2009	39.24	38.93	38.53	38.64	38.6	38.67	38.64(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	10	6	-23	4.9	39%	0.05	-42.7	0.99%	0	-0.5	38	0
20	Nov_9_2009	39.22	38.98	38.52	38.62	38.59	38.57	38.92(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10	11	-42	4.61	39%	0.03	-37.2	0.99%	0	-0.1	39	0

21	Nov_6_2009	39.21	39.03	38.48	38.54	38.46	38.51	38.48(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	0	-4	-72	6.39	36%	0.03	-31.1	0.98%	0	-0.8	32	0
22	Nov_5_2009	39.2	39.09	38.51	38.49	38.52	38.6	38.72(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	20	12	-78	4.17	36%	0.03	-23.1	0.98%	0	-0.6	45	0
23	Nov_4_2009	39.19	39.14	38.59	38.48	38.45	38.42	38.44(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	-10	3	-88	5.97	36%	0.05	-16.9	0.98%	0	-1.1	35	0
24	Nov_3_2009	39.17	39.19	38.7	38.41	38.47	38.43	38.52(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-0	-2	-105	6.07	40%	0	-23.6	0.98%	0	-1.1	34	0
25	Nov_2_2009	39.17	39.22	38.81	38.4	38.45	38.49	38.56(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	10	-2	-105	10.58	40%		-28	1%	0	-1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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