Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 11, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.6000 (-0.1%) ($38.5600 - $38.9200) on Wed. Nov. 11, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $38.6000(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $38.86
5 Day Moving Average   $38.67(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.58(0.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.86(-0.67%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.54% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2009	39.25	38.86	38.58	38.67	38.6	38.64	38.6(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-0	0	0	-1	3.49	39%	0.03	-46.8	0.99%	0	-0.4	37	0
2	Nov_10_2009	39.24	38.93	38.53	38.64	38.6	38.67	38.64(-0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-1	10	6	-23	4.9	39%	0.05	-42.7	0.99%	0	-0.5	38	0
3	Nov_9_2009	39.22	38.98	38.52	38.62	38.59	38.57	38.92(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	-10	11	-42	4.61	39%	0.03	-37.2	0.99%	0	-0.1	39	0
4	Nov_6_2009	39.21	39.03	38.48	38.54	38.46	38.51	38.48(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	0	-4	-72	6.39	36%	0.03	-31.1	0.98%	0	-0.8	32	0
5	Nov_5_2009	39.2	39.09	38.51	38.49	38.52	38.6	38.72(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	20	12	-78	4.17	36%	0.03	-23.1	0.98%	0	-0.6	45	0

6	Nov_4_2009	39.19	39.14	38.59	38.48	38.45	38.42	38.44(-0.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	-10	3	-88	5.97	36%	0.05	-16.9	0.98%	0	-1.1	35	0
7	Nov_3_2009	39.17	39.19	38.7	38.41	38.47	38.43	38.52(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-0	-2	-105	6.07	40%	0	-23.6	0.98%	0	-1.1	34	0
8	Nov_2_2009	39.17	39.22	38.81	38.4	38.47	38.49	38.56(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-28	10	-2	-105	10.58	40%	0.03	-28	1%	0	-1	40	0
9	Oct_30_2009	39.16	39.23	38.93	38.42	38.45	38.51	38.2(-1.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-31	10	-5	-107	9.55	40%	0	-39.2	1%	0	-1.6	35	0
10	Oct_29_2009	39.16	39.24	39.04	38.53	38.57	38.42	38.68(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-35	-20	-10	-111	5.26	41%	0.03	-49.4	0.99%	0	-0.9	39	0

11	Oct_28_2009	39.15	39.25	39.16	38.73	38.63	38.38	38.08(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-59	-50	-43	-108	7.97	38%	0	-54.2	0.98%	0	-1.9	31	0
12	Oct_27_2009	39.15	39.34	39.37	39.03	38.94	38.72	38.48(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-50	-30	-69	6.57	39%	0.03	-50	0.97%	0	-1.6	42	0
13	Oct_26_2009	39.14	39.4	39.5	39.28	39.21	38.89	38.64(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-60	-34	-41	7.38	39%	0.05	-47.2	0.97%	0	-1.4	49	0
14	Oct_23_2009	39.12	39.49	39.63	39.52	39.44	39.16	38.76(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-60	-31	-1	6.56	39%	0.03	-36	0.97%	0	-1.3	56	0
15	Oct_22_2009	39.11	39.55	39.74	39.61	39.65	39.54	39.68(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-20	-9	40	5.46	43%	0.05	-36.7	0.93%	0	0.2	70	0

16	Oct_21_2009	39.09	39.58	39.75	39.66	39.57	39.71	39.6(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	20	-8	61	5.28	43%	0.05	-34	0.94%	0	0	60	0
17	Oct_20_2009	39.07	39.62	39.73	39.76	39.6	39.75	39.72(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	10	15	76	4.34	43%	0.05	-30.2	0.94%	0	0.2	49	0
18	Oct_19_2009	39.05	39.66	39.67	39.75	39.67	39.43	39.84(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-50	-1	61	6.31	43%	0.05	-29.8	0.95%	0	0.3	52	0
19	Oct_16_2009	39.03	39.68	39.55	39.76	39.66	39.44	39.2(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-24	-50	-39	22	4.72	39%	0.05	-33.1	0.93%	0	-0.7	39	0
20	Oct_15_2009	39.01	39.75	39.47	39.88	39.88	39.92	39.92(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	10	4	25	4.18	42%	0.08	-31	0.9%	0	0.3	47	0

21	Oct_14_2009	38.98	39.78	39.35	39.86	39.87	39.88	40.12(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	0	13	1	4.65	42%	0.08	-35.4	0.91%	0	0.5	46	0
22	Oct_13_2009	38.95	39.81	39.3	39.7	39.82	39.84	39.68(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	2	10	10	-24	5.58	39%	0	-39.2	0.9%	0	-0.2	42	0
23	Oct_12_2009	38.95	39.85	39.29	39.57	39.7	39.86	39.88(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	40	26	-50	3.38	39%	0.1	-42.5	0.9%	0	0	40	0
24	Oct_9_2009	38.91	39.91	39.32	39.3	39.46	39.81	39.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	17	70	44	-65	5.81	39%	0.08	-45.3	0.91%	0	-0.1	45	0
25	Oct_8_2009	38.88	39.97	39.33	38.99	39.11	39.54	39.8(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	90	48	-103	7.07	39%		-49.3	0.91%	0	-0.2	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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