Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Oct. 8, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.8000 (1.12%) ($39.6800 - $40.1200) on Thu. Oct. 8, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $39.8000(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.21(-11.53%)
Resistance Level   $39.97
5 Day Moving Average   $38.99(2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.33(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.97(-0.43%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.59%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.33%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.51%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2009	38.88	39.97	39.33	38.99	39.11	39.54	39.8(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	90	48	-103	7.07	39%	0.08	-49.3	0.91%	0	-0.2	42	0
2	Oct_7_2009	38.85	40.03	39.38	38.78	38.72	39.11	39.36(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-21	70	19	-139	7.66	36%	0.08	-51.6	0.9%	0	-0.8	40	0
3	Oct_6_2009	38.82	40.1	39.47	38.86	38.71	38.69	39(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	-20	6	-145	8.15	33%	0.05	-48.1	0.91%	0	-1.3	34	0
4	Oct_5_2009	38.8	40.18	39.64	38.98	38.91	38.34	38.56(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-80	-110	-53	-161	5.74	29%	0.08	-47.3	0.9%	0	-2	32	0
5	Oct_2_2009	38.77	40.28	39.82	39.34	39.25	38.73	38.24(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-98	-100	-80	-152	10.16	26%	0.05	-45.3	0.9%	0	-2.8	27	0

6	Oct_1_2009	38.75	40.39	40.08	39.71	39.75	39.49	38.76(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-59	-40	-42	-109	7.9	28%	0.08	-47.5	0.93%	0	-2.9	28	0
7	Sep_30_2009	38.72	40.48	40.26	40.04	40.03	39.77	39.76(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-50	-28	-90	7.15	32%	0.08	-48.5	0.88%	0	-1.8	34	0
8	Sep_29_2009	38.69	40.51	40.37	40.16	40.25	40.01	39.56(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-49	-40	-38	-83	7.51	32%	0.08	-50	0.88%	0	-2.5	39	0
9	Sep_28_2009	38.66	40.58	40.49	40.41	40.49	40.29	40.4(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-30	-16	-52	5.03	36%	0.1	-34.2	0.85%	0	-0.6	49	0
10	Sep_25_2009	38.62	40.61	40.55	40.38	40.63	40.5	40.08(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-0	-19	-44	10.62	45%	0.13	-31.6	0.84%	0	-1.7	51	0

11	Sep_24_2009	38.57	40.66	40.66	40.5	40.62	40.7	40.4(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	20	-5	-13	13.52	45%	0.1	-10.5	0.88%	0	-0.8	53	0
12	Sep_23_2009	38.53	40.68	40.74	40.52	40.63	40.76	40.36(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	30	8	5	7.28	45%	0.13	9.2	0.88%	0	-1	51	0
13	Sep_22_2009	38.48	40.71	40.78	40.62	40.61	40.54	40.8(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10	3	21	5.69	42%	0.16	37.8	0.87%	0	0.3	58	0
14	Sep_21_2009	38.42	40.69	40.78	40.6	40.6	40.51	40.28(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-20	-21	4	6.54	38%	0.13	55.4	0.9%	0	-1.4	42	0
15	Sep_18_2009	38.37	40.71	40.76	40.74	40.69	40.51	40.68(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-0	-5	13	29.05	40%	0.18	76.1	0.91%	0	-0.1	45	0

16	Sep_17_2009	38.3	40.69	40.76	40.84	40.68	40.51	40.48(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-10	-13	7	7.94	40%	0.18	80.3	0.92%	0	-0.7	42	0
17	Sep_16_2009	38.23	40.65	40.72	40.98	40.85	40.69	40.88(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-40	-0	19	6.47	43%	0.18	75.3	0.92%	0	0.6	49	0
18	Sep_15_2009	38.16	40.59	40.66	40.95	40.92	40.68	40.68(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-40	-18	1	8.84	43%	0.16	62	0.93%	0	0.2	47	0
19	Sep_14_2009	38.1	40.53	40.68	40.93	40.93	41.02	41(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	20	2	12	6.66	43%	0.16	47.3	0.95%	0	0.9	59	0
20	Sep_11_2009	38.04	40.49	40.67	40.77	40.87	41.17	41.16(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	60	36	17	5.15	43%	0.21	46.9	0.95%	0	1.3	60	0

21	Sep_10_2009	37.96	40.44	40.65	40.59	40.58	40.84	41.2(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	40	28	10	5.51	43%	0.18	43.8	0.97%	0	1.6	67	0
22	Sep_9_2009	37.89	40.37	40.65	40.43	40.37	40.58	40.72(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	30	19	9	7.18	38%	0.19	35.3	0.96%	0	0.7	69	0
23	Sep_8_2009	37.82	40.32	40.65	40.34	40.31	40.33	40.56(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	0	7	15	5.06	38%	0.29	25.4	0.97%	0	0.5	69	0
24	Sep_4_2009	37.71	40.28	40.61	40.41	40.28	40.15	40.2(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-30	-19	28	6.21	38%	0.19	23.6	0.97%	0	-0.2	70	0
25	Sep_3_2009	37.64	40.25	40.66	40.56	40.44	40.28	40.28(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-40	-20	45	5.38	33%		33.3	0.97%	0	0.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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