Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 5, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.5600 (0.84%) ($38.0400 - $38.6800) on Mon. Oct. 5, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $38.5600(0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.46(-8.04%)
Resistance Level   $40.18
5 Day Moving Average   $38.98(-1.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.64(-2.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.18(-4.03%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.07% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.8%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -3.95%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.12%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.04%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2009	38.8	40.18	39.64	38.98	38.91	38.34	38.56(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-80	-110	-53	-161	5.74	29%	0.08	-47.3	0.9%	0	-2	32	NAN
2	Oct_2_2009	38.77	40.28	39.82	39.34	39.25	38.73	38.24(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-98	-100	-80	-152	10.16	26%	0.05	-45.3	0.9%	0	-2.8	27	NAN
3	Oct_1_2009	38.75	40.39	40.08	39.71	39.75	39.49	38.76(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-59	-40	-42	-109	7.9	28%	0.08	-47.5	0.93%	0	-2.9	28	NAN
4	Sep_30_2009	38.72	40.48	40.26	40.04	40.03	39.77	39.76(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-50	-28	-90	7.15	32%	0.08	-48.5	0.88%	0	-1.8	34	NAN
5	Sep_29_2009	38.69	40.51	40.37	40.16	40.25	40.01	39.56(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-49	-40	-38	-83	7.51	32%	0.08	-50	0.88%	0	-2.5	39	NAN

6	Sep_28_2009	38.66	40.58	40.49	40.41	40.49	40.29	40.4(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-30	-16	-52	5.03	36%	0.1	-34.2	0.85%	0	-0.6	49	NAN
7	Sep_25_2009	38.62	40.61	40.55	40.38	40.63	40.5	40.08(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-0	-19	-44	10.62	45%	0.13	-31.6	0.84%	0	-1.7	51	NAN
8	Sep_24_2009	38.57	40.66	40.66	40.5	40.62	40.7	40.4(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	20	-5	-13	13.52	45%	0.1	-10.5	0.88%	0	-0.8	53	NAN
9	Sep_23_2009	38.53	40.68	40.74	40.52	40.63	40.76	40.36(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	30	8	5	7.28	45%	0.13	9.2	0.88%	0	-1	51	NAN
10	Sep_22_2009	38.48	40.71	40.78	40.62	40.61	40.54	40.8(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10	3	21	5.69	42%	0.16	37.8	0.87%	0	0.3	58	NAN

11	Sep_21_2009	38.42	40.69	40.78	40.6	40.6	40.51	40.28(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-20	-21	4	6.54	38%	0.13	55.4	0.9%	0	-1.4	42	NAN
12	Sep_18_2009	38.37	40.71	40.76	40.74	40.69	40.51	40.68(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-0	-5	13	29.05	40%	0.18	76.1	0.91%	0	-0.1	45	NAN
13	Sep_17_2009	38.3	40.69	40.76	40.84	40.68	40.51	40.48(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-10	-13	7	7.94	40%	0.18	80.3	0.92%	0	-0.7	42	NAN
14	Sep_16_2009	38.23	40.65	40.72	40.98	40.85	40.69	40.88(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	5	-40	-0	19	6.47	43%	0.18	75.3	0.92%	0	0.6	49	NAN
15	Sep_15_2009	38.16	40.59	40.66	40.95	40.92	40.68	40.68(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-40	-18	1	8.84	43%	0.16	62	0.93%	0	0.2	47	NAN

16	Sep_14_2009	38.1	40.53	40.68	40.93	40.93	41.02	41(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	20	2	12	6.66	43%	0.16	47.3	0.95%	0	0.9	59	NAN
17	Sep_11_2009	38.04	40.49	40.67	40.77	40.87	41.17	41.16(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	60	36	17	5.15	43%	0.21	46.9	0.95%	0	1.3	60	NAN
18	Sep_10_2009	37.96	40.44	40.65	40.59	40.58	40.84	41.2(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	40	28	10	5.51	43%	0.18	43.8	0.97%	0	1.6	67	NAN
19	Sep_9_2009	37.89	40.37	40.65	40.43	40.37	40.58	40.72(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	30	19	9	7.18	38%	0.19	35.3	0.96%	0	0.7	69	NAN
20	Sep_8_2009	37.82	40.32	40.65	40.34	40.31	40.33	40.56(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	0	7	15	5.06	38%	0.29	25.4	0.97%	0	0.5	69	NAN

21	Sep_4_2009	37.71	40.28	40.61	40.41	40.28	40.15	40.2(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-30	-19	28	6.21	38%	0.19	23.6	0.97%	0	-0.2	70	NAN
22	Sep_3_2009	37.64	40.25	40.66	40.56	40.44	40.28	40.28(-0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-40	-20	45	5.38	33%	0.16	33.3	0.97%	0	0.1	50	NAN
23	Sep_2_2009	37.58	40.23	40.65	40.7	40.64	40.42	40.4(0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-40	-18	56	4.49	33%	0.19	45.5	1.01%	0	0.3	53	NAN
24	Sep_1_2009	37.51	40.2	40.59	40.8	40.77	40.6	40.28(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-30	-20	63	8.89	33%	0.16	59.1	1.01%	0	0.2	56	NAN
25	Aug_31_2009	37.45	40.19	40.54	40.91	40.84	40.86	40.88(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-0	-1	80	3.55	36%		79.5	1.01%	0	1.3	66	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.