Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 30, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.2800 (1.13%) ($39.2400 - $39.6800) on Thu. Jul. 30, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.34% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $39.2800(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.67% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.67% (StdDev 1.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.79(1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.36(2.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.76(4.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.43%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.22%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.07%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.29%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.83%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.65%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2009	35.67	37.76	38.36	38.79	38.77	39.02	39.28(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	40	26	121	6.54	69%	0.28	30.4	1.34%	0	2	91	0
2	Jul_29_2009	35.57	37.69	38.15	38.63	38.57	38.62	38.84(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	34	0	10	105	6.03	69%	0.28	34.4	1.34%	0	1.7	76	0
3	Jul_28_2009	35.47	37.63	37.99	38.53	38.47	38.51	38.56(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	0	7	100	4.91	69%	0.34	37.7	1.34%	0	1.5	74	0
4	Jul_27_2009	35.35	37.59	37.82	38.39	38.38	38.53	38.6(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	30	14	92	4.82	69%	0.28	40	1.35%	0	1.7	75	0
5	Jul_24_2009	35.25	37.57	37.64	38.18	38.25	38.44	38.68(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	40	27	77	2.5	69%	0.28	34.9	1.36%	0	1.9	65	0

6	Jul_23_2009	35.15	37.53	37.44	37.86	37.96	38.22	38.48(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	60	24	50	10.9	69%	0.29	27	1.36%	0	1.8	66	0
7	Jul_22_2009	35.05	37.46	37.3	37.58	37.65	38.06	38.32(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	26	80	27	23	4.98	69%	0.29	10.2	1.37%	0	1.8	48	0
8	Jul_21_2009	34.95	37.4	37.17	37.37	37.36	37.71	37.88(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	60	30	4	5.34	69%	0.29	-3.3	1.36%	0	1.1	50	0
9	Jul_20_2009	34.85	37.35	37.09	37.16	37.16	37.24	37.56(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	20	17	-25	5.88	69%	0.23	-22	1.36%	0	0.5	42	0
10	Jul_17_2009	34.77	37.37	37.08	37.02	37.02	37.02	37.08(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	0	2	-47	3.44	69%	0.23	-34.2	1.39%	0	-0.6	33	0

11	Jul_16_2009	34.69	37.38	37.1	36.95	36.95	37.08	37.08(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	20	4	-58	4.37	69%	0.2	-48.3	1.39%	0	-0.7	36	0
12	Jul_15_2009	34.62	37.38	37.2	36.97	36.87	37.01	37.24(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	20	8	-47	10.13	69%	0.2	-49.2	1.39%	0	-0.4	52	0
13	Jul_14_2009	34.55	37.41	37.24	36.95	36.86	36.81	36.84(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	-20	-1	-47	7.35	69%	0.23	-54.2	1.38%	0	-1.3	49	0
14	Jul_13_2009	34.47	37.45	37.36	37.02	36.9	36.73	36.84(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-40	-15	-40	5.77	69%	0.2	-50.4	1.39%	0	-1.4	50	0
15	Jul_10_2009	34.4	37.52	37.49	37.16	37.04	36.92	36.76(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-30	-15	-28	4.5	69%	0.17	-29.1	1.39%	0	-1.7	39	0

16	Jul_9_2009	34.34	37.6	37.63	37.27	37.25	37.08	37.16(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	-30	-11	-12	7.93	74%	0.18	-14.9	1.39%	0	-1	50	0
17	Jul_8_2009	34.28	37.63	37.64	37.47	37.29	37.16	37.16(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-16	-40	-19	-7	11.2	74%	0.18	2.7	1.46%	0	-1.1	47	0
18	Jul_7_2009	34.22	37.66	37.64	37.58	37.56	37.16	37.16(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-5	-30	-8	3	5.42	74%	0.09	4.7	1.46%	0	-1.3	51	0
19	Jul_6_2009	34.19	37.67	37.65	37.75	37.66	37.43	37.56(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-50	-16	6	7.25	74%	0.21	8.5	1.46%	0	-0.3	50	0
20	Jul_2_2009	34.12	37.65	37.69	37.88	37.77	37.69	37.32(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-11	-20	-17	9	4.86	77%	0.12	13.2	1.48%	0	-0.8	42	0

21	Jul_1_2009	34.08	37.66	37.7	38.03	38	37.9	38.16(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-20	11	20	7.79	85%	0.15	32.1	1.51%	0	1.2	47	0
22	Jun_30_2009	34.03	37.62	37.64	37.84	37.87	37.86	37.72(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	0	-2	4	6.35	75%	0.12	21.7	1.53%	0	0.3	51	0
23	Jun_29_2009	33.99	37.62	37.59	37.72	37.79	38.09	38(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	60	17	0	3.99	75%	0.09	17.4	1.61%	0	0.9	53	0
24	Jun_26_2009	33.96	37.64	37.59	37.54	37.55	37.89	38.2(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	13	60	19	-7	3.99	75%	0.12	22	1.62%	0	1.4	58	0
25	Jun_25_2009	33.92	37.6	37.54	37.48	37.31	37.49	38.08(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	20	12	-3	5.41	77%		28.6	1.63%	0	1.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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