Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 1, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.1600 (1.17%) ($37.8800 - $38.3600) on Wed. Jul. 1, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.51% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $38.1600(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(7%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.755% (StdDev 1.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.03(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.7(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.66(1.33%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   17.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 1.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.25%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.73%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.26%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2009	34.08	37.66	37.7	38.03	38	37.9	38.16(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-20	11	20	7.79	85%	0.15	32.1	1.51%	0	1.2	47	0
2	Jun_30_2009	34.03	37.62	37.64	37.84	37.87	37.86	37.72(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	0	-2	4	6.35	75%	0.12	21.7	1.53%	0	0.3	51	0
3	Jun_29_2009	33.99	37.62	37.59	37.72	37.79	38.09	38(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	60	17	0	3.99	75%	0.09	17.4	1.61%	0	0.9	53	0
4	Jun_26_2009	33.96	37.64	37.59	37.54	37.55	37.89	38.2(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	13	60	19	-7	3.99	75%	0.12	22	1.62%	0	1.4	58	0
5	Jun_25_2009	33.92	37.6	37.54	37.48	37.31	37.49	38.08(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	20	12	-3	5.41	77%	0.09	28.6	1.63%	0	1.1	59	0

6	Jun_24_2009	33.89	37.54	37.55	37.33	37.37	37.21	37.2(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-30	-1	-10	6.49	70%	0.09	17.9	1.64%	0	-0.8	47	0
7	Jun_23_2009	33.86	37.53	37.6	37.42	37.39	37.14	37.12(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-50	-14	-7	7.02	75%	0.12	30.4	1.68%	0	-1	50	0
8	Jun_22_2009	33.82	37.56	37.66	37.43	37.53	37.52	37.08(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	10	-7	-7	7.95	75%	0.09	43.8	1.93%	0	-1.1	42	0
9	Jun_19_2009	33.79	37.55	37.69	37.54	37.58	37.64	37.92(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-0	10	1	-4	5.58	79%	0.12	48.8	1.93%	0	0.8	48	0
10	Jun_18_2009	33.75	37.48	37.61	37.61	37.54	37.54	37.32(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10	-8	-7	4.71	80%	0.03	52.2	1.93%	0	-0.3	50	0

11	Jun_17_2009	33.74	37.46	37.64	37.81	37.73	37.52	37.64(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-50	-3	10	7.56	82%	0.06	71.2	1.94%	0	0.3	59	0
12	Jun_16_2009	33.72	37.4	37.61	37.82	37.89	37.54	37.2(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-60	-13	8	6.04	82%	0.12	65.3	1.97%	0	-0.4	53	0
13	Jun_15_2009	33.68	37.38	37.7	37.9	37.98	37.93	37.6(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-0	-6	17	13.3	82%	0.09	70.3	1.97%	0	0.4	49	0
14	Jun_12_2009	33.65	37.32	37.75	37.85	37.96	38.25	38.28(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	60	16	35	3.7	82%	0.12	60.8	1.96%	0	1.5	64	0
15	Jun_11_2009	33.61	37.21	37.66	37.62	37.7	38.03	38.32(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	70	17	34	5.41	82%	0.09	53.5	1.96%	0	1.7	65	0

16	Jun_10_2009	33.58	37.09	37.51	37.46	37.46	37.67	37.68(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	40	10	24	5.65	83%	0.12	46.5	1.95%	0	0.9	56	0
17	Jun_9_2009	33.54	37.04	37.45	37.38	37.42	37.38	37.64(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-0	1	20	5.29	78%	0.12	53.9	2.03%	0	1	60	0
18	Jun_8_2009	33.5	36.98	37.46	37.48	37.39	37.25	37.32(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-30	-12	27	4.46	78%	0.09	65.5	2.09%	0	0.5	56	0
19	Jun_5_2009	33.47	36.95	37.39	37.63	37.6	37.46	37.12(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-30	-6	38	5.73	78%	0.06	91.5	2.09%	0	0.3	57	0
20	Jun_4_2009	33.45	36.87	37.33	37.7	37.81	37.52	37.56(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-40	-0	48	5.2	79%	0.09	92.1	2.1%	0	1	63	0

21	Jun_3_2009	33.42	36.8	37.27	37.55	37.72	37.74	37.28(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	20	-5	47	5.33	79%	0.06	101.1	2.12%	0	0.7	62	0
22	Jun_2_2009	33.4	36.71	37.2	37.5	37.57	38.09	38.12(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	100	14	52	5.8	77%	0.06	102.5	2.1%	0	1.9	61	0
23	Jun_1_2009	33.38	36.58	37.04	37.43	37.36	37.7	38.08(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	60	26	56	7.58	77%	0.03	111.9	2.16%	0	2.1	62	0
24	May_29_2009	33.37	36.4	36.87	37.13	37.15	37.04	37.48(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	-20	7	33	11.55	77%	0	96.6	2.17%	0	1.5	55	0
25	May_28_2009	33.37	36.24	36.72	36.92	37.02	37.03	36.8(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	10	-5	24	5.18	77%		77.4	2.18%	0	0.7	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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