Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 21, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $33.7600 (1.2%) ($33.2400 - $33.8800) on Tue. Apr. 21, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.41% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $33.7600(1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -1.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(7%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.205% (StdDev 2.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.81(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.6(0.48%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.18(1.75%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.29% (three month std-dev: 2.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.05%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.03%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.61%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2009	33.5	33.18	33.6	33.81	33.77	33.55	33.76(1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-50	-6	36	5.71	58%	0.03	75.5	2.41%	0	0.8	68	NAN
2	Apr_20_2009	33.49	33.14	33.5	33.79	33.79	33.86	33.36(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	10	-6	42	6.62	55%	-0.03	97.8	2.47%	0	0.3	66	NAN
3	Apr_17_2009	33.5	33.02	33.51	33.92	33.84	33.99	34.12(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	7	56	7.06	55%	0.03	92.8	2.52%	0	1.2	58	NAN
4	Apr_16_2009	33.49	32.89	33.45	33.88	33.74	33.73	33.96(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	6	56	6.73	55%	-0.03	101.7	2.54%	0	1.1	52	NAN
5	Apr_15_2009	33.5	32.76	33.31	33.63	33.75	33.69	33.84(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-0	8	44	10.2	55%	-0.03	108	2.54%	0	1.1	54	NAN

6	Apr_14_2009	33.51	32.62	33.1	33.36	33.54	33.75	33.68(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	60	7	30	10.05	55%	-0.03	103.6	2.54%	0	1.1	60	NAN
7	Apr_13_2009	33.52	32.43	32.9	33.16	33.24	33.81	34(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	130	15	16	5.7	55%	0.09	97.4	2.57%	0	1.4	54	NAN
8	Apr_9_2009	33.49	32.2	32.78	33.04	32.97	33.32	33.92(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	70	16	26	5.73	55%	0.06	79.5	2.56%	0	1.2	66	NAN
9	Apr_8_2009	33.47	31.95	32.71	32.99	32.83	32.67	32.72(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-50	-0	33	6.07	53%	-0.06	77	2.52%	0	0.5	58	NAN
10	Apr_7_2009	33.49	31.78	32.75	32.95	33.05	32.61	32.48(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-80	-2	42	3.63	53%	-0.06	71.9	2.53%	0	0.4	56	NAN

11	Apr_6_2009	33.51	31.61	32.72	32.77	32.93	33	32.68(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	30	-2	44	6	53%	-0.03	62.5	2.53%	0	0.6	60	NAN
12	Apr_3_2009	33.52	31.36	32.76	32.57	32.68	33.48	33.4(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	180	19	68	14.28	53%	-0.09	55.1	2.51%	0	1.1	68	NAN
13	Apr_2_2009	33.55	31.12	32.5	32.47	32.28	32.87	33.68(3.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	110	23	77	16.56	53%	-0.03	51.2	2.53%	0	1.4	71	NAN
14	Apr_1_2009	33.56	30.86	32.27	32.43	32.12	31.87	32.51(2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	-80	-3	85	22.78	50%	-0.06	51.4	2.49%	0	0.9	69	NAN
15	Mar_31_2009	33.58	30.69	32.17	32.55	32.44	31.7	31.6(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-170	-20	105	9.23	48%	-0.18	52.3	2.48%	0	0.5	66	NAN

16	Mar_30_2009	33.64	30.53	32.11	32.66	32.77	32.36	31.64(-3.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-80	-25	126	6.55	48%	-0.12	48.7	2.48%	0	0.6	67	NAN
17	Mar_27_2009	33.68	30.38	31.95	32.95	32.9	33.18	32.9(-1.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	54	60	12	178	6.93	51%	-0.06	52.1	2.45%	0	1.4	80	NAN
18	Mar_26_2009	33.7	30.2	31.6	32.5	32.82	33.19	33.48(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	66	110	30	175	10.04	51%	-0.12	45	2.46%	0	1.9	74	NAN
19	Mar_25_2009	33.74	29.97	31.15	32.08	32.21	32.61	33.12(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	100	15	157	15.51	51%	-0.15	37.9	2.47%	0	2	72	NAN
20	Mar_24_2009	33.79	29.78	30.73	31.76	31.9	32.46	32.16(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	140	24	150	7.68	49%	-0.12	30.7	2.46%	0	1.7	65	NAN

21	Mar_23_2009	33.83	29.67	30.4	31.49	31.57	31.81	33.08(7.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	64	60	35	151	11.95	51%	-0.09	25	2.44%	0	2.7	73	NAN
22	Mar_20_2009	33.86	29.46	29.84	30.82	30.97	31.33	30.68(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	100	12	116	8.43	43%	-0.18	-0.3	2.21%	0	1.2	65	NAN
23	Mar_19_2009	33.92	29.43	29.62	30.54	30.71	31.34	31.36(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	56	160	39	105	12.71	43%	-0.09	-19	2.22%	0	1.9	60	NAN
24	Mar_18_2009	33.95	29.39	29.33	30.06	30.06	30.62	31.52(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	46	130	36	74	15.84	43%	-0.12	-41	2.22%	0	2	62	NAN
25	Mar_17_2009	33.99	29.36	29.06	29.55	29.46	30.08	30.8(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	140	28	42	9.61	41%		-63.6	2.23%	0	1.4	56	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.