Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 17, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $31.0800 (-3.36%) ($31.0000 - $31.6800) on Tue. Feb. 17, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.64% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $31.0800(-3.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EWG(72%)    EEM(71%)    IWM(69%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -1.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.32% (StdDev 2.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.75(-13.93%)
Resistance Level   $33.94
5 Day Moving Average   $32.46(-4.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.41(-6.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.94(-8.43%)
To recent high   -19.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.21% (three month std-dev: 2.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.05%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.17%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.6%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.52%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2009	35.45	33.94	33.41	32.46	32.4	31.88	31.08(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-47	-120	-33	-88	11.46	43%	-0.53	-67	2.64%	0	-2.6	26	0
2	Feb_13_2009	35.64	34.15	33.7	33.06	32.92	32.6	32.16(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-80	-22	-65	5.41	48%	-0.36	-70.8	2.67%	0	-2.2	40	0
3	Feb_12_2009	35.77	34.3	33.87	33.58	33.34	32.92	33.04(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-110	-17	-47	7.15	48%	-0.31	-78	2.8%	0	-1.6	44	0
4	Feb_11_2009	35.88	34.39	34.03	33.89	33.78	33.25	33.08(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-120	-19	-36	6.8	48%	-0.31	-86.3	2.82%	0	-1.8	43	0
5	Feb_10_2009	35.99	34.51	34.31	34.2	34.08	33.77	32.92(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-20	-70	-19	-22	8.72	48%	-0.3	-88.7	2.86%	0	-2.3	37	0

6	Feb_9_2009	36.1	34.68	34.55	34.49	34.42	34.31	34.12(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	1	-30	-0	4	3.85	52%	-0.33	-86.6	2.83%	0	-0.8	54	0
7	Feb_6_2009	36.22	34.8	34.57	34.41	34.45	34.4	34.76(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10	4	-3	5.83	49%	-0.22	-88	2.92%	0	-0	47	0
8	Feb_5_2009	36.3	34.92	34.52	34.41	34.25	34.54	34.56(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	60	1	-14	5.88	49%	-0.19	-83.3	3.12%	0	-0.4	48	0
9	Feb_4_2009	36.37	35.03	34.49	34.2	34.22	34.49	34.66(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	60	3	-15	6.59	53%	-0.22	-82.5	3.13%	0	-0.3	51	0
10	Feb_3_2009	36.45	35.15	34.54	34.46	34.25	33.97	34.36(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-80	-7	-13	7.88	53%	-0.25	-70.3	3.2%	0	-0.7	44	0

11	Feb_2_2009	36.54	35.3	34.48	34.64	34.65	33.95	33.72(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-17	-140	-15	-23	5.73	53%	-0.3	-59	3.2%	0	-1.3	38	0
12	Jan_30_2009	36.65	35.53	34.64	34.74	35.05	34.53	33.72(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-80	-15	-28	5.16	56%	-0.27	-44.4	3.2%	0	-1.3	36	0
13	Jan_29_2009	36.75	35.76	34.77	34.84	35.04	35.36	34.56(-3.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	80	0	-30	8.16	56%	-0.27	-35.2	3.25%	0	-0.9	36	0
14	Jan_28_2009	36.85	35.93	34.78	34.79	34.78	35.56	35.92(1.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	160	19	-35	10.65	65%	-0.22	-29.6	3.23%	0	-0	44	0
15	Jan_27_2009	36.93	35.97	34.72	34.65	34.36	34.72	35.28(3.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	50	16	-43	7.46	61%	-0.27	-29.7	3.57%	0	-0.5	39	0

16	Jan_26_2009	37.03	36.04	34.8	34.34	34.22	34	34.2(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-60	-4	-64	9.29	61%	-0.27	-35.6	3.63%	0	-1.2	31	0
17	Jan_23_2009	37.13	36.15	35.04	34.54	34.26	34.01	34.24(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-80	-12	-69	6.78	57%	-0.27	-39.6	3.71%	0	-1.3	28	0
18	Jan_22_2009	37.23	36.23	35.34	34.7	34.65	34.45	34.32(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-40	-3	-66	6.93	54%	-0.29	-46.4	3.74%	0	-1.4	29	0
19	Jan_21_2009	37.34	36.35	35.59	34.74	34.83	34.51	35.2(4.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-60	-6	-70	10.61	52%	-0.27	-48.3	3.8%	0	-0.9	35	0
20	Jan_20_2009	37.44	36.42	35.78	34.82	34.84	34.85	33.72(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	0	-14	-72	6.89	53%	-0.32	-47.9	3.79%	0	-2.1	34	0

21	Jan_16_2009	37.56	36.58	36.18	35.34	35.16	35.15	35.24(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-20	-2	-52	5.84	58%	-0.29	-40.3	3.85%	0	-1.3	42	0
22	Jan_15_2009	37.67	36.72	36.49	35.63	35.42	34.82	35(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-140	-15	-41	9.27	53%	-0.29	-25.2	3.93%	0	-1.7	47	0
23	Jan_14_2009	37.78	36.88	36.83	36.1	35.91	35.16	34.56(-2.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-22	-160	-21	-23	9.62	53%	-0.26	0.8	4.14%	0	-2.4	48	0
24	Jan_13_2009	37.88	36.99	37.19	36.56	36.52	36.02	35.6(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-12	-100	-14	-5	10.11	59%	-0.26	21.1	4.13%	0	-1.6	47	0
25	Jan_12_2009	37.98	37.04	37.35	36.88	36.85	36.66	36.28(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-40	-8	5	7	59%		48.9	4.65%	0	-0.9	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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