Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $43.8000 (0%) ($43.2800 - $43.9200) on Fri. Sep. 5, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $43.8000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(76%)    VWO(75%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $41.98(-4.16%)
Resistance Level   $45.28
5 Day Moving Average   $44.7(-2.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.92(-2.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.28(-3.27%)
To recent high   -20.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.33%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.44%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.15%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2008	49.96	45.28	44.92	44.7	44.53	43.91	43.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.2	-51	-110	-51	-49	6.07	19%	-0.16	-65	1.3%	0	-2	41	NAN
2	Sep_4_2008	50.04	45.39	45.1	45.06	45.07	44.59	43.8(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-35	-70	-39	-23	5.88	19%	-0.16	-74.1	1.31%	0	-2.4	38	NAN
3	Sep_3_2008	50.12	45.55	45.26	45.35	45.41	45.15	45.24(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-40	-14	-1	3.25	21%	-0.1	-79.4	1.27%	0	-0.5	45	NAN
4	Sep_2_2008	50.17	45.64	45.21	45.31	45.42	45.54	45.04(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	30	-2	-15	3.28	21%	-0.08	-79.7	1.27%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
5	Aug_29_2008	50.21	45.69	45.26	45.26	45.36	45.67	45.64(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	50	22	-20	3.17	21%	-0.1	-87.3	1.27%	0	-0.1	37	NAN

6	Aug_28_2008	50.26	45.77	45.2	45.18	45.15	45.31	45.6(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	20	13	-43	2.32	21%	-0.08	-84	1.28%	0	-0.2	40	NAN
7	Aug_27_2008	50.3	45.88	45.17	45.18	45.05	45.05	45.24(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10	1	-54	2.93	21%	-0.12	-76	1.28%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
8	Aug_26_2008	50.36	46.04	45.21	45.16	45.09	45	45.04(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-20	0	-66	4.02	21%	-0.12	-72.2	1.28%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
9	Aug_25_2008	50.42	46.2	45.34	45.1	45.1	45.04	44.8(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10	-9	-80	2.55	21%	-0.14	-74.4	1.28%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
10	Aug_22_2008	50.49	46.36	45.54	45.24	45.05	45.18	45.2(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	10	-2	-65	7.49	21%	-0.1	-70.9	1.28%	0	-0.9	45	NAN

11	Aug_21_2008	50.54	46.53	45.66	45.22	45.2	45.16	45.52(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10	10	-69	2.49	20%	-0.12	-66.3	1.3%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
12	Aug_20_2008	50.6	46.7	45.7	45.19	45.19	44.93	45.24(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-40	-17	-101	3.23	20%	-0.12	-61.8	1.31%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
13	Aug_19_2008	50.66	46.9	45.85	45.28	45.27	45.25	44.76(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-0	-25	-118	5.35	20%	-0.08	-58.8	1.3%	0	-1.5	28	NAN
14	Aug_18_2008	50.7	47.11	46.1	45.62	45.52	45.46	45.48(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-20	-7	-105	6.7	21%	-0.1	-51.4	1.29%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
15	Aug_15_2008	50.75	47.25	46.17	45.89	45.71	45.29	45.08(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-80	-30	-119	3.43	25%	-0.08	-48.3	1.28%	0	-1.7	33	NAN

16	Aug_14_2008	50.79	47.42	46.39	46.18	46.09	45.57	45.4(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	-80	-28	-113	6.79	25%	-0.1	-44.9	1.31%	0	-1.7	32	NAN
17	Aug_13_2008	50.84	47.57	46.65	46.26	46.25	46.13	45.68(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-20	-27	-119	5.66	25%	-0.08	-46.8	1.32%	0	-1.7	31	NAN
18	Aug_12_2008	50.88	47.73	46.95	46.5	46.32	46.6	46.48(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	30	2	-101	5.25	26%	-0.08	-42.9	1.31%	0	-1.3	33	NAN
19	Aug_11_2008	50.92	47.79	47.13	46.64	46.41	46.38	46.8(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-20	16	-95	7.12	26%	-0.08	-48.3	1.31%	0	-1	37	NAN
20	Aug_8_2008	50.96	47.87	47.25	46.5	46.48	46.04	46.52(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	-70	-22	-121	5.24	26%	-0.04	-58.2	1.31%	0	-1.4	41	NAN

21	Aug_7_2008	50.98	47.95	47.45	46.66	46.55	46.44	45.84(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-20	-41	-120	4.55	23%	-0.02	-62.4	1.3%	0	-2.4	36	NAN
22	Aug_6_2008	50.99	48.09	47.79	47.1	46.9	46.93	46.88(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10	-9	-81	3.58	25%	-0.04	-61.5	1.28%	0	-1.6	40	NAN
23	Aug_5_2008	51.01	48.17	48.02	47.47	47.23	46.66	47.16(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-100	-25	-64	6.36	25%	0	-63.3	1.28%	0	-1.4	40	NAN
24	Aug_4_2008	51.01	48.26	48.19	47.7	47.64	46.87	46.12(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-60	-120	-61	-56	5.88	19%	0	-61.4	1.25%	0	-3.1	44	NAN
25	Aug_1_2008	51.01	48.42	48.43	48.09	48.09	47.8	47.32(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-37	-40	-40	-27	5.26	21%		-70.5	1.21%	0	-2.2	45	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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