Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 25, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $50.8000 (1.03%) ($50.5600 - $51.1600) on Wed. Jun. 25, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $50.8000(1.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(76%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $46.23(-9%)
Resistance Level   $52.51
5 Day Moving Average   $50.82(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.44(-1.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.51(-3.26%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.74% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.72%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.45%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.89%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080725

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_25_2008	51.21	52.51	51.44	50.82	50.58	50.58	50.8(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-10	-12	-108	6.22	53%	0.04	-44.9	1.3%	0	-1.2	25	0
2	Jun_24_2008	51.19	52.62	51.52	51.1	50.85	50.5	50.28(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-60	-30	-129	5.6	58%	-0.02	-44.7	1.3%	0	-1.7	25	0
3	Jun_23_2008	51.2	52.78	51.73	51.6	51.35	50.59	50.68(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-120	-45	-125	4.78	58%	-0.02	-40.8	1.35%	0	-1.6	32	0
4	Jun_20_2008	51.21	52.93	52	51.94	51.9	51.21	50.32(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-69	-100	-52	-119	6.69	61%	-0.02	-41.3	1.36%	0	-2.1	29	0
5	Jun_19_2008	51.22	53.11	52.32	52.26	52.33	52.12	52.04(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-20	-13	-100	4.73	61%	0.04	-41.3	1.31%	0	-1	36	0

6	Jun_18_2008	51.2	53.16	52.62	52.14	52.28	52.59	52.2(-1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	50	10	-81	4.84	64%	0.04	-47.4	1.36%	0	-0.9	43	0
7	Jun_17_2008	51.18	53.25	52.87	52	52.06	52.55	52.76(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	70	28	-64	2.37	67%	0.06	-47.4	1.4%	0	-0.5	51	0
8	Jun_16_2008	51.15	53.33	53.01	51.9	52.06	51.97	52.4(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	10	8	-71	5.03	67%	0.06	-42.6	1.43%	0	-0.9	45	0
9	Jun_13_2008	51.12	53.43	53.19	52.11	51.85	51.57	51.92(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-50	-20	-59	4.55	57%	0.06	-28.9	1.66%	0	-1.4	43	0
10	Jun_12_2008	51.09	53.55	53.42	52.4	52.32	51.73	51.4(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-80	-40	-55	6.54	57%	0.06	-18.7	1.66%	0	-2.2	37	0

11	Jun_11_2008	51.06	53.66	53.65	53.18	52.91	52.13	51.52(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-46	-120	-52	-28	7.62	60%	0.06	4.3	1.66%	0	-2.5	44	0
12	Jun_10_2008	51.03	53.74	53.82	53.86	53.65	52.91	52.28(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-34	-110	-43	-5	5.17	60%	0.04	23.6	1.69%	0	-1.9	42	0
13	Jun_9_2008	51.01	53.77	53.96	54.25	54.27	53.69	53.44(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-20	-70	-29	9	4.19	63%	0.06	35.6	1.66%	0	-0.5	44	0
14	Jun_6_2008	50.98	53.77	53.95	54.42	54.49	54.39	53.36(-3.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-11	-10	-19	13	7.11	63%	0.1	34	1.67%	0	-0.5	43	0
15	Jun_5_2008	50.93	53.74	54	54.58	54.61	54.85	55.32(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	30	21	33	4.81	68%	0.12	39	1.61%	0	2.1	56	0

16	Jun_4_2008	50.87	53.62	53.76	54.2	54.42	54.58	54.88(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	30	23	17	6.23	64%	0.1	28.8	1.61%	0	1.9	62	0
17	Jun_3_2008	50.82	53.56	53.76	53.79	54.03	54.37	54.24(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	60	15	6	3.77	64%	0.04	20.2	1.64%	0	1.1	62	0
18	Jun_2_2008	50.8	53.52	53.64	53.63	53.62	54.26	54.28(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	80	27	15	4.26	64%	0.08	14.5	1.64%	0	1.3	62	0
19	May_30_2008	50.76	53.48	53.64	53.43	53.33	53.69	54.16(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	40	26	19	6.08	64%	0.04	14.3	1.65%	0	1.2	63	0
20	May_29_2008	50.74	53.45	53.65	53.34	53.16	52.99	53.44(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-30	0	11	6.54	64%	0.02	28.7	1.66%	0	-0	51	0

21	May_28_2008	50.73	53.43	53.64	53.25	53.28	52.98	52.84(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-40	-18	1	6.75	64%	0.02	35.6	1.66%	0	-1.1	49	0
22	May_27_2008	50.72	53.43	53.65	53.46	53.42	53.33	53.44(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-10	-16	4	4.8	64%	0.02	60.4	1.66%	0	0	47	0
23	May_23_2008	50.71	53.44	53.59	53.66	53.65	53.59	53.28(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10	-8	10	4.24	66%	0.02	76.6	1.66%	0	-0.3	48	0
24	May_22_2008	50.7	53.4	53.52	53.9	53.93	53.52	53.72(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-50	-11	12	3.77	66%	0	71.4	1.67%	0	0.5	52	0
25	May_21_2008	50.7	53.29	53.49	54.01	54.09	53.71	52.96(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-15	-40	-23	10	5.79	66%		73.6	1.66%	0	-0.4	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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