Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 12, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $51.4000 (-0.23%) ($51.2800 - $51.7600) on Thu. Jun. 12, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $51.4000(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(76%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $53.55
5 Day Moving Average   $52.4(-1.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.42(-3.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.55(-4.01%)
To recent high   -7.1%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.87% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.62%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.33%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080712

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_12_2008	51.09	53.55	53.42	52.4	52.32	51.73	51.4(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-80	-40	-55	6.54	57%	0.06	-18.7	1.66%	0	-2.2	37	0
2	Jun_11_2008	51.06	53.66	53.65	53.18	52.91	52.13	51.52(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-46	-120	-52	-28	7.62	60%	0.06	4.3	1.66%	0	-2.5	44	0
3	Jun_10_2008	51.03	53.74	53.82	53.86	53.65	52.91	52.28(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-34	-110	-43	-5	5.17	60%	0.04	23.6	1.69%	0	-1.9	42	0
4	Jun_9_2008	51.01	53.77	53.96	54.25	54.27	53.69	53.44(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-20	-70	-29	9	4.19	63%	0.06	35.6	1.66%	0	-0.5	44	0
5	Jun_6_2008	50.98	53.77	53.95	54.42	54.49	54.39	53.36(-3.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-11	-10	-19	13	7.11	63%	0.1	34	1.67%	0	-0.5	43	0

6	Jun_5_2008	50.93	53.74	54	54.58	54.61	54.85	55.32(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	30	21	33	4.81	68%	0.12	39	1.61%	0	2.1	56	0
7	Jun_4_2008	50.87	53.62	53.76	54.2	54.42	54.58	54.88(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	30	23	17	6.23	64%	0.1	28.8	1.61%	0	1.9	62	0
8	Jun_3_2008	50.82	53.56	53.76	53.79	54.03	54.37	54.24(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	60	15	6	3.77	64%	0.04	20.2	1.64%	0	1.1	62	0
9	Jun_2_2008	50.8	53.52	53.64	53.63	53.62	54.26	54.28(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	80	27	15	4.26	64%	0.08	14.5	1.64%	0	1.3	62	0
10	May_30_2008	50.76	53.48	53.64	53.43	53.33	53.69	54.16(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	40	26	19	6.08	64%	0.04	14.3	1.65%	0	1.2	63	0

11	May_29_2008	50.74	53.45	53.65	53.34	53.16	52.99	53.44(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-30	0	11	6.54	64%	0.02	28.7	1.66%	0	-0	51	0
12	May_28_2008	50.73	53.43	53.64	53.25	53.28	52.98	52.84(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-40	-18	1	6.75	64%	0.02	35.6	1.66%	0	-1.1	49	0
13	May_27_2008	50.72	53.43	53.65	53.46	53.42	53.33	53.44(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-10	-16	4	4.8	64%	0.02	60.4	1.66%	0	0	47	0
14	May_23_2008	50.71	53.44	53.59	53.66	53.65	53.59	53.28(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10	-8	10	4.24	66%	0.02	76.6	1.66%	0	-0.3	48	0
15	May_22_2008	50.7	53.4	53.52	53.9	53.93	53.52	53.72(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-50	-11	12	3.77	66%	0	71.4	1.67%	0	0.5	52	0

16	May_21_2008	50.7	53.29	53.49	54.01	54.09	53.71	52.96(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-15	-40	-23	10	5.79	66%	0.06	73.6	1.66%	0	-0.4	45	0
17	May_20_2008	50.67	53.24	53.51	54.06	54.27	54.34	53.92(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	20	5	24	5.17	65%	0.02	67.3	1.65%	0	0.8	58	0
18	May_19_2008	50.66	53.12	53.49	53.83	54.05	54.47	54.4(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	70	24	29	5.08	65%	0.02	66.5	1.66%	0	1.5	65	0
19	May_16_2008	50.65	53	53.4	53.5	53.61	54.2	54.48(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	80	34	22	3.4	65%	0.04	72.6	1.67%	0	1.8	59	0
20	May_15_2008	50.63	52.9	53.28	53.1	53.16	53.64	54.28(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	70	30	12	5.38	65%	0.02	70.8	1.68%	0	1.6	65	0

21	May_14_2008	50.62	52.73	53.2	52.92	52.77	53.01	53.24(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	20	10	10	6.87	64%	0.06	75.3	1.67%	0	0.6	67	0
22	May_13_2008	50.59	52.66	53.19	52.9	52.8	52.68	52.76(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-20	-4	12	6.42	64%	-0.02	73.3	1.67%	0	0.1	60	0
23	May_12_2008	50.6	52.54	53.21	53.1	52.98	52.54	52.72(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-60	-20	24	2.87	64%	-0.02	66.4	1.67%	0	0.2	64	0
24	May_9_2008	50.61	52.41	53.21	53.27	53.23	52.92	52.52(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-40	-24	37	4.99	64%	0	59.3	1.67%	0	0.1	53	0
25	May_8_2008	50.61	52.3	53.28	53.46	53.47	53.43	53.36(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-0	-5	53	3.98	60%		56	1.67%	0	0.8	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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