Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 30, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $54.1600 (1.35%) ($54.0400 - $54.3600) on Fri. May. 30, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $54.1600(1.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(76%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.43(1.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.65(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.48(1.27%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.05% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080630

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_30_2008	50.76	53.48		53.43	53.33	53.69	54.16(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	40	26	19	6.08	64%	0.04	14.3	1.65%	0	1.2	63	0
2	May_29_2008	50.74	53.45	53.65	53.34	53.16	52.99	53.44(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-30	0	11	6.54	64%	0.02	28.7	1.66%	0	-0	51	0
3	May_28_2008	50.73	53.43	53.64	53.25	53.28	52.98	52.84(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-40	-18	1	6.75	64%	0.02	35.6	1.66%	0	-1.1	49	0
4	May_27_2008	50.72	53.43	53.65	53.46	53.42	53.33	53.44(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-10	-16	4	4.8	64%	0.02	60.4	1.66%	0	0	47	0
5	May_23_2008	50.71	53.44	53.59	53.66	53.65	53.59	53.28(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10	-8	10	4.24	66%	0.02	76.6	1.66%	0	-0.3	48	0

6	May_22_2008	50.7	53.4	53.52	53.9	53.93	53.52	53.72(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-50	-11	12	3.77	66%	0	71.4	1.67%	0	0.5	52	0
7	May_21_2008	50.7	53.29	53.49	54.01	54.09	53.71	52.96(-1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-15	-40	-23	10	5.79	66%	0.06	73.6	1.66%	0	-0.4	45	0
8	May_20_2008	50.67	53.24	53.51	54.06	54.27	54.34	53.92(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	20	5	24	5.17	65%	0.02	67.3	1.65%	0	0.8	58	0
9	May_19_2008	50.66	53.12	53.49	53.83	54.05	54.47	54.4(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	70	24	29	5.08	65%	0.02	66.5	1.66%	0	1.5	65	0
10	May_16_2008	50.65	53	53.4	53.5	53.61	54.2	54.48(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	31	80	34	22	3.4	65%	0.04	72.6	1.67%	0	1.8	59	0

11	May_15_2008	50.63	52.9	53.28	53.1	53.16	53.64	54.28(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	70	30	12	5.38	65%	0.02	70.8	1.68%	0	1.6	65	0
12	May_14_2008	50.62	52.73	53.2	52.92	52.77	53.01	53.24(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	20	10	10	6.87	64%	0.06	75.3	1.67%	0	0.6	67	0
13	May_13_2008	50.59	52.66	53.19	52.9	52.8	52.68	52.76(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-20	-4	12	6.42	64%	-0.02	73.3	1.67%	0	0.1	60	0
14	May_12_2008	50.6	52.54	53.21	53.1	52.98	52.54	52.72(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-60	-20	24	2.87	64%	-0.02	66.4	1.67%	0	0.2	64	0
15	May_9_2008	50.61	52.41	53.21	53.27	53.23	52.92	52.52(-1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-40	-24	37	4.99	64%	0	59.3	1.67%	0	0.1	53	0

16	May_8_2008	50.61	52.3	53.28	53.46	53.47	53.43	53.36(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-0	-5	53	3.98	60%	0.02	56	1.67%	0	0.8	57	0
17	May_7_2008	50.6	52.13	53.1	53.46	53.52	53.54	53.12(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	0	3	61	10.36	60%	0	51.3	1.71%	0	0.7	65	0
18	May_6_2008	50.6	51.98	52.98	53.51	53.44	53.5	53.8(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	0	6	64	3.18	60%	0.04	48.9	1.7%	0	1.3	62	0
19	May_5_2008	50.58	51.82	52.73	53.33	53.33	53.51	53.56(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	20	7	65	2.17	56%	0	47.4	1.71%	0	1.4	69	0
20	May_2_2008	50.58	51.7	52.6	53.29	53.23	53.37	53.48(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	13	81	3	56%	-0.04	56.8	1.75%	0	1.5	70	0

21	May_1_2008	50.6	51.58	52.48	53.07	53.11	53.14	53.6(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	10	14	89	4.67	56%	-0.04	61	1.76%	0	1.8	68	0
22	Apr_30_2008	50.62	51.44	52.22	52.63	52.91	53.14	53.12(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	40	13	81	4.74	56%	-0.06	61.2	1.76%	0	1.6	68	0
23	Apr_29_2008	50.65	51.32	52.08	52.37	52.48	53.09	52.88(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	90	23	88	5.29	58%	-0.1	63.9	1.76%	0	1.6	66	0
24	Apr_28_2008	50.7	51.21	51.81	52.04	52.12	52.74	53.36(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	48	90	37	80	7.96	58%	-0.08	58.6	1.76%	0	2.2	62	0
25	Apr_25_2008	50.74	51.02	51.46	51.82	51.68	51.88	52.4(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	20	12	53	4.96	58%		57.6	1.75%	0	1.6	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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