Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 2, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $53.4800 (-0.22%) ($53.2000 - $53.8400) on Fri. May. 2, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $53.4800(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(76%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.29(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.6(1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.7(3.44%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   16%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.36% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(44%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(56%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 1.11%(69%) Average negative next three day return: -0.95%(31%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 1.04%(69%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.28%(31%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2008	50.58	51.7	52.6	53.29	53.23	53.37	53.48(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	13	81	3	56%	-0.04	56.8	1.75%	0	1.5	70	NAN
2	May_1_2008	50.6	51.58	52.48	53.07	53.11	53.14	53.6(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	10	14	89	4.67	56%	-0.04	61	1.76%	0	1.8	68	NAN
3	Apr_30_2008	50.62	51.44	52.22	52.63	52.91	53.14	53.12(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	40	13	81	4.74	56%	-0.06	61.2	1.76%	0	1.6	68	NAN
4	Apr_29_2008	50.65	51.32	52.08	52.37	52.48	53.09	52.88(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	90	23	88	5.29	58%	-0.1	63.9	1.76%	0	1.6	66	NAN
5	Apr_28_2008	50.7	51.21	51.81	52.04	52.12	52.74	53.36(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	48	90	37	80	7.96	58%	-0.08	58.6	1.76%	0	2.2	62	NAN

6	Apr_25_2008	50.74	51.02	51.46	52.04	51.68	51.88	52.4(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	20	12	53	4.96	58%	-0.1	57.6	1.75%	0	1.6	54	NAN
7	Apr_24_2008	50.79	50.89	51.23	51.82	51.6	51.5	51.4(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-30	-1	43	4.9	57%	-0.12	68	1.75%	0	0.6	51	NAN
8	Apr_23_2008	50.85	50.8	51.08	51.74	51.77	51.49	51.8(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-40	-4	32	2.89	57%	-0.08	77.8	1.75%	0	1.1	54	NAN
9	Apr_22_2008	50.89	50.7	50.9	51.73	51.64	51.71	51.24(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	0	-5	26	4.34	54%	-0.1	86.7	1.75%	0	0.6	53	NAN
10	Apr_21_2008	50.94	50.65	50.84	51.51	51.66	52.05	52.24(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	60	32	32	2.89	55%	-0.08	92.9	1.79%	0	1.8	58	NAN

11	Apr_18_2008	50.98	50.52	50.74	51.02	51.17	51.57	52.4(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	60	27	24	5.14	58%	-0.08	105.8	1.81%	0	2.4	67	NAN
12	Apr_17_2008	51.02	50.31	50.74	50.57	50.64	51.28	51(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	90	23	13	8.02	55%	-0.1	81.4	1.81%	0	0.9	58	NAN
13	Apr_16_2008	51.07	50.13	50.59	50.33	50.41	50.77	51.76(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	50	36	18	5.94	54%	-0.08	50.2	1.8%	0	1.6	65	NAN
14	Apr_15_2008	51.11	49.98	50.48	49.97	50.41	50	50.16(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-0	-4	-5	2.66	48%	-0.1	40.3	1.78%	0	0.2	55	NAN
15	Apr_14_2008	51.16	49.86	50.56	50.08	50.04	50.04	49.8(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-0	-12	1	3.39	48%	-0.1	36.4	1.81%	0	-0.1	48	NAN

16	Apr_11_2008	51.21	49.69	50.54	50.42	50.23	50.09	50.12(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-30	-9	13	6.6	47%	-0.02	30.6	1.81%	0	0.3	55	NAN
17	Apr_10_2008	51.22	49.66	50.54	50.62	50.6	50.05	49.8(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-80	-19	27	5.78	47%	-0.08	37.4	1.82%	0	0.1	65	NAN
18	Apr_9_2008	51.26	49.63	50.54	50.87	50.89	50.38	49.96(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-70	-29	47	5.69	49%	-0.08	43.2	1.83%	0	0.2	71	NAN
19	Apr_8_2008	51.3	49.59	50.53	51.05	51.14	51.15	50.72(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	10	-9	68	2.36	49%	-0.06	48.6	1.84%	0	0.8	62	NAN
20	Apr_7_2008	51.33	49.45	50.48	51.09	51.19	51.41	51.48(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	40	20	101	3.25	49%	-0.04	42	1.83%	0	1.5	72	NAN

21	Apr_4_2008	51.35	49.27	50.29	50.69	50.94	51.14	51.12(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	40	17	109	3.4	47%	-0.06	28.3	1.83%	0	1.4	76	NAN
22	Apr_3_2008	51.38	49.15	50.01	50.43	50.52	50.98	51.08(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	70	17	93	4.85	47%	-0.08	17.6	1.86%	0	1.5	55	NAN
23	Apr_2_2008	51.42	49.04	49.65	50.14	50.26	50.75	50.84(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	80	27	77	4.21	47%	-0.08	4.1	1.86%	0	1.5	55	NAN
24	Apr_1_2008	51.46	48.94	49.43	49.94	50.02	50.06	50.92(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	10	14	63	3.85	47%	-0.06	-11.6	1.86%	0	1.8	56	NAN
25	Mar_31_2008	51.49	48.88	49.09	49.79	49.87	49.76	49.48(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10	-9	48	3.46	44%		-20.2	1.83%	0	0.6	57	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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