Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 25, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $52.4000 (1.95%) ($52.1200 - $52.5600) on Fri. Apr. 25, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $52.4000(1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(76%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.82(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.46(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.02(2.7%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.38%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.38%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 7.13%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -0.64%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.71%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.75%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2008	50.74	51.02	51.46		51.68	51.88	52.4(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	20	12	53	4.96	58%	-0.1	57.6	1.75%	0	1.6	54	0
2	Apr_24_2008	50.79	50.89	51.23	51.82	51.6	51.5	51.4(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-30	-1	43	4.9	57%	-0.12	68	1.75%	0	0.6	51	0
3	Apr_23_2008	50.85	50.8	51.08	51.74	51.77	51.49	51.8(1.09%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-40	-4	32	2.89	57%	-0.08	77.8	1.75%	0	1.1	54	0
4	Apr_22_2008	50.89	50.7	50.9	51.73	51.64	51.71	51.24(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	0	-5	26	4.34	54%	-0.1	86.7	1.75%	0	0.6	53	0
5	Apr_21_2008	50.94	50.65	50.84	51.51	51.66	52.05	52.24(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	60	32	32	2.89	55%	-0.08	92.9	1.79%	0	1.8	58	0

6	Apr_18_2008	50.98	50.52	50.74	51.02	51.17	51.57	52.4(2.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	26	60	27	24	5.14	58%	-0.08	105.8	1.81%	0	2.4	67	0
7	Apr_17_2008	51.02	50.31	50.74	50.57	50.64	51.28	51(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	90	23	13	8.02	55%	-0.1	81.4	1.81%	0	0.9	58	0
8	Apr_16_2008	51.07	50.13	50.59	50.33	50.41	50.77	51.76(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	50	36	18	5.94	54%	-0.08	50.2	1.8%	0	1.6	65	0
9	Apr_15_2008	51.11	49.98	50.48	49.97	50.41	50	50.16(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-4	-0	-4	-5	2.66	48%	-0.1	40.3	1.78%	0	0.2	55	0
10	Apr_14_2008	51.16	49.86	50.56	50.08	50.04	50.04	49.8(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-0	-12	1	3.39	48%	-0.1	36.4	1.81%	0	-0.1	48	0

11	Apr_11_2008	51.21	49.69	50.54	50.42	50.23	50.09	50.12(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-30	-9	13	6.6	47%	-0.02	30.6	1.81%	0	0.3	55	0
12	Apr_10_2008	51.22	49.66	50.54	50.62	50.6	50.05	49.8(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-80	-19	27	5.78	47%	-0.08	37.4	1.82%	0	0.1	65	0
13	Apr_9_2008	51.26	49.63	50.54	50.87	50.89	50.38	49.96(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-70	-29	47	5.69	49%	-0.08	43.2	1.83%	0	0.2	71	0
14	Apr_8_2008	51.3	49.59	50.53	51.05	51.14	51.15	50.72(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	10	-9	68	2.36	49%	-0.06	48.6	1.84%	0	0.8	62	0
15	Apr_7_2008	51.33	49.45	50.48	51.09	51.19	51.41	51.48(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	40	20	101	3.25	49%	-0.04	42	1.83%	0	1.5	72	0

16	Apr_4_2008	51.35	49.27	50.29	50.69	50.94	51.14	51.12(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	40	17	109	3.4	47%	-0.06	28.3	1.83%	0	1.4	76	0
17	Apr_3_2008	51.38	49.15	50.01	50.43	50.52	50.98	51.08(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	70	17	93	4.85	47%	-0.08	17.6	1.86%	0	1.5	55	0
18	Apr_2_2008	51.42	49.04	49.65	50.14	50.26	50.75	50.84(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	80	27	77	4.21	47%	-0.08	4.1	1.86%	0	1.5	55	0
19	Apr_1_2008	51.46	48.94	49.43	49.94	50.02	50.06	50.92(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	10	14	63	3.85	47%	-0.06	-11.6	1.86%	0	1.8	56	0
20	Mar_31_2008	51.49	48.88	49.09	49.79	49.87	49.76	49.48(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10	-9	48	3.46	44%	-0.08	-20.2	1.83%	0	0.6	57	0

21	Mar_28_2008	51.53	48.9	48.77	49.83	50.01	49.76	49.84(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	10	9	46	5.59	44%	-0.1	-18.3	1.83%	0	0.9	57	0
22	Mar_27_2008	51.58	48.93	48.71	49.5	49.89	49.98	49.64(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	40	17	41	3.59	43%	-0.12	-21	1.84%	0	0.6	53	0
23	Mar_26_2008	51.64	48.99	48.65	49.04	49.36	50.04	49.8(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	120	19	25	6.53	43%	-0.14	-22.5	1.85%	0	0.7	52	0
24	Mar_25_2008	51.71	49.06	48.58	48.84	48.85	49.8	50.2(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	140	49	32	6.28	43%	-0.1	-20.5	1.85%	0	0.9	54	0
25	Mar_24_2008	51.76	49.09	48.33	48.29	48.47	48.67	49.68(3.07%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	34	40	46	-3	4.02	43%		-27.4	1.86%	0	0.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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