Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 4, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $51.1200 (0.08%) ($50.9200 - $51.5200) on Fri. Apr. 4, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $51.1200(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(76%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(21%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.69(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.29(1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.27(3.75%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   10.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.72% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.48%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.14%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.68%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2008	51.35	49.27	50.29	50.69	50.94	51.14	51.12(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	40	17	109	3.4	47%	-0.06	28.3	1.83%	0	1.4	76	0
2	Apr_3_2008	51.38	49.15	50.01	50.43	50.52	50.98	51.08(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	70	17	93	4.85	47%	-0.08	17.6	1.86%	0	1.5	55	0
3	Apr_2_2008	51.42	49.04	49.65	50.14	50.26	50.75	50.84(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	40	80	27	77	4.21	47%	-0.08	4.1	1.86%	0	1.5	55	0
4	Apr_1_2008	51.46	48.94	49.43	49.94	50.02	50.06	50.92(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	10	14	63	3.85	47%	-0.06	-11.6	1.86%	0	1.8	56	0
5	Mar_31_2008	51.49	48.88	49.09	49.79	49.87	49.76	49.48(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10	-9	48	3.46	44%	-0.08	-20.2	1.83%	0	0.6	57	0

6	Mar_28_2008	51.53	48.9	48.77	49.83	50.01	49.76	49.84(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	10	9	46	5.59	44%	-0.1	-18.3	1.83%	0	0.9	57	0
7	Mar_27_2008	51.58	48.93	48.71	49.5	49.89	49.98	49.64(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	40	17	41	3.59	43%	-0.12	-21	1.84%	0	0.6	53	0
8	Mar_26_2008	51.64	48.99	48.65	49.04	49.36	50.04	49.8(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	120	19	25	6.53	43%	-0.14	-22.5	1.85%	0	0.7	52	0
9	Mar_25_2008	51.71	49.06	48.58	48.84	48.85	49.8	50.2(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	140	49	32	6.28	43%	-0.1	-20.5	1.85%	0	0.9	54	0
10	Mar_24_2008	51.76	49.06	48.33	48.29	48.47	48.67	49.68(3.07%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	34	40	46	-3	4.02	43%	-0.25	-27.4	1.86%	0	0.4	48	0

11	Mar_20_2008	51.89	49.09	48.15	47.58	47.91	47.9	48.2(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-28	20	-15	-68	5.97	41%	-0.17	-39.7	1.81%	0	-0.7	42	0
12	Mar_19_2008	51.98	49.16	48.2	47.82	47.82	48.28	47.32(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	70	-2	-68	4.26	39%	-0.19	-33	1.79%	0	-1.4	36	0
13	Mar_18_2008	52.08	49.27	48.2	48.2	48.03	47.92	48.8(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-30	10	-63	8.47	43%	-0.17	-26.2	1.76%	0	-0.4	38	0
14	Mar_17_2008	52.17	49.34	48.39	48.29	48.25	47.36	47.44(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-130	-32	-96	10.8	39%	-0.19	-17.3	1.73%	0	-1.5	30	0
15	Mar_14_2008	52.27	49.46	48.65	48.37	48.68	48.15	46.12(-6.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-57	-60	-41	-105	10.18	33%	-0.19	-9.6	1.7%	0	-2.7	26	0

16	Mar_13_2008	52.37	49.64	49.07	48.75	48.85	49.14	49.4(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	50	4	-79	15.93	36%	-0.11	-1	1.56%	0	-0.3	47	0
17	Mar_12_2008	52.43	49.61	49.18	48.63	48.71	49.21	49.24(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	80	22	-70	3.87	36%	-0.13	-5.1	1.58%	0	-0.4	49	0
18	Mar_11_2008	52.5	49.6	49.36	48.62	48.64	48.57	49.25(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10	12	-62	6.38	34%	-0.13	-7	1.58%	0	-0.4	52	0
19	Mar_10_2008	52.57	49.57	49.58	48.55	48.71	48.21	47.84(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-60	-31	-75	5.24	31%	-0.15	-21.4	1.55%	0	-1.7	36	0
20	Mar_7_2008	52.65	49.59	49.9	49	48.9	48.7	48.04(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-30	-36	-50	5.02	31%	-0.17	-24.3	1.55%	0	-1.5	42	0

21	Mar_6_2008	52.74	49.65	50.12	49.42	49.32	49.21	48.76(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-20	-13	-18	4.22	32%	-0.15	-22.6	1.54%	0	-0.9	50	0
22	Mar_5_2008	52.82	49.66	50.22	49.81	49.61	49.11	49.2(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-80	-28	-2	7.31	35%	-0.15	-17.9	1.55%	0	-0.5	56	0
23	Mar_4_2008	52.9	49.68	50.24	50.22	50.01	49.42	48.92(-2.32%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-33	-100	-47	10	7.61	35%	-0.17	-10.9	1.57%	0	-0.8	52	0
24	Mar_3_2008	52.99	49.78	50.39	50.75	50.61	50.11	50.08(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-80	-26	57	7.32	36%	-0.15	10.9	1.55%	0	0.3	64	0
25	Feb_29_2008	53.07	49.84	50.37	50.94	50.93	50.59	50.12(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-50	-18	84	7.32	36%		21.6	1.54%	0	0.3	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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