Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 19, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $47.3200 (-3.03%) ($47.3200 - $48.8000) on Wed. Mar. 19, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $47.3200(-3.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $43.04(-9.04%)
Resistance Level   $49.16
5 Day Moving Average   $47.82(-1.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.2(-1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.16(-3.74%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   2.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.67%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.26%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.13%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080419

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_19_2008	51.98	49.16	48.2	47.82	47.82	48.28	47.32(-3.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	70	-2	-68	4.26	39%	-0.19	-33	1.79%	0	-1.4	36	0
2	Mar_18_2008	52.08	49.27	48.2	48.2	48.03	47.92	48.8(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-30	10	-63	8.47	43%	-0.17	-26.2	1.76%	0	-0.4	38	0
3	Mar_17_2008	52.17	49.34	48.39	48.29	48.25	47.36	47.44(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-130	-32	-96	10.8	39%	-0.19	-17.3	1.73%	0	-1.5	30	0
4	Mar_14_2008	52.27	49.46	48.65	48.37	48.68	48.15	46.12(-6.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-57	-60	-41	-105	10.18	33%	-0.19	-9.6	1.7%	0	-2.7	26	0
5	Mar_13_2008	52.37	49.64	49.07	48.75	48.85	49.14	49.4(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-17	50	4	-79	15.93	36%	-0.11	-1	1.56%	0	-0.3	47	0

6	Mar_12_2008	52.43	49.61	49.18	48.63	48.71	49.21	49.24(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	80	22	-70	3.87	36%	-0.13	-5.1	1.58%	0	-0.4	49	0
7	Mar_11_2008	52.5	49.6	49.36	48.62	48.64	48.57	49.25(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10	12	-62	6.38	34%	-0.13	-7	1.58%	0	-0.4	52	0
8	Mar_10_2008	52.57	49.57	49.58	48.55	48.71	48.21	47.84(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-60	-31	-75	5.24	31%	-0.15	-21.4	1.55%	0	-1.7	36	0
9	Mar_7_2008	52.65	49.59	49.9	49	48.9	48.7	48.04(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-30	-36	-50	5.02	31%	-0.17	-24.3	1.55%	0	-1.5	42	0
10	Mar_6_2008	52.74	49.65	50.12	49.42	49.32	49.21	48.76(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-14	-20	-13	-18	4.22	32%	-0.15	-22.6	1.54%	0	-0.9	50	0

11	Mar_5_2008	52.82	49.66	50.22	49.81	49.61	49.11	49.2(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-80	-28	-2	7.31	35%	-0.15	-17.9	1.55%	0	-0.5	56	0
12	Mar_4_2008	52.9	49.68	50.24	50.22	50.01	49.42	48.92(-2.32%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-33	-100	-47	10	7.61	35%	-0.17	-10.9	1.57%	0	-0.8	52	0
13	Mar_3_2008	52.99	49.78	50.39	50.75	50.61	50.11	50.08(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-80	-26	57	7.32	36%	-0.15	10.9	1.55%	0	0.3	64	0
14	Feb_29_2008	53.07	49.84	50.37	50.94	50.93	50.59	50.12(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-50	-18	84	7.32	36%	-0.15	21.6	1.54%	0	0.3	67	0
15	Feb_28_2008	53.15	49.87	50.28	50.9	51.03	51.12	50.72(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	20	6	95	4.02	36%	-0.15	28.1	1.54%	0	0.8	59	0

16	Feb_27_2008	53.23	49.83	50.09	50.67	50.75	51.27	51.28(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	80	29	95	10.1	38%	-0.13	30.2	1.54%	0	1.4	64	0
17	Feb_26_2008	53.3	49.78	49.86	50.26	50.36	50.95	51.56(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	51	90	41	80	3.83	38%	-0.13	30.7	1.55%	0	1.7	60	0
18	Feb_25_2008	53.37	49.67	49.53	49.99	49.82	50.23	51(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	50	22	42	5.07	38%	-0.15	23.8	1.55%	0	1.4	47	0
19	Feb_22_2008	53.45	49.61	49.21	49.74	49.77	49.77	49.96(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	0	16	4	6.41	38%	-0.15	23.5	1.55%	0	0.4	41	0
20	Feb_21_2008	53.53	49.57	49.12	49.58	49.72	49.42	49.56(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	-30	-5	-24	3.5	37%	-0.17	17	1.56%	0	-0	42	0

21	Feb_20_2008	53.62	49.51	49.04	49.41	49.65	49.76	49.2(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-14	30	-5	-41	5.63	40%	-0.17	1.6	1.57%	0	-0.3	45	0
22	Feb_19_2008	53.71	49.47	49.06	49.38	49.54	50.01	50.24(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	15	80	32	-35	7.15	40%	-0.2	-15.7	1.59%	0	0.8	48	0
23	Feb_15_2008	53.82	49.45	49.11	48.99	49.17	49.54	49.76(1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	60	30	-43	3.74	40%	-0.15	-32.1	1.59%	0	0.3	51	0
24	Feb_14_2008	53.9	49.4	49.24	48.61	48.85	49.08	49.16(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	50	16	-56	4.86	40%	-0.15	-57.6	1.58%	0	-0.2	46	0
25	Feb_13_2008	53.98	49.41	49.4	48.59	48.49	48.8	48.68(-0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	40	3	-52	4.44	42%		-72.2	1.57%	0	-0.7	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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