Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 11, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.3200 (1%) ($47.8400 - $48.5600) on Mon. Feb. 11, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.58% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $48.3200(1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-6%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.79% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $49.62
5 Day Moving Average   $48.7(-0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.69(-2.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.62(-2.62%)
To recent high   -16%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 1.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.02%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.49%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.73%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.73%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080311

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_11_2008	54.11	49.62	49.69	48.7	48.61	48.17	48.32(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-70	-33	-35	3.87	42%	-0.13	-66.4	1.58%	0	-1.2	54	NAN
2	Feb_8_2008	54.18	49.76	49.84	49.26	49.01	48.52	47.84(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-42	-90	-49	-20	4.4	40%	-0.15	-55.2	1.58%	0	-1.7	41	NAN
3	Feb_7_2008	54.26	49.97	50.06	49.96	49.8	49.04	49.08(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-20	-120	-35	24	7.66	41%	-0.11	-42.7	1.56%	0	-0.8	54	NAN
4	Feb_6_2008	54.32	50.13	50.09	50.32	50.36	49.5	48.8(-1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-27	-120	-47	34	5.29	42%	-0.11	-33.5	1.57%	0	-1.1	49	NAN
5	Feb_5_2008	54.38	50.26	50.07	50.6	50.72	50.55	49.44(-3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-11	-20	-28	41	6.49	41%	-0.09	-34.2	1.57%	0	-0.7	46	NAN

6	Feb_4_2008	54.43	50.36	49.97	50.8	50.78	51.23	51.16(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	60	24	47	3.66	43%	-0.06	-35.7	1.53%	0	0.7	45	NAN
7	Feb_1_2008	54.46	50.37	49.84	50.49	50.54	50.88	51.32(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	50	35	30	5.67	42%	-0.06	-45	1.53%	0	0.8	49	NAN
8	Jan_31_2008	54.49	50.44	49.57	50.2	50.08	50.33	50.88(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	30	15	-14	7.88	42%	-0.07	-47.4	1.53%	0	0.3	44	NAN
9	Jan_30_2008	54.53	50.53	49.41	49.85	49.99	50.2	50.2(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	40	28	-46	4.51	42%	-0.07	-51.9	1.52%	0	-0.2	39	NAN
10	Jan_29_2008	54.57	50.67	49.4	49.47	49.7	49.83	50.44(1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	3	30	27	-71	4.45	43%	-0.07	-59.6	1.52%	0	-0.2	46	NAN

11	Jan_28_2008	54.61	50.79	49.5	49.02	49.01	49.79	49.6(-0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	110	14	-95	6.39	42%	-0.09	-63.7	1.52%	0	-0.8	42	NAN
12	Jan_25_2008	54.66	50.93	49.63	49.1	48.58	49.57	49.88(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	19	110	52	-82	8.29	43%	-0.09	-61.9	1.54%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
13	Jan_24_2008	54.71	51.09	49.82	48.86	48.47	48.23	49.12(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-60	18	-116	29.95	42%	-0.11	-64.7	1.52%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
14	Jan_23_2008	54.77	51.29	50.14	48.92	48.54	47.59	48.32(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-81	-160	-58	-150	14.54	40%	-0.15	-62.1	1.5%	0	-1.8	30	NAN
15	Jan_22_2008	54.85	51.57	50.45	49.32	49.01	48.72	48.16(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-81	-60	-58	-148	10.84	40%	-0.16	-58.9	1.5%	0	-2.2	29	NAN

16	Jan_18_2008	54.94	51.82	50.8	50.04	49.68	49.48	50(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-50	-10	-116	8.09	41%	-0.09	-59.4	1.44%	0	-1.3	34	NAN
17	Jan_17_2008	54.99	51.96	50.97	50.26	50.17	49.3	48.72(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-71	-130	-50	-132	8.66	39%	-0.13	-70.1	1.4%	0	-2.5	31	NAN
18	Jan_16_2008	55.06	52.19	51.42	50.92	50.66	49.89	49.4(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-83	-120	-72	-114	8.96	37%	-0.09	-81.6	1.39%	0	-2.6	30	NAN
19	Jan_15_2008	55.11	52.34	51.78	51.53	51.27	51.05	50.32(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-41	-50	-30	-72	9.59	38%	-0.11	-109	1.39%	0	-2.3	35	NAN
20	Jan_14_2008	55.17	52.48	52.07	51.73	51.27	51.44	51.76(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-40	0	-57	4.11	40%	-0.07	-149.6	1.36%	0	-1	37	NAN

21	Jan_11_2008	55.21	52.65	52.19	51.66	51.73	51.49	51.12(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-30	-25	-70	7.49	40%	-0.09	-168.9	1.35%	0	-2.2	40	NAN
22	Jan_10_2008	55.26	52.9	52.34	51.79	51.82	52.01	52(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	30	-6	-61	6.4	41%	-0.05	-141	1.34%	0	-1.1	46	NAN
23	Jan_9_2008	55.29	53.08	52.46	52.01	51.89	51.97	52.44(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	0	6	-45	5.2	41%	-0.04	-99.5	1.33%	0	-0.6	46	NAN
24	Jan_8_2008	55.31	53.3	52.52	52.11	52.1	51.62	51.32(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-70	-26	-48	8.96	38%	-0.05	-84.1	1.3%	0	-1.5	47	NAN
25	Jan_7_2008	55.34	53.58	52.76	52.48	52.42	51.81	51.44(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-80	-47	-34	3.87	38%		-65.2	1.3%	0	-1.4	41	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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