Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.1600 (-3.68%) ($46.8000 - $48.7200) on Tue. Jan. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $48.1600(-3.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $44.44(-7.72%)
Resistance Level   $51.57
5 Day Moving Average   $49.32(-2.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.45(-4.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.57(-6.61%)
To recent high   -16.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.97% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.23%(20%) Average negative next day return: -1.28%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.29%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.93%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 6.17%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.44%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2008	54.85	51.57	50.45	49.32	49.01	48.72	48.16(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-81	-60	-58	-148	10.84	40%	-0.16	-58.9	1.5%	0	-2.2	29	0
2	Jan_18_2008	54.94	51.82	50.8	50.04	49.68	49.48	50(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-50	-10	-116	8.09	41%	-0.09	-59.4	1.44%	0	-1.3	34	0
3	Jan_17_2008	54.99	51.96	50.97	50.26	50.17	49.3	48.72(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-71	-130	-50	-132	8.66	39%	-0.13	-70.1	1.4%	0	-2.5	31	0
4	Jan_16_2008	55.06	52.19	51.42	50.92	50.66	49.89	49.4(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-83	-120	-72	-114	8.96	37%	-0.09	-81.6	1.39%	0	-2.6	30	0
5	Jan_15_2008	55.11	52.34	51.78	51.53	51.27	51.05	50.32(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-41	-50	-30	-72	9.59	38%	-0.11	-109	1.39%	0	-2.3	35	0

6	Jan_14_2008	55.17	52.48	52.07	51.73	51.27	51.44	51.76(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	-40	0	-57	4.11	40%	-0.07	-149.6	1.36%	0	-1	37	0
7	Jan_11_2008	55.21	52.65	52.19	51.66	51.73	51.49	51.12(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-30	-25	-70	7.49	40%	-0.09	-168.9	1.35%	0	-2.2	40	0
8	Jan_10_2008	55.26	52.9	52.34	51.79	51.82	52.01	52(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	30	-6	-61	6.4	41%	-0.05	-141	1.34%	0	-1.1	46	0
9	Jan_9_2008	55.29	53.08	52.46	52.01	51.89	51.97	52.44(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	0	6	-45	5.2	41%	-0.04	-99.5	1.33%	0	-0.6	46	0
10	Jan_8_2008	55.31	53.3	52.52	52.11	52.1	51.62	51.32(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-70	-26	-48	8.96	38%	-0.05	-84.1	1.3%	0	-1.5	47	0

11	Jan_7_2008	55.34	53.58	52.76	52.48	52.42	51.81	51.44(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-80	-47	-34	3.87	38%	-0.05	-65.2	1.3%	0	-1.4	41	0
12	Jan_4_2008	55.37	53.88	52.92	52.8	52.78	52.57	51.75(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-30	-27	-29	5.89	40%	-0.05	-52.5	1.31%	0	-1.3	32	0
13	Jan_3_2008	55.4	54.13	52.92	52.94	53.02	53.03	53.12(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	10	2	-40	4.58	42%	-0.02	-44.9	1.28%	0	-0.6	32	0
14	Jan_2_2008	55.41	54.26	53.02	52.97	52.96	53.03	52.92(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	0	-2	-64	3.7	42%	-0.05	-42.1	1.28%	0	-0.7	34	0
15	Dec_31_2007	55.44	54.43	52.95	52.99	53	53	53.16(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	0	0	-102	3.08	44%	-0.05	-38.1	1.28%	0	-0.7	30	0

16	Dec_28_2007	55.47	54.58	52.93	53.1	52.99	52.92	53.04(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-20	-4	-131	3.79	44%	-0.07	-32.6	1.28%	0	-0.8	31	0
17	Dec_27_2007	55.51	54.74	53.12	53.06	52.99	53	52.44(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10	-4	-154	3.59	46%	-0.09	-26.9	1.27%	0	-1.3	26	0
18	Dec_26_2007	55.56	54.92	53.49	53.11	53.1	53.06	53.28(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-10	-2	-153	2.8	48%	-0.09	-23.4	1.3%	0	-0.9	33	0
19	Dec_24_2007	55.61	55.04	53.73	53.06	53	53.21	53.04(-1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-33	20	8	-154	2.77	48%	-0.05	-18.7	1.29%	0	-1.2	39	0
20	Dec_21_2007	55.64	55.13	54.12	52.88	52.97	53.15	53.68(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	30	23	-153	7.05	48%	-0.05	-20.7	1.28%	0	-0.9	39	0

21	Dec_20_2007	55.67	55.19	54.43	52.75	52.75	53.15	52.88(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-58	10	-19	-174	3.15	46%	-0.09	-22.1	1.27%	0	-1.4	35	0
22	Dec_19_2007	55.72	55.23	54.89	53.22	52.95	52.79	52.68(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-61	-40	-31	-150	4.31	47%	-0.09	-18.4	1.27%	0	-1.6	35	0
23	Dec_18_2007	55.77	55.34	55.31	53.95	53.53	52.7	53.04(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-72	-130	-55	-121	4.94	48%	-0.09	-7.1	1.28%	0	-1.5	38	0
24	Dec_17_2007	55.82	55.36	55.61	54.53	54.48	53.11	52.12(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-105	-180	-102	-114	3.86	46%	-0.09	1.5	1.26%	0	-2.2	36	0
25	Dec_14_2007	55.87	55.47	56.07	55.54	55.47	54.35	53.04(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-91	-150	-103	-55	6.88	48%		23.7	1.25%	0	-1.8	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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