Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 12, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $53.6400 (0.07%) ($53.4000 - $54.1600) on Mon. Nov. 12, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $53.6400(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $51.51(-3.97%)
Resistance Level   $55.9
5 Day Moving Average   $54.6(-1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.56(-3.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.9(-4.04%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   0.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.22%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.91%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.9%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.32%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2007	56.59	55.9	55.56	54.6	54.3	53.62	53.64(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-74	-100	-58	-122	4.41	48%	-0.07	-77.5	0.99%	0	-2.1	37	0
2	Nov_9_2007	56.63	56.09	55.93	54.99	54.93	54.1	53.6(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-84	-110	-80	-94	8.69	45%	-0.09	-75.3	1.01%	0	-2.4	38	0
3	Nov_8_2007	56.68	56.32	56.25	55.58	55.44	54.98	54.32(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-64	-70	-70	-47	7.93	47%	-0.07	-69.9	1.01%	0	-2.2	45	0
4	Nov_7_2007	56.72	56.51	56.41	56.06	55.91	55.77	55.2(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-30	-34	-15	4.26	49%	-0.05	-59.3	1%	0	-1.5	42	0
5	Nov_6_2007	56.75	56.65	56.49	56.51	56.3	55.89	56.24(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-15	-60	-23	11	3.82	54%	-0.04	-45.3	0.98%	0	-0.5	49	0

6	Nov_5_2007	56.77	56.74	56.48	56.67	56.59	56.05	55.6(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-42	-70	-57	4	2.7	52%	-0.05	-36.5	0.98%	0	-1.3	46	0
7	Nov_2_2007	56.8	56.87	56.52	56.67	56.95	56.7	56.56(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-30	-27	23	4.12	53%	-0.04	-24.4	0.98%	0	-0.3	43	0
8	Nov_1_2007	56.82	56.96	56.43	57.02	57.13	57.13	56.72(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	10	8	13	6.68	51%	-0.02	-18.8	0.98%	0	-0.3	39	0
9	Oct_31_2007	56.83	57.02	56.42	56.79	57.03	57.2	57.44(0.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	20	30	29	-6	3.37	53%	0	-22.6	0.97%	0	0.4	43	0
10	Oct_30_2007	56.83	57.03	56.31	56.46	56.58	57.14	57.04(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	14	80	32	-41	2.55	55%	-0.04	-24.1	0.97%	0	0	40	0

11	Oct_29_2007	56.85	57.07	56.23	56.26	56.24	56.86	57.32(1.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	32	80	62	-58	3.52	55%	-0.02	-19.8	0.99%	0	0.3	41	0
12	Oct_26_2007	56.86	57.1	56.21	55.98	55.93	56.01	56.56(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	10	32	-98	4.61	50%	-0.04	-16.2	0.98%	0	-0.5	32	0
13	Oct_25_2007	56.88	57.14	56.34	55.78	55.76	55.62	55.6(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-52	-20	-23	-138	4.58	48%	-0.05	-11.6	0.98%	0	-1.6	18	0
14	Oct_24_2007	56.91	57.24	56.58	55.99	55.86	55.86	55.8(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10	-14	-123	5.9	48%	-0.05	5.5	0.98%	0	-1.5	32	0
15	Oct_23_2007	56.94	57.27	56.8	56.12	56.09	55.9	56.04(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-30	-4	-112	3.78	48%	-0.05	13.9	0.98%	0	-1.3	33	0

16	Oct_22_2007	56.97	57.26	57	56.18	56.2	55.86	55.88(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-40	-38	-121	4.49	48%	-0.05	19.9	0.98%	0	-1.4	32	0
17	Oct_19_2007	57	57.26	57.25	56.49	56.39	56.28	55.56(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-20	-43	-105	4.45	48%	-0.05	32.1	0.98%	0	-1.6	27	0
18	Oct_18_2007	57.03	57.25	57.56	56.99	56.77	56.55	56.68(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-40	-19	-57	3.89	51%	-0.02	47.4	0.95%	0	-0.5	45	0
19	Oct_17_2007	57.04	57.18	57.68	57.27	57.14	56.49	56.44(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-90	-53	-50	3.58	51%	-0.02	55.3	0.95%	0	-0.6	42	0
20	Oct_16_2007	57.05	57.14	57.84	57.58	57.6	57	56.36(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-70	-66	-19	2.89	51%	-0.02	60.6	0.95%	0	-0.6	57	0

21	Oct_15_2007	57.06	57.07	58.01	57.94	57.96	57.79	57.4(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-17	-20	-35	38	3.54	54%	0	61.8	0.93%	0	0.2	72	0
22	Oct_12_2007	57.06	56.91	58.08	58.11	58.14	58.21	58.08(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	22	10	-1	92	3.39	57%	0.02	61.8	0.92%	0	0.8	83	0
23	Oct_11_2007	57.05	56.73	58.01	58.22	58.17	58.14	58.08(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	36	-10	5	127	7.35	57%	0.02	60.9	0.92%	0	0.9	84	0
24	Oct_10_2007	57.04	56.54	57.95	58.17	58.2	58.06	58(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-20	-6	148	2.84	57%	0	58.4	0.92%	0	0.9	84	0
25	Oct_9_2007	57.04	56.37	57.78	58.14	58.19	58.2	58.12(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	38	0	-3	162	3.74	57%		58.2	0.92%	0	1.1	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.