Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 5, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $55.6000 (-1.7%) ($55.4800 - $55.8800) on Mon. Nov. 5, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $55.6000(-1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $56.74
5 Day Moving Average   $56.67(-1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.48(-1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.74(-2.01%)
To recent high   -5.1%
To recent low   3.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.53%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.06%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.35%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2007	56.77	56.74	56.48	56.67	56.59	56.05	55.6(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-42	-70	-57	4	2.7	52%	-0.05	-36.5	0.98%	0	-1.3	46	0
2	Nov_2_2007	56.8	56.87	56.52	56.67	56.95	56.7	56.56(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-30	-27	23	4.12	53%	-0.04	-24.4	0.98%	0	-0.3	43	0
3	Nov_1_2007	56.82	56.96	56.43	57.02	57.13	57.13	56.72(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	10	8	13	6.68	51%	-0.02	-18.8	0.98%	0	-0.3	39	0
4	Oct_31_2007	56.83	57.02	56.42	56.79	57.03	57.2	57.44(0.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	20	30	29	-6	3.37	53%	0	-22.6	0.97%	0	0.4	43	0
5	Oct_30_2007	56.83	57.03	56.31	56.46	56.58	57.14	57.04(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	14	80	32	-41	2.55	55%	-0.04	-24.1	0.97%	0	0	40	0

6	Oct_29_2007	56.85	57.07	56.23	56.26	56.24	56.86	57.32(1.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	32	80	62	-58	3.52	55%	-0.02	-19.8	0.99%	0	0.3	41	0
7	Oct_26_2007	56.86	57.1	56.21	55.98	55.93	56.01	56.56(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	10	32	-98	4.61	50%	-0.04	-16.2	0.98%	0	-0.5	32	0
8	Oct_25_2007	56.88	57.14	56.34	55.78	55.76	55.62	55.6(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-52	-20	-23	-138	4.58	48%	-0.05	-11.6	0.98%	0	-1.6	18	0
9	Oct_24_2007	56.91	57.24	56.58	55.99	55.86	55.86	55.8(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10	-14	-123	5.9	48%	-0.05	5.5	0.98%	0	-1.5	32	0
10	Oct_23_2007	56.94	57.27	56.8	56.12	56.09	55.9	56.04(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-30	-4	-112	3.78	48%	-0.05	13.9	0.98%	0	-1.3	33	0

11	Oct_22_2007	56.97	57.26	57	56.18	56.2	55.86	55.88(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-40	-38	-121	4.49	48%	-0.05	19.9	0.98%	0	-1.4	32	0
12	Oct_19_2007	57	57.26	57.25	56.49	56.39	56.28	55.56(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-20	-43	-105	4.45	48%	-0.05	32.1	0.98%	0	-1.6	27	0
13	Oct_18_2007	57.03	57.25	57.56	56.99	56.77	56.55	56.68(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-40	-19	-57	3.89	51%	-0.02	47.4	0.95%	0	-0.5	45	0
14	Oct_17_2007	57.04	57.18	57.68	57.27	57.14	56.49	56.44(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-90	-53	-50	3.58	51%	-0.02	55.3	0.95%	0	-0.6	42	0
15	Oct_16_2007	57.05	57.14	57.84	57.58	57.6	57	56.36(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-70	-66	-19	2.89	51%	-0.02	60.6	0.95%	0	-0.6	57	0

16	Oct_15_2007	57.06	57.07	58.01	57.94	57.96	57.79	57.4(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-17	-20	-35	38	3.54	54%	0	61.8	0.93%	0	0.2	72	0
17	Oct_12_2007	57.06	56.91	58.08	58.11	58.14	58.21	58.08(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	22	10	-1	92	3.39	57%	0.02	61.8	0.92%	0	0.8	83	0
18	Oct_11_2007	57.05	56.73	58.01	58.22	58.17	58.14	58.08(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	36	-10	5	127	7.35	57%	0.02	60.9	0.92%	0	0.9	84	0
19	Oct_10_2007	57.04	56.54	57.95	58.17	58.2	58.06	58(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-20	-6	148	2.84	57%	0	58.4	0.92%	0	0.9	84	0
20	Oct_9_2007	57.04	56.37	57.78	58.14	58.19	58.2	58.12(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	38	0	-3	162	3.74	57%	0.02	58.2	0.92%	0	1.1	82	0

21	Oct_8_2007	57.03	56.19	57.55	58.09	58.12	58.34	58.28(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	30	13	180	2.24	57%	0.02	54.1	0.92%	0	1.3	86	0
22	Oct_5_2007	57.02	55.99	57.26	58.03	58.05	58.18	58.6(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	20	31	202	4.72	57%	0.04	49.4	0.92%	0	1.7	92	0
23	Oct_4_2007	57	55.78	56.92	57.78	57.86	57.9	57.84(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	53	10	7	192	1.79	55%	0	47.8	0.91%	0	1.5	85	0
24	Oct_3_2007	57	55.62	56.64	57.7	57.71	57.92	57.88(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	70	30	24	207	4.01	55%	0.02	47.5	0.91%	0	1.7	86	0
25	Oct_2_2007	56.99	55.46	56.37	57.34	57.56	57.82	57.84(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	88	40	49	206	5.05	57%		43.6	0.91%	0	2	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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