Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 31, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $57.4400 (0.7%) ($57.0800 - $57.6000) on Wed. Oct. 31, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $57.4400(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.79(1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.42(1.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.02(0.74%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.68% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2007	56.83	57.02	56.42	56.79	57.03	57.2	57.44(0.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	20	30	29	-6	3.37	53%	0	-22.6	0.97%	0	0.4	43	NAN
2	Oct_30_2007	56.83	57.03	56.31	56.46	56.58	57.14	57.04(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	14	80	32	-41	2.55	55%	-0.04	-24.1	0.97%	0	0	40	NAN
3	Oct_29_2007	56.85	57.07	56.23	56.26	56.24	56.86	57.32(1.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	32	80	62	-58	3.52	55%	-0.02	-19.8	0.99%	0	0.3	41	NAN
4	Oct_26_2007	56.86	57.1	56.21	55.98	55.93	56.01	56.56(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	10	32	-98	4.61	50%	-0.04	-16.2	0.98%	0	-0.5	32	NAN
5	Oct_25_2007	56.88	57.14	56.34	55.78	55.76	55.62	55.6(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-52	-20	-23	-138	4.58	48%	-0.05	-11.6	0.98%	0	-1.6	18	NAN

6	Oct_24_2007	56.91	57.24	56.58	55.99	55.86	55.86	55.8(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10	-14	-123	5.9	48%	-0.05	5.5	0.98%	0	-1.5	32	NAN
7	Oct_23_2007	56.94	57.27	56.8	56.12	56.09	55.9	56.04(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-30	-4	-112	3.78	48%	-0.05	13.9	0.98%	0	-1.3	33	NAN
8	Oct_22_2007	56.97	57.26	57	56.18	56.2	55.86	55.88(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-40	-38	-121	4.49	48%	-0.05	19.9	0.98%	0	-1.4	32	NAN
9	Oct_19_2007	57	57.26	57.25	56.49	56.39	56.28	55.56(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-59	-20	-43	-105	4.45	48%	-0.05	32.1	0.98%	0	-1.6	27	NAN
10	Oct_18_2007	57.03	57.25	57.56	56.99	56.77	56.55	56.68(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-40	-19	-57	3.89	51%	-0.02	47.4	0.95%	0	-0.5	45	NAN

11	Oct_17_2007	57.04	57.18	57.68	57.27	57.14	56.49	56.44(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-90	-53	-50	3.58	51%	-0.02	55.3	0.95%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
12	Oct_16_2007	57.05	57.14	57.84	57.58	57.6	57	56.36(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-70	-66	-19	2.89	51%	-0.02	60.6	0.95%	0	-0.6	57	NAN
13	Oct_15_2007	57.06	57.07	58.01	57.94	57.96	57.79	57.4(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-17	-20	-35	38	3.54	54%	0	61.8	0.93%	0	0.2	72	NAN
14	Oct_12_2007	57.06	56.91	58.08	58.11	58.14	58.21	58.08(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	22	10	-1	92	3.39	57%	0.02	61.8	0.92%	0	0.8	83	NAN
15	Oct_11_2007	57.05	56.73	58.01	58.22	58.17	58.14	58.08(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	36	-10	5	127	7.35	57%	0.02	60.9	0.92%	0	0.9	84	NAN

16	Oct_10_2007	57.04	56.54	57.95	58.17	58.2	58.06	58(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-20	-6	148	2.84	57%	0	58.4	0.92%	0	0.9	84	NAN
17	Oct_9_2007	57.04	56.37	57.78	58.14	58.19	58.2	58.12(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	38	0	-3	162	3.74	57%	0.02	58.2	0.92%	0	1.1	82	NAN
18	Oct_8_2007	57.03	56.19	57.55	58.09	58.12	58.34	58.28(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	30	13	180	2.24	57%	0.02	54.1	0.92%	0	1.3	86	NAN
19	Oct_5_2007	57.02	55.99	57.26	58.03	58.05	58.18	58.6(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	20	31	202	4.72	57%	0.04	49.4	0.92%	0	1.7	92	NAN
20	Oct_4_2007	57	55.78	56.92	57.78	57.86	57.9	57.84(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	53	10	7	192	1.79	55%	0	47.8	0.91%	0	1.5	85	NAN

21	Oct_3_2007	57	55.62	56.64	57.7	57.71	57.92	57.88(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	70	30	24	207	4.01	55%	0.02	47.5	0.91%	0	1.7	86	NAN
22	Oct_2_2007	56.99	55.46	56.37	57.34	57.56	57.82	57.84(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	88	40	49	206	5.05	57%	-0.02	43.6	0.91%	0	2	78	NAN
23	Oct_1_2007	57	55.35	56.04	56.9	57.1	57.51	58(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	79	60	47	173	5.14	57%	0	38.8	0.94%	0	2.4	78	NAN
24	Sep_28_2007	57	55.25	55.64	56.37	56.58	57.31	57.36(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	86	100	65	147	5.02	57%	0	32	0.94%	0	2.2	78	NAN
25	Sep_27_2007	57	55.12	55.33	55.92	56.08	56.7	57.4(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	91	90	80	123	6.63	57%		18.8	0.94%	0	2.8	71	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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