Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 20, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $53.8000 (-1.1%) ($53.3600 - $54.7200) on Mon. Aug. 20, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.76% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $53.8000(-1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(20%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.38% (StdDev 0.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $50.61(-5.93%)
Resistance Level   $56.45
5 Day Moving Average   $54.66(-1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.49(-3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.45(-4.69%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.48% (three month std-dev: 0.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.56%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.1%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.02%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.72%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.89%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070920

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_20_2007	57.83	56.45	55.49	54.66	54.51	54.33	53.8(-1.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-83	-30	-47	-190	9.94	47%	-0.09	-71	0.76%	0	-1.9	23	NAN
2	Aug_17_2007	57.88	56.71	55.82	55.05	54.92	54.51	54.4(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-72	-60	-38	-174	10.68	47%	-0.07	-69.9	0.75%	0	-1.8	23	NAN
3	Aug_16_2007	57.92	56.91	56.01	55.3	55.26	54.7	54.8(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-95	-70	-68	-176	15.92	47%	-0.07	-71.3	0.76%	0	-1.7	36	NAN
4	Aug_15_2007	57.96	57.11	56.24	55.64	55.53	55.32	54.68(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-98	-30	-76	-165	9.17	46%	-0.07	-69.7	0.76%	0	-2.1	32	NAN
5	Aug_14_2007	58	57.3	56.51	56.18	55.96	55.83	55.6(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-30	-23	-124	8.45	49%	-0.07	-63.7	0.74%	0	-1.6	31	NAN

6	Aug_13_2007	58.04	57.46	56.72	56.45	56.34	55.75	55.76(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-80	-45	-125	5.17	49%	-0.07	-59.2	0.74%	0	-1.7	32	NAN
7	Aug_10_2007	58.08	57.63	56.94	56.7	56.58	56.09	55.68(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-89	-70	-76	-129	6.85	46%	-0.07	-52.4	0.74%	0	-2	30	NAN
8	Aug_9_2007	58.12	57.8	57.09	56.81	56.92	56.93	56.48(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	10	-13	-115	7.12	51%	-0.05	-52	0.74%	0	-1.5	37	NAN
9	Aug_8_2007	58.15	57.92	57.21	56.91	56.88	57.08	57.4(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	20	16	-111	8.14	55%	-0.02	-52.1	0.74%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
10	Aug_7_2007	58.16	57.98	57.31	56.89	56.81	56.9	56.92(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-26	10	5	-119	6.55	53%	-0.03	-56.7	0.73%	0	-1.3	39	NAN

11	Aug_6_2007	58.18	58.06	57.48	57.05	56.86	56.69	57.04(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-30	-22	-121	4.38	53%	0	-58.2	0.73%	0	-1.3	38	NAN
12	Aug_3_2007	58.18	58.14	57.64	57.24	57.12	56.72	56.2(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-66	-60	-47	-123	8.04	50%	-0.03	-51.2	0.71%	0	-2.6	28	NAN
13	Aug_2_2007	58.2	58.26	57.88	57.41	57.51	57.03	57(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-64	-50	-45	-122	6.29	53%	0	-47.6	0.69%	0	-2.1	31	NAN
14	Aug_1_2007	58.2	58.36	58.05	57.53	57.58	57.52	57.28(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-72	-0	-56	-121	10.27	53%	-0.02	-38.3	0.69%	0	-2	36	NAN
15	Jul_31_2007	58.21	58.44	58.17	57.8	57.76	57.99	57.72(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	30	8	-75	6.75	55%	-0.03	-14	0.69%	0	-1.4	44	NAN

16	Jul_30_2007	58.23	58.51	58.27	57.98	57.94	57.65	58(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-40	-7	-66	12.06	55%	-0.02	10.7	0.68%	0	-1	46	NAN
17	Jul_27_2007	58.24	58.52	58.36	58.14	58.12	57.53	57.04(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-83	-70	-84	-80	10.46	51%	-0.02	22.6	0.66%	0	-3	35	NAN
18	Jul_26_2007	58.25	58.56	58.58	58.42	58.49	58.23	57.6(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-52	-30	-57	-38	6.47	54%	-0.02	37.5	0.65%	0	-2.3	40	NAN
19	Jul_25_2007	58.26	58.57	58.71	58.63	58.69	58.71	58.64(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	10	-1	5	5.38	60%	0	48.6	0.61%	0	0.2	47	NAN
20	Jul_24_2007	58.26	58.51	58.7	58.58	58.7	58.75	58.6(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	6	10	9	-3	4.64	60%	0.03	31.7	0.62%	0	0.2	43	NAN

21	Jul_23_2007	58.24	58.46	58.69	58.6	58.61	58.68	58.8(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	10	1	-14	6.09	56%	0.02	20.7	0.61%	0	0.6	44	NAN
22	Jul_20_2007	58.23	58.41	58.66	58.64	58.59	58.65	58.44(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	0	-5	-6	7.6	54%	0	14.9	0.63%	0	0.1	58	NAN
23	Jul_19_2007	58.23	58.4	58.67	58.78	58.71	58.65	58.68(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-20	-5	22	3.37	54%	-0.02	24.5	0.63%	0	0.5	67	NAN
24	Jul_18_2007	58.24	58.4	58.68	58.81	58.78	58.54	58.4(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-14	-30	-30	33	5.32	54%	0	26.6	0.63%	0	0.1	63	NAN
25	Jul_17_2007	58.24	58.37	58.74	58.82	58.84	58.88	58.68(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	10	-5	68	3.29	54%		31.9	0.62%	0	0.6	69	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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