Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 17, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $58.6800 (-0.54%) ($58.5600 - $58.8800) on Tue. Jul. 17, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $58.6800(-0.54%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.82(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.74(-0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.37(0.53%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.94% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070817

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2007	58.24	58.37	58.74	58.82	58.84	58.88	58.68(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	10	-5	68	3.29	54%	-0.03	31.9	0.62%	0	0.6	69	0
2	Jul_16_2007	58.26	58.35	58.78	58.78	58.75	59.02	59(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	30	29	105	3.66	58%	-0.03	29.8	0.62%	0	1.2	75	0
3	Jul_13_2007	58.28	58.32	58.68	58.68	58.63	58.8	59.12(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	51	20	34	100	3.37	58%	0	25.3	0.65%	0	1.5	69	0
4	Jul_12_2007	58.28	58.27	58.53	58.56	58.55	58.49	58.84(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	-10	5	68	4.31	58%	-0.02	17.4	0.65%	0	1.1	56	0
5	Jul_11_2007	58.29	58.22	58.41	58.55	58.53	58.45	58.44(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-10	-22	53	3.49	57%	-0.02	12.2	0.65%	0	0.5	56	0

6	Jul_10_2007	58.3	58.22	58.32	58.66	58.61	58.45	58.48(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-0	-12	54	3.39	57%	0	8.3	0.65%	0	0.6	50	0
7	Jul_9_2007	58.3	58.22	58.22	58.78	58.74	58.61	58.52(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-20	3	58	3.11	57%	-0.02	11.9	0.65%	0	0.7	50	0
8	Jul_6_2007	58.31	58.19	58.14	58.68	58.77	58.62	58.52(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	8	-10	-2	36	1.97	57%	-0.02	5.8	0.65%	0	0.7	48	0
9	Jul_5_2007	58.32	58.18	58.11	58.47	58.65	58.86	58.8(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	30	21	30	2.44	57%	0	-7.1	0.66%	0	1.3	58	0
10	Jul_3_2007	58.32	58.16	58.02	58.23	58.36	58.92	58.96(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	59	70	69	29	1.56	57%	0.03	-14.3	0.66%	0	1.6	60	0

11	Jul_2_2007	58.3	58.15	57.95	57.94	57.97	58.44	59.08(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	64	60	80	16	3.65	57%	0.03	-20.2	0.66%	0	1.9	64	0
12	Jun_29_2007	58.28	58.13	57.87	57.6	57.68	57.8	58.04(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	17	20	34	-36	4.12	51%	0.02	-25.3	0.63%	0	-0.2	43	0
13	Jun_28_2007	58.27	58.16	57.91	57.54	57.55	57.49	57.48(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10	-18	-66	2.7	48%	0	-15.2	0.62%	0	-1.5	34	0
14	Jun_27_2007	58.27	58.21	57.97	57.7	57.61	57.57	57.6(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10	-18	-58	3.59	48%	0	1.3	0.62%	0	-1.4	41	0
15	Jun_26_2007	58.27	58.23	58.01	57.78	57.81	57.62	57.48(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-30	-20	-19	-61	3.93	48%	0	9.2	0.62%	0	-1.7	36	0

16	Jun_25_2007	58.27	58.23	58.05	57.96	57.94	57.65	57.4(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-55	-40	-49	-71	4.62	48%	0	31.4	0.63%	0	-2.1	33	0
17	Jun_22_2007	58.27	58.25	58.17	58.17	58.15	58	57.72(-0.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-20	-37	-54	3.21	48%	-0.02	42.9	0.62%	0	-1.2	34	0
18	Jun_21_2007	58.28	58.24	58.17	58.34	58.33	58.23	58.28(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10	-7	-29	3.79	55%	0.02	53.1	0.61%	0	0.1	43	0
19	Jun_20_2007	58.27	58.21	58.27	58.29	58.4	58.31	58(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10	-6	-34	4.2	55%	0.02	48.8	0.63%	0	-0.4	46	0
20	Jun_19_2007	58.26	58.19	58.33	58.28	58.34	58.43	58.4(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	10	6	-20	2.84	61%	0.02	46.6	0.63%	0	0.4	59	0

21	Jun_18_2007	58.25	58.13	58.37	58.16	58.23	58.5	58.44(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	40	24	-7	4.4	61%	0.03	28.6	0.65%	0	0.5	61	0
22	Jun_15_2007	58.23	58.06	58.41	58.18	58.1	58.26	58.56(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	20	22	20	4.02	61%	0.03	20	0.65%	0	0.8	69	0
23	Jun_14_2007	58.21	57.99	58.42	58.2	58.12	58.26	58.04(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-20	-8	30	3.18	59%	0	16.8	0.64%	0	0.1	61	0
24	Jun_13_2007	58.21	57.97	58.42	58.26	58.23	57.95	57.96(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-22	-40	-40	34	3.46	52%	0.02	12.8	0.65%	0	-0	56	0
25	Jun_12_2007	58.2	57.95	58.47	58.39	58.38	58.29	57.8(-1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-14	-10	-35	50	3.79	52%		15.6	0.68%	0	-0.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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