Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 31, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $58.4000 (0.97%) ($58.2000 - $58.5600) on Thu. May. 31, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $58.4000(0.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.69(1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.5(1.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.67(1.27%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   2.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.7%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.1%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.7%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_31_2007	58.04	57.67	57.5	57.69	57.72	57.99	58.4(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	29	30	35	10	4.58	58%	0.05	15.1	0.77%	0	1.7	56	0
2	May_30_2007	58.01	57.62	57.41	57.54	57.52	57.68	57.84(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	6	20	15	-22	6.34	50%	0.02	-2.9	0.76%	0	0.6	40	0
3	May_29_2007	58	57.59	57.37	57.48	57.57	57.46	57.72(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10	13	-30	3.58	50%	0.07	-14.5	0.79%	0	0.3	48	0
4	May_25_2007	57.96	57.56	57.39	57.34	57.54	57.37	57.12(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10	-16	-51	2.62	42%	-0.02	-33.3	0.82%	0	-1.1	41	0
5	May_24_2007	57.97	57.58	57.49	57.31	57.49	57.69	57.36(-0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	30	6	-40	5.1	42%	0.02	-47.8	0.83%	0	-0.5	47	0

6	May_23_2007	57.96	57.61	57.53	57.31	57.34	57.71	57.64(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	17	50	33	-30	7.83	44%	0	-53.5	0.83%	0	0.1	52	0
7	May_22_2007	57.96	57.63	57.61	57.27	57.14	57.28	57.56(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	9	10	19	-23	5.15	44%	-0.02	-59.2	0.84%	0	-0.2	52	0
8	May_21_2007	57.97	57.65	57.64	57.26	57.12	56.98	57(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-20	-20	-16	-30	6.37	41%	0	-65.8	0.83%	0	-1.5	51	0
9	May_18_2007	57.97	57.69	57.75	57.46	57.27	57.01	57(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-40	-35	-15	3.37	41%	0.02	-61.3	0.82%	0	-1.6	51	0
10	May_17_2007	57.96	57.77	57.83	57.7	57.52	57.27	57.16(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-21	-40	-30	5	4.3	41%	0	-45.1	0.83%	0	-1.5	47	0

11	May_16_2007	57.96	57.83	57.88	57.81	57.78	57.54	57.64(0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-15	-30	-24	12	3	43%	0.02	-38.4	0.83%	0	-0.5	47	0
12	May_15_2007	57.95	57.87	57.86	58	57.85	57.77	57.52(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-20	-26	18	3.36	43%	0	-25	0.83%	0	-0.8	43	0
13	May_14_2007	57.95	57.92	57.83	58	58.08	58.01	58(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10	5	27	3	50%	0.02	-23.5	0.83%	0	0.2	51	0
14	May_11_2007	57.94	57.96	57.75	58.07	58.08	57.93	58.16(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-4	-20	-9	12	4.97	55%	0.03	-21	0.88%	0	0.4	52	0
15	May_10_2007	57.92	57.95	57.69	57.98	58.07	58.16	57.72(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1	20	-1	-1	12.02	55%	0.03	-31.8	0.89%	0	-0.5	40	0

16	May_9_2007	57.9	57.95	57.7	57.94	58.06	58.21	58.6(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	25	20	31	5	4.33	59%	0.05	-37.2	0.87%	0	1.2	51	0
17	May_8_2007	57.87	57.99	57.64	57.71	57.8	57.99	57.88(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	30	16	-22	6.64	53%	0.03	-47.7	0.86%	0	-0.2	38	0
18	May_7_2007	57.85	58.03	57.63	57.56	57.65	57.91	58(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	40	33	-33	3.75	53%	0.02	-47.3	0.87%	0	-0.1	41	0
19	May_4_2007	57.84	58.06	57.62	57.38	57.4	57.61	57.72(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	30	19	-61	5.22	53%	0.02	-52.7	0.87%	0	-0.6	33	0
20	May_3_2007	57.83	58.11	57.69	57.35	57.25	57.39	57.52(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	10	11	-63	3.98	53%	0.03	-53.7	0.87%	0	-1.1	45	0

21	May_2_2007	57.81	58.18	57.77	57.42	57.21	57.18	57.44(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10	-5	-67	4.39	53%	0.02	-47.4	0.88%	0	-1.3	39	0
22	May_1_2007	57.8	58.23	57.88	57.57	57.31	57.1	57.12(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-32	-40	-21	-66	4.52	55%	0.02	-48.4	0.88%	0	-2.1	35	0
23	Apr_30_2007	57.79	58.28	58.02	57.71	57.51	57.25	57.12(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-40	-27	-63	2.84	55%	0.02	-59.5	0.89%	0	-2.5	33	0
24	Apr_27_2007	57.78	58.35	58.2	57.87	57.67	57.52	57.56(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-30	-27	-51	3.7	55%	0.02	-76.9	0.88%	0	-2.1	39	0
25	Apr_26_2007	57.77	58.4	58.26	58.07	57.82	57.77	57.88(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-20	-13	-40	5.55	55%		-82.5	0.89%	0	-1.6	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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