Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 16, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $58.8800 (1.45%) ($58.4400 - $58.9600) on Mon. Apr. 16, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $58.8800(1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.58(0.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.56(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.74(0.24%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.77% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2007	57.5	58.74	58.56	58.58	58.48	58.42	58.88(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	4	-10	7	-7	4	57%	0.12	23.4	0.91%	0	0.3	44	NAN
2	Apr_13_2007	57.43	58.68	58.49	58.53	58.53	58.29	58.04(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-30	-24	-37	2.75	54%	0	9.2	0.89%	0	-1.3	30	NAN
3	Apr_12_2007	57.43	58.67	58.56	58.66	58.67	58.55	58.52(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-10	-17	-34	3.95	56%	0.1	6.7	0.89%	0	-0.3	35	NAN
4	Apr_11_2007	57.37	58.64	58.57	58.74	58.72	58.76	58.6(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	0	-2	-32	3.77	56%	0.1	6.1	0.91%	0	-0.1	37	NAN
5	Apr_10_2007	57.31	58.62	58.61	58.7	58.75	58.8	58.84(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	7	10	17	-25	5.57	53%	0.12	3	0.91%	0	0.4	51	NAN

6	Apr_9_2007	57.24	58.63	58.64	58.53	58.63	58.68	58.64(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	10	8	-30	2.56	53%	0.16	11.8	0.93%	0	0	56	NAN
7	Apr_5_2007	57.15	58.63	58.73	58.46	58.43	58.7	58.72(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	30	7	-16	1.75	48%	0.07	15.8	0.93%	0	0.1	63	NAN
8	Apr_4_2007	57.11	58.64	58.8	58.45	58.42	58.58	58.88(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	20	24	8	2.02	50%	0.07	15.7	0.98%	0	0.4	64	NAN
9	Apr_3_2007	57.07	58.64	58.85	58.39	58.4	58.17	58.44(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-6	-30	-11	8	4.09	50%	0.11	6.9	0.99%	0	-0.3	62	NAN
10	Apr_2_2007	57.01	58.6	58.89	58.51	58.48	58.26	57.96(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-24	-30	-36	11	5.6	50%	0.07	5.1	0.98%	0	-0.9	50	NAN

11	Mar_30_2007	56.97	58.56	58.94	58.78	58.73	58.64	58.28(-0.68%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10	-16	26	4.41	50%	0.09	-6.7	0.99%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
12	Mar_29_2007	56.92	58.54	58.9	59.04	58.88	58.7	58.68(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-7	-30	-19	31	3.32	50%	0.07	-11.7	0.99%	0	0.2	49	NAN
13	Mar_28_2007	56.88	58.55	58.82	59.21	59.11	58.83	58.6(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	-40	-25	29	5.48	50%	0.07	-10.8	0.99%	0	0.1	49	NAN
14	Mar_27_2007	56.84	58.55	58.73	59.38	59.34	59.07	59.04(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-30	-15	39	3.57	50%	0.07	-7.4	0.99%	0	0.7	58	NAN
15	Mar_26_2007	56.8	58.56	58.65	59.33	59.37	59.39	59.28(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	0	-0	41	4.52	50%	0.09	-9.2	0.99%	0	0.9	59	NAN

16	Mar_23_2007	56.75	58.61	58.63	59.13	59.22	59.62	59.6(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	46	50	39	68	2.81	50%	0.09	-10.7	0.98%	0	1.1	72	NAN
17	Mar_22_2007	56.7	58.63	58.53	58.74	58.85	59.35	59.52(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	56	70	54	61	5.64	50%	0.07	-20.7	0.99%	0	1	62	NAN
18	Mar_21_2007	56.66	58.62	58.44	58.37	58.36	58.83	59.44(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	60	48	37	4.11	50%	0.09	-30.7	0.99%	0	0.9	53	NAN
19	Mar_20_2007	56.61	58.61	58.3	58.01	58.02	58.34	58.8(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	40	36	4	3.97	48%	0.05	-36	0.99%	0	0.2	47	NAN
20	Mar_19_2007	56.58	58.64	58.25	57.88	57.72	57.89	58.28(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	10	1	-25	3.81	48%	0.05	-27.5	0.98%	0	-0.4	43	NAN

21	Mar_16_2007	56.55	58.71	58.13	58.07	57.78	57.7	57.64(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-20	-11	-54	4.09	46%	0.02	-8.9	0.97%	0	-1.2	31	NAN
22	Mar_15_2007	56.54	58.81	58.15	58.3	58.13	57.55	57.68(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-41	-80	-31	-71	4.2	46%	0.04	11.1	0.98%	0	-1.3	35	NAN
23	Mar_14_2007	56.52	58.89	58.26	58.5	58.41	57.86	57.64(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-65	-70	-60	-80	7.35	48%	0.04	26.7	0.98%	0	-1.5	39	NAN
24	Mar_13_2007	56.5	58.93	58.4	58.62	58.79	58.72	58.16(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	0	-12	-60	7.09	48%	0.05	35.5	0.98%	0	-0.9	42	NAN
25	Mar_12_2007	56.47	58.89	58.49	58.65	58.73	58.97	59.24(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	11	30	30	-47	4.97	51%		32.9	0.95%	0	0.4	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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