Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 14, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $59.2000 (1.65%) ($58.5200 - $59.6000) on Wed. Feb. 14, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $59.2000(1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.7(2.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.68(2.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.38(3.17%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.12% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.38%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.87%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.05%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.53%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2007	55.69	57.38	57.68	57.7	57.89	58.55	59.2(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	77	90	81	65	4.6	66%	0.11	62.5	0.9%	0	2.8	68	0
2	Feb_13_2007	55.63	57.23	57.47	57.38	57.36	57.64	58.24(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	27	30	30	18	4.33	62%	0.09	60.7	0.94%	0	2	52	0
3	Feb_12_2007	55.58	57.14	57.38	57.27	57.22	57.23	57.04(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	5	-0	4	6	2.25	59%	0.09	61.7	0.92%	0	-0.2	51	0
4	Feb_9_2007	55.53	57.1	57.4	57.3	57.34	57.07	57.08(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-30	-11	5	3.7	56%	0.07	61.8	0.92%	0	-0	54	0
5	Feb_8_2007	55.49	57.03	57.39	57.42	57.31	57.2	56.92(-1.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-26	-20	-36	4	4.2	54%	0.05	43	0.94%	0	-0.2	53	0

6	Feb_7_2007	55.46	56.98	57.4	57.63	57.53	57.6	57.64(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	0	9	42	2.98	56%	0.09	41.5	0.93%	0	1	63	0
7	Feb_6_2007	55.41	56.93	57.41	57.55	57.64	57.42	57.68(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	-20	5	50	3.88	56%	0.07	37.9	0.93%	0	1.1	63	0
8	Feb_5_2007	55.37	56.85	57.35	57.51	57.49	57.45	57.2(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-10	-22	45	2.74	56%	0.05	33.6	0.93%	0	0.5	60	0
9	Feb_2_2007	55.34	56.79	57.31	57.5	57.5	57.86	57.64(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	39	40	28	71	3.32	56%	0.07	26.3	0.93%	0	1.3	67	0
10	Feb_1_2007	55.3	56.77	57.22	57.35	57.36	57.53	58(1.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	49	20	38	81	3.56	56%	0.09	28.1	0.93%	0	1.9	76	0

11	Jan_31_2007	55.25	56.7	57.06	57.13	57.36	57.14	57.24(-0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	0	-7	58	5.86	54%	0.05	22.1	0.91%	0	0.9	68	0
12	Jan_30_2007	55.22	56.68	56.98	57.25	57.09	57.19	57.48(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	0	8	71	3.53	54%	0.05	31.7	0.91%	0	1.4	58	0
13	Jan_29_2007	55.19	56.64	56.87	57.17	57.2	57.03	57.12(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	-20	5	68	3.54	54%	0.05	35.6	0.91%	0	0.8	59	0
14	Jan_26_2007	55.16	56.61	56.78	57.1	57.17	57	56.92(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-20	-18	57	2.72	52%	0.04	38.4	0.92%	0	0.6	60	0
15	Jan_25_2007	55.14	56.59	56.65	57.06	57.14	57.37	56.88(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	30	8	46	5.23	52%	0.04	40.2	0.93%	0	0.5	45	0

16	Jan_24_2007	55.12	56.57	56.54	56.96	57.04	57.35	57.84(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	45	40	44	46	4.42	55%	0.04	35.1	0.9%	0	2.3	56	0
17	Jan_23_2007	55.1	56.49	56.4	56.67	56.78	56.91	57.08(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	20	20	15	3.3	55%	0.04	22.2	0.89%	0	1.3	51	0
18	Jan_22_2007	55.08	56.43	56.31	56.54	56.63	56.73	56.76(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	20	12	-3	2.65	55%	0.02	13.8	0.89%	0	0.7	49	0
19	Jan_19_2007	55.07	56.4	56.22	56.42	56.54	56.65	56.76(0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	13	20	22	-15	2.76	55%	0.04	3.8	0.89%	0	0.8	50	0
20	Jan_18_2007	55.05	56.37	56.27	56.17	56.39	56.53	56.36(-0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	30	19	-25	4.02	55%	0.04	-13.2	0.89%	0	-0	49	0

21	Jan_17_2007	55.03	56.38	56.31	56.05	56.11	56.44	56.4(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	40	15	-32	3.59	55%	0.04	-15.4	0.89%	0	0	49	0
22	Jan_16_2007	55.01	56.39	56.34	56.09	55.93	56.26	56.4(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	15	30	26	-20	3.74	57%	0.04	-11.3	0.9%	0	0	51	0
23	Jan_12_2007	54.99	56.37	56.38	56.06	55.97	55.78	56.2(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-30	11	-20	2.91	57%	0.02	-16.3	0.9%	0	-0.4	53	0
24	Jan_11_2007	54.98	56.38	56.43	56	56	55.6	55.48(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-50	-53	-43	3.86	54%	0	-16.3	0.89%	0	-2	47	0
25	Jan_10_2007	54.98	56.42	56.54	56.38	56.19	56.16	55.76(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-27	-10	-33	-7	3.89	54%		11.3	0.9%	0	-1.7	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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