Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $56.0400 (-0.5%) ($55.9200 - $56.2400) on Wed. Dec. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.87% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $56.0400(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.435% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.435% (StdDev 0.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.23(-0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.02(0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.8(2.26%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 0.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_13_2006	54.61	54.8	56.02	56.23	56.18	56.14	56.04(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-10	-7	167	2.58	57%	0.07	42.1	0.87%	0	0.9	84	NAN
2	Dec_12_2006	54.57	54.73	55.9	56.3	56.28	56.16	56.32(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	49	-20	-2	201	4.11	57%	0.07	43.7	0.88%	0	1.1	90	NAN
3	Dec_11_2006	54.53	54.57	55.65	56.23	56.29	56.23	56.24(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	49	-0	-5	212	4.42	53%	0.11	36.7	0.89%	0	1.2	90	NAN
4	Dec_8_2006	54.47	54.44	55.33	56.18	56.22	56.4	56.16(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	62	20	14	207	2.41	53%	0.09	33.6	0.91%	0	1.3	70	NAN
5	Dec_7_2006	54.42	54.32	55.01	56.01	56.08	56.35	56.4(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	77	40	37	195	4.43	53%	0.09	27.4	0.91%	0	1.7	66	NAN

6	Dec_6_2006	54.37	54.21	54.68	55.78	55.75	56.04	56.36(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	30	34	166	3.35	53%	0.11	22	0.91%	0	1.9	60	NAN
7	Dec_5_2006	54.31	54.13	54.3	55.45	55.5	55.81	56(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	40	48	125	3.73	53%	0.09	15.2	0.93%	0	1.7	56	NAN
8	Dec_4_2006	54.26	54.07	53.94	54.98	55.17	55.46	55.96(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	66	50	57	91	3.52	53%	0.09	2.7	0.94%	0	1.9	66	NAN
9	Dec_1_2006	54.21	54	53.69	54.35	54.6	55.19	55.32(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	52	90	53	47	8.14	51%	0.06	-20.3	0.94%	0	1.4	58	NAN
10	Nov_30_2006	54.18	53.98	53.54	53.86	54.06	54.88	55.24(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	70	120	83	29	4.46	51%	0.06	-41.8	0.94%	0	1.4	57	NAN

11	Nov_29_2006	54.15	53.95	53.44	53.42	53.48	54	54.72(1.94%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	51	70	70	-5	4.86	49%	0	-61.1	0.94%	0	0.9	49	NAN
12	Nov_28_2006	54.15	53.97	53.42	52.98	53.11	53.24	53.68(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	20	34	-54	4.2	44%	-0.04	-75	0.91%	0	-0.3	39	NAN
13	Nov_27_2006	54.17	54.05	53.37	52.75	52.84	52.96	52.8(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	20	-4	-111	3.93	39%	-0.02	-81	0.89%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
14	Nov_24_2006	54.18	54.19	53.47	52.92	52.7	52.98	52.84(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	20	-2	-113	3.85	39%	0	-74	0.89%	0	-1.4	36	NAN
15	Nov_22_2006	54.18	54.36	53.57	53.18	52.84	52.73	53.04(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-30	-3	-112	3.55	39%	-0.04	-58.5	0.89%	0	-1.3	35	NAN

16	Nov_21_2006	54.2	54.51	53.72	53.48	53.08	52.41	52.56(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-82	-110	-67	-125	4.04	36%	-0.06	-49.2	0.88%	0	-1.9	32	NAN
17	Nov_20_2006	54.23	54.68	53.98	53.92	53.59	52.96	52.52(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-76	-100	-69	-98	6.11	36%	-0.04	-36.8	0.89%	0	-2.3	31	NAN
18	Nov_17_2006	54.25	54.84	54.25	54.06	54.12	53.76	53.64(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-40	-27	-78	6.8	41%	0	-35.8	0.85%	0	-1.5	35	NAN
19	Nov_16_2006	54.25	54.93	54.37	54.08	54.09	54.22	54.12(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	20	-12	-81	4.44	43%	0.04	-34.8	0.85%	0	-1.1	35	NAN
20	Nov_15_2006	54.23	54.98	54.47	54.08	54.04	54.49	54.56(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	60	35	-81	4.69	51%	0.06	-35.3	0.85%	0	-0.6	33	NAN

21	Nov_14_2006	54.2	55.02	54.51	54.02	53.93	53.96	54.76(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-0	19	-95	4.73	51%	0.06	-30.1	0.9%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
22	Nov_13_2006	54.17	55.03	54.55	54.09	53.9	53.59	53.2(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-75	-50	-54	-138	4.06	41%	0.02	-27.1	0.82%	0	-2.5	23	NAN
23	Nov_10_2006	54.16	55.14	54.77	54.49	54.36	53.9	53.76(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-70	-40	-110	4	44%	0.04	-7.2	0.82%	0	-2.3	27	NAN
24	Nov_9_2006	54.14	55.19	54.97	54.7	54.67	54.21	53.84(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-67	-60	-57	-96	6.88	44%	0.04	1	0.83%	0	-2.5	39	NAN
25	Nov_8_2006	54.12	55.25	55.22	54.96	54.91	54.83	54.52(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10	-29	-55	4.07	49%		10.1	0.82%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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