Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 4, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $54.9600 (0.81%) ($54.0800 - $55.0000) on Wed. Oct. 4, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $54.9600(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.52(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.96(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.95(1.87%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2006	53.9		53.96	54.52	54.49	54.52	54.96(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	0	6	49	2.89	48%	-0.07	-20	1.2%	0	1.6	63	0
2	Oct_3_2006	53.94	53.95	53.81	54.32	54.38	54.6	54.52(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	30	17	43	3.41	51%	-0.11	-23.4	1.21%	0	0.8	59	0
3	Oct_2_2006	54	54.01	53.69	54.05	54.23	54.47	54.72(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	40	33	26	7.12	51%	-0.09	-24.5	1.23%	0	0.9	50	0
4	Sep_29_2006	54.05	54.03	53.58	53.73	53.79	54.17	54.16(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	50	22	5	4.63	58%	-0.11	-30.7	1.23%	0	0.2	51	0
5	Sep_28_2006	54.11	54.06	53.52	53.46	53.51	53.99	54.24(0.52%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	20	70	31	-13	2.04	58%	-0.13	-39.6	1.33%	0	0.2	42	0

6	Sep_27_2006	54.18	54.08	53.46	53.32	53.24	53.42	53.96(1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	20	18	-33	4.5	55%	-0.15	-49	1.34%	0	-0.1	39	0
7	Sep_26_2006	54.26	54.13	53.43	53.24	53.18	53.03	53.16(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-20	-5	-58	4.38	53%	-0.17	-54.7	1.35%	0	-1.1	26	0
8	Sep_25_2006	54.35	54.2	53.54	53.28	53.32	53.06	53.12(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-31	-30	-16	-74	3.88	53%	-0.17	-61.4	1.35%	0	-1.3	21	0
9	Sep_22_2006	54.44	54.28	53.63	53.42	53.42	53.33	52.8(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10	-17	-79	3.41	53%	-0.15	-68.5	1.35%	0	-1.9	29	0
10	Sep_21_2006	54.52	54.4	53.83	53.58	53.56	53.58	53.56(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-16	0	1	-67	3.98	55%	-0.13	-75	1.34%	0	-1.2	39	0

11	Sep_20_2006	54.59	54.49	53.95	53.61	53.61	53.51	53.56(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10	-3	-67	3.03	55%	-0.13	-78	1.35%	0	-1.3	42	0
12	Sep_19_2006	54.66	54.6	54.11	53.64	53.64	53.55	53.36(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10	-12	-69	4.34	55%	-0.11	-73.9	1.35%	0	-1.7	37	0
13	Sep_18_2006	54.72	54.71	54.37	53.85	53.69	53.7	53.8(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-10	-4	-46	1.98	55%	-0.09	-60.2	1.35%	0	-1.3	45	0
14	Sep_15_2006	54.77	54.83	54.52	53.88	53.8	53.73	53.64(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10	-5	-42	2.49	60%	-0.11	-43.6	1.35%	0	-1.6	43	0
15	Sep_14_2006	54.83	54.94	54.65	54.11	53.85	53.67	53.68(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-40	-19	-37	3.52	62%	-0.11	-26.8	1.42%	0	-1.8	41	0

16	Sep_13_2006	54.89	55.06	54.76	54.34	54.12	53.87	53.72(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-40	-19	-32	3.65	57%	-0.11	-4.1	1.45%	0	-2	37	0
17	Sep_12_2006	54.95	55.15	54.89	54.64	54.39	54.03	54.4(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-60	-27	-28	4.17	57%	-0.07	23.4	1.51%	0	-1.3	38	0
18	Sep_11_2006	54.99	55.14	54.92	54.98	54.73	54.38	53.96(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-27	-60	-29	-22	3.9	57%	-0.09	45	1.51%	0	-1.9	36	0
19	Sep_8_2006	55.04	55.15	55.01	55.25	55.24	54.75	54.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-14	-60	-14	-15	2.08	55%	-0.07	51.8	1.5%	0	-0.6	37	0
20	Sep_7_2006	55.08	55.13	55.02	55.26	55.36	55.09	54.8(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-30	-21	-23	3.1	52%	-0.09	51.7	1.56%	0	-0.5	41	0

21	Sep_6_2006	55.13	55.09	55.08	55.22	55.44	55.74	55.24(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	50	7	-17	2.82	50%	-0.07	40.3	1.58%	0	0.2	42	0
22	Sep_5_2006	55.17	55.01	55.13	55.18	55.26	55.64	56.08(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	20	50	29	-7	2.97	48%	-0.02	35.4	1.58%	0	1.4	56	0
23	Sep_1_2006	55.18	54.87	55.07	54.87	54.96	55.14	55.32(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	30	14	-16	2.2	48%	-0.05	18.8	1.59%	0	0.5	62	0
24	Aug_31_2006	55.21	54.82	55.14	54.74	54.77	54.89	54.84(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	20	4	-11	2.33	48%	-0.05	15.3	1.59%	0	0	62	0
25	Aug_30_2006	55.24	54.8	55.23	54.77	54.7	54.78	54.64(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	10	-2	-3	2.02	45%		23.3	1.59%	0	-0.2	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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