Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $56.0800 (1.37%) ($55.8800 - $56.1600) on Tue. Sep. 5, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.58% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $56.0800(1.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.79% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.18(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.13(1.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.01(1.95%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 1.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.22%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.92%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.48%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.83%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.91%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2006	55.17	55.01	55.13	55.18	55.26	55.64	56.08(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	20	50	29	-7	2.97	48%	-0.02	35.4	1.58%	0	1.4	56	0
2	Sep_1_2006	55.18	54.87	55.07	54.87	54.96	55.14	55.32(0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	30	14	-16	2.2	48%	-0.05	18.8	1.59%	0	0.5	62	0
3	Aug_31_2006	55.21	54.82	55.14	54.74	54.77	54.89	54.84(0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	20	4	-11	2.33	48%	-0.05	15.3	1.59%	0	0	62	0
4	Aug_30_2006	55.24	54.82	55.23	54.77	54.7	54.78	54.64(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	10	-2	-3	2.02	45%	-0.07	23.3	1.59%	0	-0.2	55	0
5	Aug_29_2006	55.28	54.8	55.37	54.92	54.83	54.66	55(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-30	-6	14	2.68	45%	-0.07	40.3	1.62%	0	0.2	63	0

6	Aug_28_2006	55.32	54.73	55.41	55.08	55.03	54.62	54.56(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-10	-50	-22	25	1.89	45%	-0.07	51.6	1.63%	0	-0.2	62	0
7	Aug_25_2006	55.36	54.72	55.39	55.3	55.33	55	54.68(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-40	-24	39	1.76	48%	-0.07	71.1	1.64%	0	-0	65	0
8	Aug_24_2006	55.4	54.7	55.32	55.58	55.55	55.45	54.96(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10	-14	51	3.21	48%	-0.07	89.7	1.65%	0	0.3	54	0
9	Aug_23_2006	55.44	54.6	55.27	55.76	55.75	55.67	55.4(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10	-4	63	2.37	47%	-0.07	93.4	1.65%	0	0.7	59	0
10	Aug_22_2006	55.48	54.45	55.12	55.87	55.84	55.66	55.8(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-20	-5	63	1.64	44%	-0.04	95.7	1.65%	0	1.2	57	0

11	Aug_21_2006	55.5	54.28	54.9	55.78	55.91	55.84	55.64(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-0	3	64	1.77	44%	-0.04	99.5	1.68%	0	1.2	64	0
12	Aug_18_2006	55.52	54.11	54.66	55.48	55.83	56.02	56.12(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	40	19	54	2.08	44%	-0.04	89.9	1.68%	0	1.6	60	0
13	Aug_17_2006	55.54	53.86	54.48	55.02	55.4	55.98	55.84(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	90	27	42	2.29	42%	-0.04	76.5	1.68%	0	1.5	58	0
14	Aug_16_2006	55.56	53.62	54.3	54.71	54.86	55.64	55.96(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	110	41	44	3.75	42%	0	68.1	1.73%	0	1.8	66	0
15	Aug_15_2006	55.56	53.39	54.15	54.26	54.44	54.82	55.36(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	60	34	40	3.2	42%	-0.02	51.4	1.73%	0	1.4	68	0

16	Aug_14_2006	55.57	53.14	53.95	53.9	54.15	54.09	54.12(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	10	8	23	2.05	40%	-0.04	29.5	1.7%	0	0.7	61	0
17	Aug_11_2006	55.59	52.97	53.96	53.72	53.97	54.07	53.8(-0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	30	-5	25	1.68	38%	-0.04	12.6	1.71%	0	0.6	62	0
18	Aug_10_2006	55.61	52.86	54.01	53.85	53.85	54.2	54.32(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	50	8	55	3.46	37%	-0.04	7.3	1.72%	0	1.1	70	0
19	Aug_9_2006	55.63	52.73	53.88	53.83	53.93	53.88	53.72(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-0	7	67	4.28	37%	-0.04	-0.4	1.72%	0	0.7	69	0
20	Aug_8_2006	55.65	52.69	53.74	54.02	53.94	53.51	53.52(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-60	-17	71	3.05	37%	-0.07	1.9	1.72%	0	0.6	65	0

21	Aug_7_2006	55.69	52.74	53.65	54.01	54.14	53.98	53.24(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10	-17	86	2.1	37%	-0.04	-1.1	1.72%	0	0.3	69	0
22	Aug_4_2006	55.71	52.8	53.55	54.22	54.19	54.37	54.44(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	20	5	113	2.59	40%	-0.02	3.2	1.72%	0	1.1	72	0
23	Aug_3_2006	55.72	52.76	53.22	54.19	54.08	54.3	54.24(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	20	14	117	2.38	40%	-0.04	2.2	1.72%	0	1	66	0
24	Aug_2_2006	55.74	52.74	52.91	53.92	54.07	54.01	54.68(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	0	22	107	4.6	42%	-0.02	3.7	1.72%	0	1.4	64	0
25	Aug_1_2006	55.75	52.67	52.57	53.42	53.71	53.86	53.44(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	40	3	72	2.96	39%		1.5	1.7%	0	0.6	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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