Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 24, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $54.9600 (-0.79%) ($54.9600 - $55.5200) on Thu. Aug. 24, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $54.9600(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.58(-1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.32(-0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.7(0.48%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2006	55.4	54.7	55.32	55.58	55.55	55.45	54.96(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10	-14	51	3.21	48%	-0.07	89.7	1.65%	0	0.3	54	NAN
2	Aug_23_2006	55.44	54.6	55.27	55.76	55.75	55.67	55.4(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-10	-4	63	2.37	47%	-0.07	93.4	1.65%	0	0.7	59	NAN
3	Aug_22_2006	55.48	54.45	55.12	55.87	55.84	55.66	55.8(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-20	-5	63	1.64	44%	-0.04	95.7	1.65%	0	1.2	57	NAN
4	Aug_21_2006	55.5	54.28	54.9	55.78	55.91	55.84	55.64(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-0	3	64	1.77	44%	-0.04	99.5	1.68%	0	1.2	64	NAN
5	Aug_18_2006	55.52	54.11	54.66	55.48	55.83	56.02	56.12(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	40	19	54	2.08	44%	-0.04	89.9	1.68%	0	1.6	60	NAN

6	Aug_17_2006	55.54	53.86	54.48	55.02	55.4	55.98	55.84(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	90	27	42	2.29	42%	-0.04	76.5	1.68%	0	1.5	58	NAN
7	Aug_16_2006	55.56	53.62	54.3	54.71	54.86	55.64	55.96(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	42	110	41	44	3.75	42%	0	68.1	1.73%	0	1.8	66	NAN
8	Aug_15_2006	55.56	53.39	54.15	54.26	54.44	54.82	55.36(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	60	34	40	3.2	42%	-0.02	51.4	1.73%	0	1.4	68	NAN
9	Aug_14_2006	55.57	53.14	53.95	53.9	54.15	54.09	54.12(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	10	8	23	2.05	40%	-0.04	29.5	1.7%	0	0.7	61	NAN
10	Aug_11_2006	55.59	52.97	53.96	53.72	53.97	54.07	53.8(-0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	30	-5	25	1.68	38%	-0.04	12.6	1.71%	0	0.6	62	NAN

11	Aug_10_2006	55.61	52.86	54.01	53.85	53.85	54.2	54.32(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	50	8	55	3.46	37%	-0.04	7.3	1.72%	0	1.1	70	NAN
12	Aug_9_2006	55.63	52.73	53.88	53.83	53.93	53.88	53.72(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-0	7	67	4.28	37%	-0.04	-0.4	1.72%	0	0.7	69	NAN
13	Aug_8_2006	55.65	52.69	53.74	54.02	53.94	53.51	53.52(0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	5	-60	-17	71	3.05	37%	-0.07	1.9	1.72%	0	0.6	65	NAN
14	Aug_7_2006	55.69	52.74	53.65	54.01	54.14	53.98	53.24(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10	-17	86	2.1	37%	-0.04	-1.1	1.72%	0	0.3	69	NAN
15	Aug_4_2006	55.71	52.8	53.55	54.22	54.19	54.37	54.44(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	20	5	113	2.59	40%	-0.02	3.2	1.72%	0	1.1	72	NAN

16	Aug_3_2006	55.72	52.76	53.22	54.19	54.08	54.3	54.24(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	20	14	117	2.38	40%	-0.04	2.2	1.72%	0	1	66	NAN
17	Aug_2_2006	55.74	52.74	52.91	53.92	54.07	54.01	54.68(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	0	22	107	4.6	42%	-0.02	3.7	1.72%	0	1.4	64	NAN
18	Aug_1_2006	55.75	52.67	52.57	53.42	53.71	53.86	53.44(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	40	3	72	2.96	39%	-0.04	1.5	1.7%	0	0.6	49	NAN
19	Jul_31_2006	55.77	52.67	52.26	53.22	53.33	54.13	54.28(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	110	35	51	3.79	39%	0	7.6	1.71%	0	1	44	NAN
20	Jul_28_2006	55.77	52.75	51.9	52.77	52.87	53.56	54.32(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	100	55	18	4.41	39%	0	7.6	1.71%	0	1	44	NAN

21	Jul_27_2006	55.77	52.72	51.58	52.12	52.31	52.53	52.88(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	40	27	-34	5.28	37%	0	2.1	1.67%	0	0.1	43	NAN
22	Jul_26_2006	55.77	52.68	51.46	51.75	51.88	52.17	52.16(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	50	9	-71	3.54	37%	-0.02	-5.5	1.66%	0	-0.3	37	NAN
23	Jul_25_2006	55.78	52.65	51.53	51.58	51.73	52.09	52.44(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	60	33	-72	5.77	37%	-0.04	-9.1	1.66%	0	-0.1	42	NAN
24	Jul_24_2006	55.8	52.64	51.72	51.15	51.32	51.59	52.04(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	50	20	-100	6.32	37%	-0.04	-14.8	1.66%	0	-0.4	32	NAN
25	Jul_21_2006	55.82	52.63	51.96	50.9	50.88	51.37	51.08(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	70	11	-115	6.39	35%		-19.1	1.64%	0	-1	34	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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