Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 21, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $59.1200 (0.61%) ($58.8400 - $59.4000) on Fri. Apr. 21, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $59.1200(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.7(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.56(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.14(1.69%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.5%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.05%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.48%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.62%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2006	55.23	58.14	58.56	58.7	58.86	58.97	59.12(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	20	24	17	4.22	69%	0.15	62.8	1.24%	0	1	62	0
2	Apr_20_2006	55.15	57.97	58.56	58.46	58.42	58.8	58.76(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	40	12	12	3.43	63%	0.18	53.7	1.25%	0	0.7	58	0
3	Apr_19_2006	55.05	57.87	58.55	58.3	58.17	58.75	59.12(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	34	60	37	24	5.34	66%	0.16	53.1	1.3%	0	1.1	64	0
4	Apr_18_2006	54.96	57.71	58.48	58.14	57.92	58.04	59.2(3.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	0	18	30	3.87	60%	0.16	49	1.34%	0	1.3	73	0
5	Apr_17_2006	54.87	57.58	58.41	58.11	57.88	57.59	57.32(-1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-50	-24	27	2.7	52%	0.15	55.4	1.34%	0	-0.2	59	0

6	Apr_13_2006	54.79	57.52	58.41	58.39	58.26	57.81	57.92(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-60	-26	46	2.98	52%	0.13	61.7	1.39%	0	0.3	65	0
7	Apr_12_2006	54.72	57.39	58.46	58.63	58.58	58.17	57.92(-0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-50	-31	70	2.79	52%	0.15	69.5	1.39%	0	0.4	69	0
8	Apr_11_2006	54.64	57.28	58.42	58.82	58.91	58.71	58.36(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-20	-12	93	4.25	52%	0.15	80.6	1.39%	0	0.8	62	0
9	Apr_10_2006	54.56	57.16	58.19	58.86	58.94	58.99	59.04(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	10	0	101	3	50%	0.17	90.1	1.39%	0	1.4	70	0
10	Apr_7_2006	54.47	56.97	57.94	58.76	58.84	59.11	58.72(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	39	40	17	105	4.19	50%	0.17	94.4	1.4%	0	1.3	62	0

11	Apr_6_2006	54.38	56.77	57.71	58.54	58.66	58.9	59.12(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	30	27	104	4.16	51%	0.2	90	1.41%	0	1.7	68	0
12	Apr_5_2006	54.27	56.51	57.36	58.27	58.25	58.57	58.84(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	40	17	94	3.53	51%	0.22	80.6	1.42%	0	1.7	71	0
13	Apr_4_2006	54.15	56.25	57.13	57.98	58.02	58.43	58.56(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	55	50	40	99	4.78	51%	0.19	66.9	1.42%	0	1.6	65	0
14	Apr_3_2006	54.05	55.98	56.86	57.42	57.62	57.94	58.56(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	50	34	76	5.76	55%	0.17	51.6	1.42%	0	1.9	64	0
15	Mar_31_2006	53.96	55.74	56.64	57.01	57.06	57.6	57.6(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	70	22	62	3.31	53%	0.17	39	1.46%	0	1.4	63	0

16	Mar_30_2006	53.87	55.56	56.47	56.74	56.8	57.31	57.8(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	70	46	70	4.01	53%	0.17	31.7	1.47%	0	1.9	67	0
17	Mar_29_2006	53.78	55.4	56.2	56.32	56.35	56.52	57.36(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	20	17	49	6.82	53%	0.17	26.6	1.47%	0	1.8	69	0
18	Mar_28_2006	53.69	55.31	56.03	56.18	56.07	56.29	55.8(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	20	2	55	4.83	52%	0.11	34.8	1.43%	0	0.5	66	0
19	Mar_27_2006	53.63	55.28	56.04	56.2	56.15	56.18	56.48(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	0	13	79	3.54	49%	0.15	43.7	1.44%	0	1.2	73	0
20	Mar_24_2006	53.55	55.24	55.92	56.22	56.06	55.84	56.28(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-40	-12	81	3.65	49%	0.13	59.7	1.47%	0	1.1	66	0

21	Mar_23_2006	53.48	55.18	55.77	56.15	56.25	56.12	55.68(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10	-4	87	5.73	49%	0.13	63.8	1.47%	0	0.5	60	0
22	Mar_22_2006	53.41	55.11	55.63	56.05	56.26	56.29	56.64(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	10	8	85	3.48	51%	0.15	60.8	1.46%	0	1.5	60	0
23	Mar_21_2006	53.33	54.96	55.32	55.86	55.95	56.39	55.92(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	60	9	64	8.12	53%	0.15	53.3	1.45%	0	1	50	0
24	Mar_20_2006	53.25	54.84	55.06	55.84	55.81	56.23	56.6(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	50	38	63	4.95	53%	0.17	54.1	1.45%	0	1.8	57	0
25	Mar_17_2006	53.16	54.66	54.77	55.58	55.48	55.5	55.92(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-0	13	28	5.05	53%		43.7	1.44%	0	1.3	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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