Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 31, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $57.6000 (-0.35%) ($57.3200 - $57.6400) on Fri. Mar. 31, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $57.6000(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.01(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.64(1.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.74(3.34%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_31_2006	53.96	55.74	56.64	57.01	57.06	57.6	57.6(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	70	22	62	3.31	53%	0.17	39	1.46%	0	1.4	63	0
2	Mar_30_2006	53.87	55.56	56.47	56.74	56.8	57.31	57.8(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	70	46	70	4.01	53%	0.17	31.7	1.47%	0	1.9	67	0
3	Mar_29_2006	53.78	55.4	56.2	56.32	56.35	56.52	57.36(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	20	17	49	6.82	53%	0.17	26.6	1.47%	0	1.8	69	0
4	Mar_28_2006	53.69	55.31	56.03	56.18	56.07	56.29	55.8(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	20	2	55	4.83	52%	0.11	34.8	1.43%	0	0.5	66	0
5	Mar_27_2006	53.63	55.28	56.04	56.2	56.15	56.18	56.48(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	0	13	79	3.54	49%	0.15	43.7	1.44%	0	1.2	73	0

6	Mar_24_2006	53.55	55.24	55.92	56.22	56.06	55.84	56.28(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-40	-12	81	3.65	49%	0.13	59.7	1.47%	0	1.1	66	0
7	Mar_23_2006	53.48	55.18	55.77	56.15	56.25	56.12	55.68(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10	-4	87	5.73	49%	0.13	63.8	1.47%	0	0.5	60	0
8	Mar_22_2006	53.41	55.11	55.63	56.05	56.26	56.29	56.64(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	10	8	85	3.48	51%	0.15	60.8	1.46%	0	1.5	60	0
9	Mar_21_2006	53.33	54.96	55.32	55.86	55.95	56.39	55.92(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	60	9	64	8.12	53%	0.15	53.3	1.45%	0	1	50	0
10	Mar_20_2006	53.25	54.84	55.06	55.84	55.81	56.23	56.6(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	50	38	63	4.95	53%	0.17	54.1	1.45%	0	1.8	57	0

11	Mar_17_2006	53.16	54.66	54.77	55.58	55.48	55.5	55.92(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-0	13	28	5.05	53%	0.17	43.7	1.44%	0	1.3	48	0
12	Mar_16_2006	53.07	54.58	54.58	55.34	55.32	55.38	55.16(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	10	8	8	3.56	55%	0.15	37.7	1.44%	0	0.6	49	0
13	Mar_15_2006	52.99	54.51	54.54	55.12	55.11	55.45	55.68(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	40	24	9	5.21	55%	0.17	26.3	1.44%	0	1.3	58	0
14	Mar_14_2006	52.9	54.44	54.52	54.69	54.8	55.26	55.84(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	60	41	11	5.51	55%	0.17	11.3	1.45%	0	1.6	62	0
15	Mar_13_2006	52.81	54.31	54.43	54.15	54.3	54.78	55.28(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	24	70	32	-2	3.6	55%	0.17	-18.5	1.44%	0	1.1	62	0

16	Mar_10_2006	52.72	54.25	54.47	53.85	53.84	54.35	54.72(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	70	23	-0	5.8	56%	0.17	-36.4	1.45%	0	0.6	61	0
17	Mar_9_2006	52.63	54.24	54.52	53.73	53.75	53.82	54.08(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	10	13	-3	4.48	58%	0.15	-43.7	1.45%	0	-0.2	49	0
18	Mar_8_2006	52.55	54.27	54.54	53.89	53.71	53.34	53.52(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-60	-30	-10	5.02	56%	0.13	-45	1.47%	0	-0.9	50	0
19	Mar_7_2006	52.48	54.35	54.58	54.33	54.09	53.68	53.16(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-25	-70	-34	2	5	56%	0.11	-36.4	1.48%	0	-1.5	44	0
20	Mar_6_2006	52.42	54.46	54.63	54.74	54.61	54.08	53.76(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-19	-80	-32	21	4.62	56%	0.11	-27.5	1.48%	0	-0.9	55	0

21	Mar_3_2006	52.36	54.55	54.6	55.18	54.97	54.5	54.12(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-19	-70	-36	32	4.41	56%	0.11	-18.7	1.47%	0	-0.5	50	0
22	Mar_2_2006	52.3	54.6	54.63	55.41	55.4	55.13	54.88(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-30	-8	52	4.65	56%	0.15	-12	1.47%	0	0.3	51	0
23	Mar_1_2006	52.22	54.6	54.52	55.28	55.44	55.45	55.72(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	10	8	49	4.63	60%	0.15	-6.3	1.45%	0	1.2	54	0
24	Feb_28_2006	52.14	54.64	54.38	54.87	55.18	55.67	55.2(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	80	27	35	5.83	60%	0.17	-10.9	1.46%	0	0.6	50	0
25	Feb_27_2006	52.05	54.69	54.17	54.5	54.69	55.44	55.96(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	44	110	54	15	4.18	60%		-9.1	1.45%	0	1.3	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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