Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 24, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $56.2800 (1.08%) ($55.4800 - $56.2800) on Fri. Mar. 24, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $56.2800(1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.22(0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.92(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.24(1.88%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.57%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.25%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.29%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.94%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2006	53.55	55.24	55.92	56.22	56.06	55.84	56.28(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-40	-12	81	3.65	49%	0.13	59.7	1.47%	0	1.1	66	NAN
2	Mar_23_2006	53.48	55.18	55.77	56.15	56.25	56.12	55.68(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10	-4	87	5.73	49%	0.13	63.8	1.47%	0	0.5	60	NAN
3	Mar_22_2006	53.41	55.11	55.63	56.05	56.26	56.29	56.64(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	10	8	85	3.48	51%	0.15	60.8	1.46%	0	1.5	60	NAN
4	Mar_21_2006	53.33	54.96	55.32	55.86	55.95	56.39	55.92(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	60	9	64	8.12	53%	0.15	53.3	1.45%	0	1	50	NAN
5	Mar_20_2006	53.25	54.84	55.06	55.84	55.81	56.23	56.6(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	50	38	63	4.95	53%	0.17	54.1	1.45%	0	1.8	57	NAN

6	Mar_17_2006	53.16	54.66	54.77	55.58	55.48	55.5	55.92(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-0	13	28	5.05	53%	0.17	43.7	1.44%	0	1.3	48	NAN
7	Mar_16_2006	53.07	54.58	54.58	55.34	55.32	55.38	55.16(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	10	8	8	3.56	55%	0.15	37.7	1.44%	0	0.6	49	NAN
8	Mar_15_2006	52.99	54.51	54.54	55.12	55.11	55.45	55.68(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	40	24	9	5.21	55%	0.17	26.3	1.44%	0	1.3	58	NAN
9	Mar_14_2006	52.9	54.44	54.52	54.69	54.8	55.26	55.84(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	60	41	11	5.51	55%	0.17	11.3	1.45%	0	1.6	62	NAN
10	Mar_13_2006	52.81	54.31	54.43	54.15	54.3	54.78	55.28(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	24	70	32	-2	3.6	55%	0.17	-18.5	1.44%	0	1.1	62	NAN

11	Mar_10_2006	52.72	54.25	54.47	53.85	53.84	54.35	54.72(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	70	23	-0	5.8	56%	0.17	-36.4	1.45%	0	0.6	61	NAN
12	Mar_9_2006	52.63	54.24	54.52	53.73	53.75	53.82	54.08(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	10	13	-3	4.48	58%	0.15	-43.7	1.45%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
13	Mar_8_2006	52.55	54.27	54.54	53.89	53.71	53.34	53.52(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-60	-30	-10	5.02	56%	0.13	-45	1.47%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
14	Mar_7_2006	52.48	54.35	54.58	54.33	54.09	53.68	53.16(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-25	-70	-34	2	5	56%	0.11	-36.4	1.48%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
15	Mar_6_2006	52.42	54.46	54.63	54.74	54.61	54.08	53.76(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-19	-80	-32	21	4.62	56%	0.11	-27.5	1.48%	0	-0.9	55	NAN

16	Mar_3_2006	52.36	54.55	54.6	55.18	54.97	54.5	54.12(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-19	-70	-36	32	4.41	56%	0.11	-18.7	1.47%	0	-0.5	50	NAN
17	Mar_2_2006	52.3	54.6	54.63	55.41	55.4	55.13	54.88(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-30	-8	52	4.65	56%	0.15	-12	1.47%	0	0.3	51	NAN
18	Mar_1_2006	52.22	54.6	54.52	55.28	55.44	55.45	55.72(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	10	8	49	4.63	60%	0.15	-6.3	1.45%	0	1.2	54	NAN
19	Feb_28_2006	52.14	54.64	54.38	54.87	55.18	55.67	55.2(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	80	27	35	5.83	60%	0.17	-10.9	1.46%	0	0.6	50	NAN
20	Feb_27_2006	52.05	54.69	54.17	54.5	54.69	55.44	55.96(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	44	110	54	15	4.18	60%	0.17	-9.1	1.45%	0	1.3	51	NAN

21	Feb_24_2006	51.96	54.69	53.99	53.94	54.03	54.68	55.28(1.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	24	90	40	-23	6.01	59%	0.17	-7.7	1.45%	0	0.6	46	NAN
22	Feb_23_2006	51.87	54.7	53.89	53.76	53.55	53.93	54.24(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	40	23	-42	4.56	57%	0.14	-8.6	1.44%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
23	Feb_22_2006	51.8	54.69	53.93	53.66	53.47	53.38	53.68(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	-20	2	-64	6.29	57%	0.12	-6.5	1.44%	0	-1	35	NAN
24	Feb_21_2006	51.74	54.75	54.06	53.82	53.53	53.17	53.32(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-60	-18	-74	10.18	57%	0.15	-2.2	1.44%	0	-1.5	32	NAN
25	Feb_17_2006	51.66	54.78	54.27	53.78	53.75	53.57	53.2(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-30	-18	-83	4.63	59%		-14.4	1.43%	0	-1.5	30	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.