Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 20, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $56.6000 (1.22%) ($56.3600 - $56.8800) on Mon. Mar. 20, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.45% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $56.6000(1.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.725% (StdDev 1.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.84(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.06(2.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.84(3.21%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.09%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.83%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.15%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_20_2006	53.25	54.84	55.06	55.84	55.81	56.23	56.6(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	50	38	63	4.95	53%	0.17	54.1	1.45%	0	1.8	57	0
2	Mar_17_2006	53.16	54.66	54.77	55.58	55.48	55.5	55.92(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-0	13	28	5.05	53%	0.17	43.7	1.44%	0	1.3	48	0
3	Mar_16_2006	53.07	54.58	54.58	55.34	55.32	55.38	55.16(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	10	8	8	3.56	55%	0.15	37.7	1.44%	0	0.6	49	0
4	Mar_15_2006	52.99	54.51	54.54	55.12	55.11	55.45	55.68(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	40	24	9	5.21	55%	0.17	26.3	1.44%	0	1.3	58	0
5	Mar_14_2006	52.9	54.44	54.52	54.69	54.8	55.26	55.84(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	60	41	11	5.51	55%	0.17	11.3	1.45%	0	1.6	62	0

6	Mar_13_2006	52.81	54.31	54.43	54.15	54.3	54.78	55.28(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	24	70	32	-2	3.6	55%	0.17	-18.5	1.44%	0	1.1	62	0
7	Mar_10_2006	52.72	54.25	54.47	53.85	53.84	54.35	54.72(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	70	23	-0	5.8	56%	0.17	-36.4	1.45%	0	0.6	61	0
8	Mar_9_2006	52.63	54.24	54.52	53.73	53.75	53.82	54.08(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	10	13	-3	4.48	58%	0.15	-43.7	1.45%	0	-0.2	49	0
9	Mar_8_2006	52.55	54.27	54.54	53.89	53.71	53.34	53.52(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-60	-30	-10	5.02	56%	0.13	-45	1.47%	0	-0.9	50	0
10	Mar_7_2006	52.48	54.35	54.58	54.33	54.09	53.68	53.16(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-25	-70	-34	2	5	56%	0.11	-36.4	1.48%	0	-1.5	44	0

11	Mar_6_2006	52.42	54.46	54.63	54.74	54.61	54.08	53.76(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-19	-80	-32	21	4.62	56%	0.11	-27.5	1.48%	0	-0.9	55	0
12	Mar_3_2006	52.36	54.55	54.6	55.18	54.97	54.5	54.12(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-19	-70	-36	32	4.41	56%	0.11	-18.7	1.47%	0	-0.5	50	0
13	Mar_2_2006	52.3	54.6	54.63	55.41	55.4	55.13	54.88(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-30	-8	52	4.65	56%	0.15	-12	1.47%	0	0.3	51	0
14	Mar_1_2006	52.22	54.6	54.52	55.28	55.44	55.45	55.72(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	10	8	49	4.63	60%	0.15	-6.3	1.45%	0	1.2	54	0
15	Feb_28_2006	52.14	54.64	54.38	54.87	55.18	55.67	55.2(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	80	27	35	5.83	60%	0.17	-10.9	1.46%	0	0.6	50	0

16	Feb_27_2006	52.05	54.69	54.17	54.5	54.69	55.44	55.96(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	44	110	54	15	4.18	60%	0.17	-9.1	1.45%	0	1.3	51	0
17	Feb_24_2006	51.96	54.69	53.99	53.94	54.03	54.68	55.28(1.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	24	90	40	-23	6.01	59%	0.17	-7.7	1.45%	0	0.6	46	0
18	Feb_23_2006	51.87	54.7	53.89	53.76	53.55	53.93	54.24(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	40	23	-42	4.56	57%	0.14	-8.6	1.44%	0	-0.5	44	0
19	Feb_22_2006	51.8	54.69	53.93	53.66	53.47	53.38	53.68(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	-20	2	-64	6.29	57%	0.12	-6.5	1.44%	0	-1	35	0
20	Feb_21_2006	51.74	54.75	54.06	53.82	53.53	53.17	53.32(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-60	-18	-74	10.18	57%	0.15	-2.2	1.44%	0	-1.5	32	0

21	Feb_17_2006	51.66	54.75	54.27	53.78	53.75	53.57	53.2(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-30	-18	-83	4.63	59%	0.08	-14.4	1.43%	0	-1.5	30	0
22	Feb_16_2006	51.62	54.75	54.5	54.01	53.78	53.89	54.36(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	0	-4	-76	4.17	62%	0.12	-24.3	1.43%	0	-0.4	33	0
23	Feb_15_2006	51.56	54.78	54.57	54.05	53.84	53.94	53.76(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	0	-1	-76	5.4	60%	0.14	-31.6	1.44%	0	-1	41	0
24	Feb_14_2006	51.49	54.76	54.78	54.24	54.09	53.67	54.44(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-60	-7	-59	5.23	59%	0.14	-40.3	1.44%	0	-0.3	54	0
25	Feb_13_2006	51.42	54.77	54.94	54.36	54.18	53.74	53.16(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-70	-50	-63	6.59	57%		-46.9	1.42%	0	-1.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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