Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 16, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $54.3600 (1.12%) ($53.6000 - $54.3600) on Thu. Feb. 16, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $54.3600(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $54.78
5 Day Moving Average   $54.01(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.5(-0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.78(-0.77%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060316

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_16_2006	51.62		54.5	54.01	53.78	53.89	54.36(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	0	-4	-76	4.17	62%	0.12	-24.3	1.43%	0	-0.4	33	NAN
2	Feb_15_2006	51.56	54.78	54.57	54.05	53.84	53.94	53.76(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	0	-1	-76	5.4	60%	0.14	-31.6	1.44%	0	-1	41	NAN
3	Feb_14_2006	51.49	54.76	54.78	54.24	54.09	53.67	54.44(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-60	-7	-59	5.23	59%	0.14	-40.3	1.44%	0	-0.3	54	NAN
4	Feb_13_2006	51.42	54.77	54.94	54.36	54.18	53.74	53.16(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-70	-50	-63	6.59	57%	0.12	-46.9	1.42%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
5	Feb_10_2006	51.36	54.93	55.26	54.82	54.69	54.51	54.32(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-30	-16	-13	7.16	59%	0.16	-38.3	1.39%	0	-0.6	58	NAN

6	Feb_9_2006	51.28	55.02	55.49	55.06	54.99	54.61	54.56(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-50	-16	24	4.39	59%	0.16	-30.1	1.39%	0	-0.4	64	NAN
7	Feb_8_2006	51.2	55.11	55.58	55.17	55.16	54.87	54.72(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-40	-29	31	9.02	59%	0.16	-25.4	1.39%	0	-0.4	53	NAN
8	Feb_7_2006	51.12	55.17	55.54	55.41	55.39	55.37	55.04(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-0	-12	58	9.94	59%	0.18	-18.7	1.39%	0	-0.1	62	NAN
9	Feb_6_2006	51.03	55.27	55.5	55.62	55.54	55.46	55.44(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-6	71	4.6	59%	0.18	-1.9	1.39%	0	0.1	54	NAN
10	Feb_3_2006	50.94	55.32	55.34	55.78	55.71	55.4	55.56(0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-40	-17	57	5.3	59%	0.18	10.4	1.4%	0	0.2	47	NAN

11	Feb_2_2006	50.85	55.34	55.09	55.98	55.9	55.62	55.08(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-40	-21	42	8.17	59%	0.2	20.5	1.39%	0	-0.2	45	NAN
12	Feb_1_2006	50.75	55.39	55.03	56.03	56.13	56.02	55.92(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10	7	41	7.85	61%	0.2	32.3	1.38%	0	0.4	46	NAN
13	Jan_31_2006	50.65	55.38	54.74	55.66	55.96	56.19	56.08(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	40	18	7	9.19	61%	0.2	28.3	1.38%	0	0.6	49	NAN
14	Jan_30_2006	50.55	55.29	54.57	55.36	55.44	56.23	56.28(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	28	100	42	-15	6.1	61%	0.22	19	1.38%	0	0.8	46	NAN
15	Jan_27_2006	50.44	55.19	54.54	54.83	54.98	55.74	56.56(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	48	100	74	-29	8.31	61%	0.24	8.5	1.38%	0	1.1	48	NAN

16	Jan_26_2006	50.32	55.08	54.46	54.09	54.31	54.66	55.32(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	60	30	-80	9.58	59%	0.2	-4.4	1.36%	0	0.2	48	NAN
17	Jan_25_2006	50.22	55	54.56	53.9	53.92	54.22	54.08(-0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	40	15	-95	9.95	57%	0.18	-6.9	1.34%	0	-0.7	41	NAN
18	Jan_24_2006	50.13	55.03	54.74	53.9	53.95	53.97	54.56(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	20	20	-104	10.52	57%	0.1	-6.3	1.33%	0	-0.4	45	NAN
19	Jan_23_2006	50.08	55.04	54.97	53.68	53.65	53.62	53.64(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-50	-10	-31	-106	11.13	55%	0.16	1.6	1.32%	0	-1	51	NAN
20	Jan_20_2006	50	55.08	55.28	54.21	53.83	53.93	52.84(-2.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-33	-10	-23	-64	13.89	52%	0.18	18.2	1.32%	0	-1.7	46	NAN

21	Jan_19_2006	49.91	55.14	55.61	54.88	54.46	53.68	54.4(2.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-120	-28	-26	13.2	56%	0.2	37.9	1.3%	0	-0.6	52	NAN
22	Jan_18_2006	49.81	55.08	55.82	55.32	55.02	53.74	52.96(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-75	-180	-97	-10	21.51	50%	0.18	50.5	1.26%	0	-1.8	52	NAN
23	Jan_17_2006	49.72	55.11	56.14	55.93	55.85	55.24	54.56(-3.06%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.2	-39	-80	-67	44	7.82	52%	0.34	74.1	1.21%	0	-0.5	52	NAN
24	Jan_13_2006	49.55	55.02	56.13	56.42	56.22	56.29	56.28(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-0	-16	90	4.98	57%	0.24	83.3	1.16%	0	1	59	NAN
25	Jan_12_2006	49.43	54.85	55.96	56.52	56.43	56.47	56.2(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	40	0	16	112	6	57%		84.6	1.16%	0	1	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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