Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 6, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $56.7600 (1.5%) ($56.0000 - $56.8800) on Fri. Jan. 6, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $56.7600(1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.78(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.1(3.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.97(5.17%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.54% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.76%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.85%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.35%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2006	48.93	53.97	55.1	55.78	55.95	56.2	56.76(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	65	40	40	140	6.42	59%	0.27	84.6	1.15%	0	2	75	0
2	Jan_5_2006	48.8	53.7	54.83	55.31	55.3	56.01	55.92(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	90	31	124	4.16	54%	0.25	79.1	1.18%	0	1.6	69	0
3	Jan_4_2006	48.68	53.48	54.59	55.01	54.95	55.7	56.32(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	88	90	74	130	5.69	54%	0.29	78.6	1.2%	0	2	69	0
4	Jan_3_2006	48.54	53.23	54.25	54.43	54.53	54.6	55.8(3.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	46	10	32	88	6.45	54%	0.33	77.9	1.2%	0	2	69	0
5	Dec_30_2005	48.38	52.98	53.97	54.19	54.18	54.21	54.08(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	0	-19	72	2.91	48%	0.23	78	1.14%	0	0.9	68	0

6	Dec_29_2005	48.27	52.83	53.82	54.32	54.31	54.46	54.44(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	20	14	110	3.81	52%	0.23	80.3	1.16%	0	1.2	75	0
7	Dec_28_2005	48.16	52.61	53.65	54.28	54.33	54.15	54.4(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-20	6	114	3.57	54%	0.29	73.7	1.21%	0	1.3	67	0
8	Dec_27_2005	48.02	52.4	53.52	54.1	54.26	54.17	53.44(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-0	-9	114	4.36	51%	0.42	70	1.2%	0	0.8	62	0
9	Dec_23_2005	47.82	52.25	53.45	54	54.16	54.51	54.6(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	50	25	139	2.59	56%	0.27	65.2	1.18%	0	1.6	72	0
10	Dec_22_2005	47.69	52.02	53.16	53.7	53.83	54.34	54.72(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	70	70	46	141	3.86	56%	0.27	64.2	1.18%	0	2	74	0

11	Dec_21_2005	47.56	51.81	52.76	53.24	53.47	53.82	54.24(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	60	41	114	3.97	56%	0.27	69	1.17%	0	2	72	0
12	Dec_20_2005	47.43	51.61	52.48	52.95	53.04	53.33	53.48(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	40	16	106	3.71	55%	0.25	78.1	1.17%	0	1.7	75	0
13	Dec_19_2005	47.31	51.46	52.29	52.87	52.88	53.12	52.96(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	30	19	117	4.53	55%	0.25	90.3	1.17%	0	1.4	68	0
14	Dec_16_2005	47.19	51.32	52.12	52.81	52.8	52.76	53.12(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10	17	124	4.18	55%	0.25	95.5	1.17%	0	1.7	69	0
15	Dec_15_2005	47.07	51.15	51.91	52.53	52.68	52.64	52.4(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	0	8	116	5.79	55%	0.26	97.9	1.17%	0	1.3	68	0

16	Dec_14_2005	46.95	50.97	51.77	52.18	52.47	52.84	52.8(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	70	28	109	6.99	55%	0.26	80.3	1.17%	0	1.7	64	0
17	Dec_13_2005	46.83	50.74	51.48	51.91	51.94	52.72	53.08(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	59	110	45	99	4.94	55%	0.26	64.1	1.17%	0	2.1	68	0
18	Dec_12_2005	46.71	50.52	51.2	51.63	51.59	52.1	52.64(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	70	55	87	4.65	55%	0.26	57.5	1.18%	0	2	64	0
19	Dec_9_2005	46.59	50.35	50.96	51.36	51.32	51.17	51.72(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-20	11	57	4.57	57%	0.22	58	1.16%	0	1.4	62	0
20	Dec_8_2005	46.49	50.21	50.79	51.21	51.23	51.09	50.64(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-20	-20	37	7.59	53%	0.22	51.8	1.2%	0	0.4	58	0

21	Dec_7_2005	46.39	50.13	50.8	51.28	51.3	51.48	51.48(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	30	19	77	8.03	55%	0.24	53.3	1.19%	0	1.4	75	0
22	Dec_6_2005	46.28	50.03	50.68	50.95	51.15	51.37	51.68(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	42	40	28	84	5.42	55%	0.24	48.9	1.19%	0	1.8	79	0
23	Dec_5_2005	46.17	49.91	50.56	50.69	50.76	51.13	51.28(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	60	20	84	5.72	55%	0.22	51.2	1.19%	0	1.6	70	0
24	Dec_2_2005	46.07	49.79	50.44	50.5	50.56	50.93	50.96(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	50	33	87	10.51	55%	0.24	54.7	1.2%	0	1.5	61	0
25	Dec_1_2005	45.96	49.71	50.34	50.32	50.37	50.4	51(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	10	16	81	4.37	55%		65.6	1.2%	0	1.7	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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