Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Dec. 14, 2005

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $52.8000 (-0.53%) ($52.6400 - $53.0800) on Wed. Dec. 14, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $52.8000(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.18(1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.77(1.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.97(3.59%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   15.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.08% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.1%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.65%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.01%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_14_2005	46.95	50.97	51.77	52.18	52.47	52.84	52.8(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	70	28	109	6.99	55%	0.26	80.3	1.17%	0	1.7	64	NAN
2	Dec_13_2005	46.83	50.74	51.48	51.91	51.94	52.72	53.08(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	59	110	45	99	4.94	55%	0.26	64.1	1.17%	0	2.1	68	NAN
3	Dec_12_2005	46.71	50.52	51.2	51.63	51.59	52.1	52.64(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	70	55	87	4.65	55%	0.26	57.5	1.18%	0	2	64	NAN
4	Dec_9_2005	46.59	50.35	50.96	51.36	51.32	51.17	51.72(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-20	11	57	4.57	57%	0.22	58	1.16%	0	1.4	62	NAN
5	Dec_8_2005	46.49	50.21	50.79	51.21	51.23	51.09	50.64(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-20	-20	37	7.59	53%	0.22	51.8	1.2%	0	0.4	58	NAN

6	Dec_7_2005	46.39	50.13	50.8	51.28	51.3	51.48	51.48(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	30	19	77	8.03	55%	0.24	53.3	1.19%	0	1.4	75	NAN
7	Dec_6_2005	46.28	50.03	50.68	50.95	51.15	51.37	51.68(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	42	40	28	84	5.42	55%	0.24	48.9	1.19%	0	1.8	79	NAN
8	Dec_5_2005	46.17	49.91	50.56	50.69	50.76	51.13	51.28(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	60	20	84	5.72	55%	0.22	51.2	1.19%	0	1.6	70	NAN
9	Dec_2_2005	46.07	49.79	50.44	50.5	50.56	50.93	50.96(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	50	33	87	10.51	55%	0.24	54.7	1.2%	0	1.5	61	NAN
10	Dec_1_2005	45.96	49.71	50.34	50.32	50.37	50.4	51(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	10	16	81	4.37	55%	0.22	65.6	1.2%	0	1.7	64	NAN

11	Nov_30_2005	45.86	49.62	50.11	50.26	50.19	50.18	49.84(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10	-15	65	4.94	54%	0.2	82.7	1.18%	0	0.3	56	NAN
12	Nov_29_2005	45.77	49.58	49.97	50.37	50.35	50.35	50.36(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-0	8	71	6.66	54%	0.2	97.2	1.17%	0	1.1	57	NAN
13	Nov_28_2005	45.68	49.48	49.81	50.4	50.25	50.21	50.32(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10	-6	61	8.55	54%	0.22	107.5	1.17%	0	1.2	56	NAN
14	Nov_25_2005	45.58	49.36	49.71	50.38	50.28	50.34	50.08(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	0	3	68	2.92	54%	0.33	108.3	1.17%	0	0.9	58	NAN
15	Nov_23_2005	45.43	49.22	49.59	50.34	50.3	50.29	50.72(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-0	22	71	6.05	56%	0.22	94.8	1.15%	0	1.6	59	NAN

16	Nov_22_2005	45.33	49.06	49.42	49.94	50.09	50.22	50.36(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	30	22	46	7.75	59%	0.11	82.7	1.16%	0	1.4	58	NAN
17	Nov_21_2005	45.28	48.9	49.31	49.49	49.72	50.3	50.52(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	100	41	32	6.5	59%	0.22	70.3	1.2%	0	1.6	62	NAN
18	Nov_18_2005	45.18	48.72	49.2	49.13	49.15	49.96	50.2(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	44	120	50	26	5.29	58%	0.22	58	1.2%	0	1.5	64	NAN
19	Nov_17_2005	45.08	48.54	49.07	48.96	48.76	49.14	49.92(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	40	43	24	6.9	58%	0.2	43.7	1.21%	0	1.3	67	NAN
20	Nov_16_2005	44.99	48.35	49.01	48.75	48.65	48.34	48.68(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-50	-7	13	4.56	52%	0.18	31.5	1.18%	0	0.3	65	NAN

21	Nov_15_2005	44.91	48.27	49.07	48.84	48.72	48.38	48.12(-1.23%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-24	-60	-40	23	6.75	54%	0.16	31.1	1.19%	0	-0.1	61	NAN
22	Nov_14_2005	44.84	48.21	49.16	49.1	48.97	48.97	48.72(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10	-14	67	7.61	56%	0.18	33	1.18%	0	0.5	69	NAN
23	Nov_11_2005	44.76	48.14	49.14	49.26	49.16	49.06	49.36(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	30	-20	6	102	3.56	61%	0.2	39.4	1.17%	0	1.1	78	NAN
24	Nov_10_2005	44.67	48.07	49	49.19	49.17	48.98	48.88(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-30	-17	100	5.29	64%	0.16	44.4	1.21%	0	0.8	78	NAN
25	Nov_9_2005	44.6	48.02	48.86	49.3	49.25	49.26	49.12(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-0	-6	121	5.35	65%		54.8	1.25%	0	1	84	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.